NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	127		Excitement	7.2 [388]		MVP	Desmond Bane (ORL): +41.2%
Orlando Magic	135		Comeback	2.9 [616]		LVP	Johnny Furphy (IND): -4.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0.23	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.25	-0.01	0.01	21	74%	0.31	1	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Ben Sheppard	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.01	6	67%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Micah Potter	0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.06	0.00	5	79%	0.15	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Aaron Nesmith	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.00	16	69%	0.22	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Jay Huff	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	6	85%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Andrew Nembhard	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.00	16	53%	0.13	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Jarace Walker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.01	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kam Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Bradley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	9	56%	0.07	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Furphy	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	4	20%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Bane	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.24	0.18	0.00	17	82%	0.45	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Paolo Banchero	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.14	0.12	-0.01	18	62%	0.30	1	-0.03	9	78%	0.02
Anthony Black	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.23	0.23	0.16	0.09	0.01	16	64%	0.27	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.02
Jase Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.00	9	63%	0.11	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Tristan da Silva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	8	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.02	10	64%	0.11	1	-0.06	8	62%	-0.03
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Cain	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jett Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	0.1	38.3	13.7	28.6	0.1	32.2	140.2
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +10.9%

ORL +15.9%

ORL +2.9%

ORL +15.6%

ORL +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ORL	NBA	IND	ORL	NBA
this game	13.8	14.6	14.2	124.5	133.7	113.7
season	13.8	14.1		109.3	113.3
opponent	14.1	14.2		112.4	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.2	14.2	14.0	13.5	13.8
ORL	14.8	11.9	14.8	17.1	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kam Jones	21	21	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.07	8	-16	24	14.0	13.7	0.24	15.1	14.4	0.71
Jay Huff	67	68	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.22	10	-18	28	14.0	13.4	0.56	15.6	12.5	3.03
Johnny Furphy	32	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-7	6	14.4	13.5	0.89	14.3	14.7	-0.47
Jarace Walker	66	65	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-8	8	14.2	13.1	1.10	14.0	15.6	-1.55
T.J. McConnell	86	84	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.17	-7	-1	-6	14.2	11.4	2.83	14.6	14.3	0.35
Ben Sheppard	88	87	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.24	-6	-2	-4	13.8	13.6	0.22	14.6	14.3	0.35
Andrew Nembhard	87	86	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.20	-8	0	-8	13.8	13.8	-0.04	14.7	13.9	0.84
Tony Bradley	37	38	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.06	-17	9	-26	14.1	13.6	0.45	14.1	14.9	-0.85
Aaron Nesmith	102	101	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	13.8	0.0	13.76	14.6	0.0	14.58
Pascal Siakam	93	91	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.25	-9	1	-10	13.8	13.3	0.47	14.7	13.7	0.98
Micah Potter	86	86	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.17	-14	6	-20	14.0	12.3	1.72	14.7	13.8	0.92

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Black	100	100	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.21	10	-2	12	14.7	1.0	13.72	13.8	13.0	0.78
Desmond Bane	101	102	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.27	8	0	8	14.6	0.0	14.58	13.8	0.0	13.76
Paolo Banchero	90	90	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	4	0	14.7	13.5	1.17	13.8	13.7	0.11
Tristan da Silva	88	88	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.22	4	4	0	14.6	14.2	0.41	13.9	13.2	0.64
Wendell Carter Jr.	83	84	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	6	-4	15.0	12.4	2.60	14.0	12.5	1.54
Jase Richardson	78	78	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.17	4	4	0	14.8	13.7	1.09	14.5	11.4	3.07
Goga Bitadze	66	67	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	5	-2	13.8	16.0	-2.12	13.9	13.5	0.34
Tyus Jones	71	70	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	9	-10	14.6	14.6	-0.02	14.1	13.1	0.93
Jamal Cain	24	25	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	12	-16	14.8	14.5	0.33	14.2	13.6	0.63
Jonathan Isaac	64	64	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.11	-8	16	-24	14.9	14.1	0.79	13.9	13.6	0.25
Jett Howard	26	25	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.07	-8	16	-24	14.8	14.5	0.35	13.2	13.9	-0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.34,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.69,0.59,0.8,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 91, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.83,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.9,0.86,0.95,0.99,1,1	92.6%
BOS 86, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.79,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.98,1,1	92.4%
CLE 74, ORL 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.48,0.54,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.96,1,1,1	91.4%