NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	121		Excitement	10.5 [28]		MVP	Miles Bridges (CHA): +74.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	122		Comeback	6.4 [134]		LVP	Brandon Miller (CHA): -28.1%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles Bridges	0.75	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.03,0.75	0.10	0.68	0.03	17	64%	0.83	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.09
Collin Sexton	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.07	0.12	-0.00	8	73%	0.24	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.05
Tidjane Sala�n	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.03	-0.00	5	100%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
LaMelo Ball	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.01	0.11	-0.00	12	46%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Kon Knueppel	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.02	0.00	16	67%	0.20	3	-0.08	7	71%	-0.00
Sion James	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	4	87%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Liam McNeeley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Hall	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	40%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Josh Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Miller	-0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.02,-0.28	-0.02	-0.27	-0.02	15	56%	-0.07	5	-0.22	4	75%	-0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Rollins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.66	0.66	0.31	0.38	0.03	13	107%	0.68	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.22,0.64	0.64	0.14	0.51	0.02	18	68%	0.77	3	-0.13	8	100%	0.06
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.03,0.48	0.48	0.13	0.35	0.01	10	86%	0.62	2	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.14	0.17	0.01	11	83%	0.35	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Jericho Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	14	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	10%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
AJ Green	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.11	0.01	13	43%	-0.13	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.3	1.4	30.1	0.0	25.2	0.0	39.5	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.9	14.5	29.5	2.3	32.7	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +90.6%

CHA -39.0%

CHA -10.2%

MIL +4.8%

MIL +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	MIL	NBA	CHA	MIL	NBA
this game	14.7	14.8	14.1	124.7	124.5	113.8
season	14.6	14.6		113.9	112.4
opponent	14.2	14.0		115.1	115.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.7	14.3	13.7	16.5	14.7
MIL	15.8	13.9	14.0	15.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tidjane Sala�n	87	90	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.15	1	-2	3	14.9	13.5	1.37	14.7	15.1	-0.40
Collin Sexton	87	89	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-2	3	15.0	12.6	2.38	14.8	14.2	0.59
Liam McNeeley	32	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	6	-13	14.2	15.0	-0.77	14.1	15.1	-0.96
Josh Green	71	72	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.36	4	-5	9	14.8	14.5	0.37	15.1	13.9	1.13
Sion James	97	98	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	0	-1	14.7	0.0	14.73	14.8	0.0	14.76
PJ Hall	50	49	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.16	-23	22	-45	15.6	13.8	1.79	14.0	15.5	-1.55
LaMelo Ball	71	70	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.13	-14	13	-27	15.0	14.0	1.00	14.6	15.2	-0.69
Kon Knueppel	90	91	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.54	-5	4	-9	14.7	15.6	-0.90	14.6	17.1	-2.57
Brandon Miller	82	81	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.34	-13	12	-25	15.1	12.5	2.60	14.8	14.5	0.34
Miles Bridges	89	89	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.35	-14	13	-27	14.9	13.2	1.62	14.6	16.4	-1.86

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	67	69	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.36	16	-15	31	14.6	15.1	-0.50	15.2	13.5	1.78
Ryan Rollins	92	91	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.42	11	-10	21	14.7	15.0	-0.26	14.6	16.7	-2.06
Kevin Porter Jr.	97	95	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.48	4	-3	7	14.6	27.0	-12.37	14.7	17.0	-2.32
Gary Trent Jr.	74	75	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.15	13	-12	25	14.6	15.2	-0.60	15.2	13.1	2.12
Myles Turner	82	82	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.18	12	-11	23	14.8	14.4	0.38	14.7	14.9	-0.16
Kyle Kuzma	87	88	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.27	12	-11	23	14.9	14.0	0.85	15.1	11.0	4.11
AJ Green	92	92	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.22	6	-5	11	15.0	11.2	3.82	14.8	14.0	0.77
Bobby Portis	83	82	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.10	-3	4	-7	15.1	13.0	2.07	15.1	12.8	2.29
Jericho Sims	24	23	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.14	-14	15	-29	15.7	14.4	1.32	14.7	14.8	-0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.25,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.23,0.47,0.29,0.47,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 92, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.15,0.33,0.16,1	91.6%
BOS 117, UTA 118	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.26,0.33,0.42,0.3,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.52,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.47,0.42,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.1,0.27,1	90.7%
GSW 91, CHH 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.21,0.28,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.21,0.18,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.33,0.27,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.23,0.17,1	90.7%