NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	91		Excitement	7.9 [237]		MVP	Mookie Blaylock (GSW): +19.9%
Charlotte Hornets	93		Comeback	9.2 [203]		LVP	Baron Davis (CHH): -21.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mookie Blaylock	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.10	0.00	13	69%	0.23	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	6	43%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Corie Blount	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	21	45%	0.03	4	-0.12	5	100%	0.03
Bob Sura	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	13	43%	-0.02	5	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.08,-0.16	0.05	-0.19	0.02	24	53%	-0.16	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.13	-0.00	12	58%	0.23	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	0.00	9	90%	0.23	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	58%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	17	47%	0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.03	0.01	9	56%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.27,-0.35,-0.35,-0.02	-0.02	-0.16	0.12	-0.02	17	37%	0.07	4	-0.10	4	25%	-0.09
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tim James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.05	-0.15	0.01	9	74%	-0.01	7	-0.21	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.8	27.0	15.8	22.2	2.5	29.2	122.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +67.8%

GSW -16.3%

CHH +25.8%

GSW -25.7%

GSW -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CHH	NBA	GSW	CHH	NBA
this game	15.5	14.5	15.5	94.8	96.9	100.9
season	15.0	15.8		95.3	99.7
opponent	15.6	14.9		97.0	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.7	15.5	15.7	17.4	15.5
CHH	13.5	12.8	15.6	16.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corie Blount	42	43	0.36	-0.86	1.21	0.06	10	-12	22	15.7	15.2	0.50	14.9	14.2	0.70
Vonteego Cummings	42	45	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.16	9	-11	20	15.4	15.5	-0.18	14.3	14.7	-0.43
Adam Keefe	9	9	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-5	8	14.9	15.5	-0.63	13.2	14.7	-1.46
Larry Hughes	86	85	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.45	0	-2	2	15.1	18.6	-3.51	14.9	12.0	2.87
Mookie Blaylock	83	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.49	0	-2	2	15.4	15.8	-0.45	14.5	15.0	-0.53
Antawn Jamison	87	87	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.44	-5	3	-8	15.5	14.9	0.63	14.7	13.2	1.46
Adonal Foyle	53	51	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.31	-12	10	-22	15.5	15.4	0.03	14.7	14.3	0.43
Bob Sura	78	77	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.42	-15	13	-28	15.8	13.9	1.93	14.0	16.6	-2.54

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	82	82	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.37	9	-7	16	14.0	17.8	-3.80	15.5	15.1	0.37
Baron Davis	59	61	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.52	3	-1	4	13.8	15.8	-1.98	16.3	14.0	2.30
Elden Campbell	64	66	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.22	13	-11	24	15.3	13.0	2.27	16.2	13.7	2.51
Jamal Mashburn	83	83	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.49	1	1	0	14.6	14.0	0.63	15.0	18.1	-3.03
P.J. Brown	80	83	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	-3	8	13.8	18.1	-4.22	15.5	15.0	0.53
Hersey Hawkins	16	14	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.17	0	2	-2	13.0	14.8	-1.85	12.1	16.0	-3.97
Tim James	16	13	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	5	-8	18.1	13.8	4.22	15.0	15.5	-0.53
Eldridge Recasner	21	21	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.06	0	2	-2	17.7	13.7	4.06	15.1	15.6	-0.46
Eddie Robinson	38	37	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	5	-8	14.4	14.6	-0.16	16.0	15.1	0.88
Jamaal Magloire	21	20	-0.39	0.89	-1.29	0.05	-15	17	-32	14.4	14.6	-0.21	13.5	16.0	-2.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.21,0.28,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.21,0.18,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.33,0.27,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.23,0.17,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 92, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.15,0.33,0.16,1	92.2%
CLE 108, MIA 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.45,0.1,0.16,1	91.5%
TOR 109, MIN 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.23,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.37,1	90.6%