NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	92		Excitement	9.9 [76]		MVP	Robert Covington (PHI): +69.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	93		Comeback	28.7 [45]		LVP	Dario Saric (PHI): -47.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Noah Vonleh	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	6	67%	0.13	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.06	-0.00	6	64%	0.14	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ed Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damian Lillard	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	25	55%	0.22	5	-0.21	5	80%	-0.01
Maurice Harkless	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Evan Turner	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	-0.00	10	20%	-0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	-0.21	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21	-0.11	-0.13	-0.02	18	40%	-0.09	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.03
Mason Plumlee	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.22	-0.08	-0.16	-0.01	14	37%	-0.20	1	-0.02	10	60%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.69	0.69	0.10	0.60	0.00	17	63%	0.75	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.10	-0.10	0.00	14	80%	0.11	5	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
TJ McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	42%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	14	49%	0.06	5	-0.14	9	44%	-0.08
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	10	25%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.32,-0.48	-0.48	-0.17	-0.30	0.00	12	12%	-0.38	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	31.6	15.6	26.0	0.2	39.9	138.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +60.4%

POR -21.4%

PHI +15.8%

POR -11.8%

PHI +7.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHI	NBA	POR	PHI	NBA
this game	14.7	14.1	14.8	92.0	93.0	107.7
season	14.9	14.5		108.6	101.9
opponent	14.4	14.5		107.6	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.4	14.7	16.6	13.1	14.7
PHI	15.0	13.6	13.4	14.6	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Harkless	41	43	0.36	-0.86	1.23	0.04	11	-12	23	14.0	15.2	-1.20	13.0	15.0	-1.96
Ed Davis	32	34	0.22	-0.72	0.95	0.11	4	-5	9	13.9	15.0	-1.11	13.2	14.6	-1.42
Noah Vonleh	53	52	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.06	-3	2	-5	15.5	13.7	1.81	14.2	14.1	0.15
CJ McCollum	73	73	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.48	13	-14	27	14.1	16.1	-1.94	14.8	12.3	2.53
Allen Crabbe	53	54	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	1	-3	14.9	14.4	0.44	12.7	15.8	-3.12
Al-Farouq Aminu	47	48	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.54	2	-3	5	13.7	15.5	-1.81	14.1	14.2	-0.15
Evan Turner	58	56	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.27	-13	12	-25	15.4	13.7	1.67	15.0	13.0	1.95
Mason Plumlee	68	66	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.58	-5	4	-9	15.0	13.9	1.11	14.6	13.2	1.42
Damian Lillard	75	74	-0.90	0.40	-1.29	-0.54	-12	11	-23	14.9	14.0	0.83	14.5	13.1	1.44

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
TJ McConnell	62	63	1.06	-0.56	1.61	0.44	21	-20	41	14.0	14.4	-0.37	15.6	13.1	2.46
Ersan Ilyasova	59	59	1.04	-0.54	1.58	0.51	18	-17	35	14.2	14.1	0.07	15.5	13.5	2.03
Robert Covington	70	70	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.58	6	-5	11	14.7	12.8	1.91	14.8	14.4	0.32
Nerlens Noel	44	43	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.34	-2	3	-5	14.1	14.1	-0.01	14.3	14.9	-0.67
Gerald Henderson	56	55	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.52	-9	10	-19	14.3	14.0	0.33	13.4	16.2	-2.88
Nik Stauskas	44	45	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.05	10	-9	19	14.0	14.3	-0.33	16.2	13.4	2.88
Dario Saric	51	51	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.25	-13	14	-27	14.3	14.0	0.23	13.2	16.2	-3.03
Joel Embiid	46	47	-0.20	0.69	-0.89	-0.17	-1	2	-3	14.0	14.3	-0.30	15.6	13.8	1.73
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	30	30	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.11	-5	6	-11	12.8	14.7	-1.91	14.4	14.8	-0.32
Sergio Rodriguez	38	37	-0.56	1.06	-1.61	0.03	-20	21	-41	14.4	14.0	0.37	13.1	15.6	-2.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.15,0.33,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 91, CHH 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.21,0.28,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.21,0.18,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.33,0.27,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.23,0.17,1	92.2%
TOR 109, MIN 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.23,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.37,1	90.1%
BKN 115, NOP 117	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.15,0.15,0.03,0.02,1	89.3%