NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	132		Excitement	9.0 [94]		MVP	Julian Champagnie (SAS): +54.2%
San Antonio Spurs	134		Comeback	12.6 [77]		LVP	Stephon Castle (SAS): -18.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles McBride	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.28,0.37,0.37	0.18	0.20	0.01	12	78%	0.37	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.06	0.01	17	59%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	-0.04	-0.01	10	71%	0.15	3	-0.06	8	100%	0.03
Jalen Brunson	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.01,0.04	0.10	-0.03	0.03	24	55%	0.09	1	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Ariel Hukporti	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mohamed Diawara	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin McCullar Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.06	0.00	9	72%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Kolek	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Guerschon Yabusele	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	10	37%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julian Champagnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.54,0.54	0.54	0.37	0.17	-0.00	17	97%	0.56	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Victor Wembanyama	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.23	0.05	0.02	12	91%	0.31	3	-0.05	10	90%	0.03
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.23	0.23	0.07	0.16	0.00	4	70%	0.23	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.33,0.26,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.08	0.01	21	57%	0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.07	-0.01	12	58%	0.14	1	0.00	9	100%	0.04
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Carter Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dylan Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	6	17%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	6	44%	-0.07	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.02
Stephon Castle	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.17	-0.03	-0.01	9	21%	-0.10	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	35.6	0.1	34.7	12.6	33.5	0.0	45.6	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.9	14.5	29.5	2.3	32.7	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -5.4%

SAS +22.6%

SAS +39.6%

NYK -1.4%

NYK -5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAS	NBA	NYK	SAS	NBA
this game	14.5	12.5	14.1	125.7	124.1	113.8
season	14.8	13.9		119.5	116.4
opponent	14.3	13.7		112.2	114.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.8	13.1	17.7	14.7	14.5
SAS	13.2	12.6	12.3	12.0	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Guerschon Yabusele	50	53	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.02	8	-10	18	15.2	13.9	1.29	12.8	12.3	0.48
Mohamed Diawara	12	13	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.02	2	-4	6	15.2	14.4	0.75	13.8	12.3	1.50
Ariel Hukporti	103	106	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.35	-5	3	-8	14.7	2.5	12.24	12.7	1.0	11.75
Tyler Kolek	87	91	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.39	-5	3	-8	15.4	9.9	5.50	12.8	11.2	1.60
Jordan Clarkson	67	68	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.37	-6	4	-10	15.9	12.1	3.76	13.1	11.5	1.67
Jalen Brunson	100	103	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.42	-5	3	-8	14.9	6.4	8.51	12.5	12.2	0.34
Kevin McCullar Jr.	79	82	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.45	-4	2	-6	13.8	16.5	-2.70	12.9	11.4	1.45
Karl-Anthony Towns	88	92	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.33	-11	9	-20	14.9	12.5	2.36	13.3	8.1	5.24
OG Anunoby	94	97	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.48	-10	8	-18	14.4	15.7	-1.37	12.7	11.0	1.70
Miles McBride	99	101	-0.90	0.40	-1.30	-0.52	-13	11	-24	14.8	9.8	4.95	12.4	13.9	-1.42
Mikal Bridges	83	85	-0.94	0.44	-1.37	-0.44	-17	15	-32	14.9	13.2	1.67	12.3	13.3	-0.93

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harrison Barnes	83	83	1.00	-0.50	1.50	0.39	21	-19	40	12.3	13.4	-1.08	14.8	13.3	1.50
Stephon Castle	78	76	0.97	-0.47	1.45	0.53	15	-13	28	12.5	12.5	0.04	16.0	10.6	5.37
Julian Champagnie	108	105	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	12.5	0.0	12.53	14.5	0.0	14.50
Keldon Johnson	108	105	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	12.5	0.0	12.53	14.5	0.0	14.50
De'Aaron Fox	108	105	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	12.5	0.0	12.53	14.5	0.0	14.50
Luke Kornet	94	90	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.49	-1	3	-4	12.9	9.7	3.23	15.3	9.7	5.64
Kelly Olynyk	23	24	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.07	6	-4	10	13.0	12.4	0.54	15.5	14.2	1.24
Victor Wembanyama	75	73	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	0	2	12.6	12.5	0.11	14.1	15.4	-1.25
Dylan Harper	68	66	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.10	-10	12	-22	12.8	12.1	0.72	14.9	13.9	1.01
Carter Bryant	50	47	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.01	-8	10	-18	12.8	12.3	0.51	15.9	13.4	2.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.28,0.23,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.13,0.07,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.61,0.79,0.78,0.63,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 115, PHI 118	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.46,0.31,0.54,0.57,0.58,1	90.3%
ORL 99, MIA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.1,0.14,0.2,0.28,0.19,0.24,0.34,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.48,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.46,0.47,0.63,0.86,0.84,1	90.3%
NOH 117, ORL 123	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.21,0.25,0.33,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.3,0.2,0.17,0.08,0.22,0.35,0.46,0.45,0.79,0.84,0.98,1	89.8%