NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	115		Excitement	8.8 [206]		MVP	Al Horford (BOS): +34.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	118		Comeback	6.4 [266]		LVP	Marcus Morris (BOS): -16.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0.34	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.13	0.21	-0.01	16	65%	0.36	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Semi Ojeleye	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.08	0.00	2	117%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Terry Rozier	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	-0.00	-0.01	16	62%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.05	0.01	12	54%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	86%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.06
Aron Baynes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.01,-0.05	0.02	-0.07	0.00	29	52%	0.04	3	-0.09	11	82%	0.03
Marcus Morris	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	9	22%	-0.10	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.26	0.26	0.04	0.23	0.00	9	59%	0.32	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.02
Jimmy Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.37,0.22,0.26	0.26	0.10	0.15	0.00	17	56%	0.26	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.16	0.04	-0.00	17	67%	0.34	3	-0.14	21	95%	0.12
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.11	0.01	17	52%	0.17	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	14	52%	0.09	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
James Ennis III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	6	29%	-0.10	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	3.3	29.9	14.7	33.4	3.4	32.4	145.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS -17.8%

PHI +46.4%

PHI +25.8%

BOS -3.2%

BOS -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	14.1	14.8	14.3	116.2	118.0	109.3
season	13.9	14.0		109.9	110.9
opponent	14.1	14.7		108.1	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.4	12.6	15.0	17.2	14.1
PHI	13.8	15.1	15.0	15.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Rozier	47	48	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.06	9	-12	21	14.4	13.9	0.46	14.7	14.9	-0.25
Semi Ojeleye	21	21	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.11	1	-4	5	16.5	13.5	3.05	14.2	15.0	-0.74
Marcus Smart	42	43	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.04	1	-4	5	13.4	14.6	-1.24	14.7	14.9	-0.17
Aron Baynes	26	28	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.05	0	-3	3	13.8	14.2	-0.48	14.2	15.1	-0.89
Jaylen Brown	60	60	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.38	9	-12	21	13.7	14.7	-1.03	14.7	15.0	-0.30
Al Horford	74	75	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.39	6	-9	15	13.1	17.2	-4.12	14.9	14.6	0.29
Daniel Theis	12	12	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.11	-4	1	-5	17.5	13.7	3.84	14.9	14.8	0.11
Kyrie Irving	75	75	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.48	-6	3	-9	13.7	15.5	-1.82	14.7	15.3	-0.61
Marcus Morris	72	71	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.38	-14	11	-25	15.0	11.9	3.12	15.1	14.2	0.86
Jayson Tatum	66	67	-0.97	0.47	-1.44	-0.47	-17	14	-31	14.3	13.8	0.45	15.3	13.8	1.59

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Embiid	86	87	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.44	12	-9	21	14.4	17.2	-2.78	14.7	9.9	4.78
Jimmy Butler	77	77	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.38	11	-8	19	15.0	14.2	0.84	14.6	12.5	2.03
Ben Simmons	90	88	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.35	11	-8	19	14.4	18.6	-4.20	14.3	13.0	1.26
Tobias Harris	77	77	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.42	5	-2	7	14.9	14.5	0.39	13.9	15.0	-1.19
JJ Redick	70	70	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.25	0	3	-3	14.4	15.8	-1.45	13.6	15.3	-1.73
James Ennis III	33	32	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.15	-2	5	-7	14.0	15.2	-1.27	14.4	14.0	0.47
T.J. McConnell	15	15	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	7	-11	18.3	14.2	4.05	14.9	14.0	0.96
Boban Marjanovic	9	8	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	7	-11	19.0	14.4	4.59	11.1	14.4	-3.26
Mike Scott	43	41	-0.45	0.95	-1.41	-0.04	-14	17	-31	15.3	14.5	0.76	13.1	14.8	-1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.46,0.31,0.54,0.57,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 103, WAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.27,0.47,0.38,0.63,0.78,0.73,1	91.6%
ORL 99, MIA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.1,0.14,0.2,0.28,0.19,0.24,0.34,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.48,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.46,0.47,0.63,0.86,0.84,1	91.2%
MIL 81, CLE 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.38,0.18,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.45,0.63,0.57,0.58,1	90.9%