NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	118		Excitement	6.5 [307]		MVP	Zion Williamson (NOP): +25.8%
Chicago Bulls	134		Comeback	1.2 [432]		LVP	Jeremiah Fears (NOP): -8.8%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zion Williamson	0.26	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.19	0.04	-0.03	19	66%	0.29	1	-0.03	9	78%	0.02
Jordan Poole	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.18	0.05	-0.01	14	68%	0.24	0	0.00	10	100%	0.04
Saddiq Bey	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.03	0.02	16	47%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Yves Missi	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Derik Queen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	7	56%	0.01	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Micah Peavy	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	67%	0.03	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jordan Hawkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Murphy III	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	15	50%	0.00	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jeremiah Fears	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	8	31%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.18	0.09	0.05	7	100%	0.26	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.16	0.03	0.01	10	86%	0.19	2	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Matas Buzelis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.07	-0.01	17	50%	0.13	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Nikola Vu?evi?	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.01	13	61%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.02	9	57%	0.09	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Jalen Smith	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	11	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.03	0.04	8	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	11	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.3	28.1	14.3	33.5	1.6	28.0	133.4
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.3	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +29.8%

CHI +2.1%

CHI +10.6%

CHI +7.5%

CHI +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	CHI	NBA	NOP	CHI	NBA
this game	13.3	13.7	14.2	109.3	127.6	113.6
season	14.1	13.6		111.3	113.6
opponent	14.3	14.0		115.7	118.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.7	13.7	12.9	12.9	13.3
CHI	12.3	14.0	13.3	15.4	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Hawkins	66	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-12	8	13.8	12.5	1.29	13.4	14.3	-0.91
Yves Missi	80	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	-6	-4	13.4	13.0	0.34	13.8	13.6	0.23
Jeremiah Fears	70	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.05	-16	0	-16	13.6	12.6	1.01	13.9	13.4	0.46
Trey Murphy III	92	92	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	0	-16	13.4	12.6	0.85	14.1	11.2	2.94
Micah Peavy	87	85	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.01	-16	0	-16	13.7	11.5	2.19	13.3	15.4	-2.06
Derik Queen	64	65	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.13	-21	5	-26	13.8	12.5	1.37	13.9	13.4	0.50
Kevon Looney	97	94	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.00	-17	1	-18	13.7	9.8	3.86	13.2	18.3	-5.07
Jordan Poole	108	105	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	0	-16	13.3	0.0	13.29	13.7	0.0	13.73
Zion Williamson	107	105	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.05	-16	0	-16	13.4	1.0	12.40	13.7	0.0	13.73
Saddiq Bey	94	93	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.00	-19	3	-22	13.6	11.0	2.63	13.6	15.0	-1.43

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Vu?evi?	105	108	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.03	16	0	16	13.7	0.0	13.73	13.3	0.0	13.29
Tre Jones	105	108	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.03	16	0	16	13.7	0.0	13.73	13.3	0.0	13.29
Ayo Dosunmu	93	94	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	4	8	13.5	15.7	-2.18	13.5	11.6	1.89
Isaac Okoro	92	93	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.04	17	-1	18	13.6	14.9	-1.36	13.6	11.2	2.42
Kevin Huerter	101	103	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.02	15	1	14	14.0	8.2	5.70	13.1	16.4	-3.26
Jalen Smith	67	68	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.03	16	0	16	13.3	14.5	-1.16	14.4	11.4	3.00
Patrick Williams	90	92	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	2	12	14.2	11.2	2.96	13.0	15.0	-2.01
Matas Buzelis	74	74	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.07	8	8	0	13.7	13.9	-0.20	14.1	11.4	2.69
Dalen Terry	63	63	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	17	-18	13.9	13.5	0.31	13.5	13.0	0.42
Jevon Carter	35	34	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	17	-18	13.5	13.8	-0.29	12.9	13.5	-0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.94,0.89,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 99, DAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.96,1,1,1	95.2%
WAS 86, CHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.93,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
MEM 97, LAC 110	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.9%