NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	97		Excitement	5.4 [698]		MVP	Al Thornton (LAC): +23.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	110		Comeback	1.2 [763]		LVP	Mike Miller (MEM): -10.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.05	0.01	9	74%	0.19	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.03
Hakim Warrick	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	11	64%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	18	53%	0.14	4	-0.11	7	71%	0.01
Brian Cardinal	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Javaris Crittenton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.03	0.04	5	69%	0.03	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Juan Carlos Navarro	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.00	-0.02	0.06	12	61%	0.05	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.03
Darko Milicic	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	11	29%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Miller	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	10	30%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Thornton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.18	0.11	0.05	23	67%	0.31	3	-0.07	12	83%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.05	-0.02	17	57%	0.17	3	-0.07	12	83%	0.03
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.02	0.03	8	78%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Fazekas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	11	54%	0.05	7	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	8	12%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	32.4	15.6	27.3	2.5	32.4	135.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +39.4%

MEM -3.0%

MEM -5.5%

LAC +16.6%

LAC +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAC	NBA	MEM	LAC	NBA
this game	13.5	15.6	15.4	98.0	111.1	105.7
season	14.9	15.6		103.3	99.5
opponent	15.1	14.9		106.8	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.2	13.9	13.0	13.0	13.5
LAC	16.4	15.5	15.3	15.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cardinal	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	9.3	13.8	-4.44	15.0	15.6	-0.63
Casey Jacobsen	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	9.3	13.8	-4.44	15.0	15.6	-0.63
Darko Milicic	55	54	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-9	5	14.1	12.7	1.40	16.0	15.1	0.91
Rudy Gay	82	82	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-7	1	13.7	12.6	1.04	15.6	15.6	-0.00
Mike Conley	66	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.06	-10	-3	-7	14.0	12.5	1.58	15.0	16.7	-1.75
Jason Collins	24	25	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-10	7	12.7	13.8	-1.05	15.3	15.7	-0.36
Mike Miller	62	60	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	-1	-11	15.0	11.1	3.87	15.4	15.8	-0.34
Javaris Crittenton	52	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.24	-1	-12	11	11.9	15.3	-3.41	16.6	14.4	2.15
Juan Carlos Navarro	25	23	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	-3	-7	12.4	13.9	-1.53	15.4	15.6	-0.20
Kyle Lowry	47	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.15	-7	-6	-1	12.5	14.4	-1.93	15.6	15.5	0.08
Hakim Warrick	70	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.03	-14	1	-15	14.3	11.6	2.76	15.4	16.0	-0.58

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	84	84	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.07	15	-2	17	15.5	16.2	-0.72	14.0	10.7	3.27
Al Thornton	92	92	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	1	11	15.7	14.0	1.71	13.2	17.9	-4.68
Josh Powell	49	48	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.05	13	0	13	15.6	15.6	-0.03	13.6	13.4	0.19
Corey Maggette	82	83	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.14	16	-3	19	15.3	16.8	-1.42	14.0	10.9	3.14
Smush Parker	40	40	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.17	4	9	-5	16.2	15.2	1.03	11.6	14.8	-3.15
Chris Kaman	56	56	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.18	3	10	-7	15.6	15.5	0.13	14.1	12.7	1.35
Brevin Knight	71	70	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.10	10	3	7	15.5	15.8	-0.28	14.2	11.9	2.23
Dan Dickau	13	14	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	16	-19	15.9	15.5	0.39	12.1	13.7	-1.67
Nick Fazekas	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	14	-15	14.8	15.6	-0.83	9.4	13.7	-4.32
Marcus Williams	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	17	-21	14.3	15.6	-1.29	6.7	13.7	-7.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 81, CHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.6%
SEA 91, HOU 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.71,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.95,0.96,1	94.3%
DEN 88, GSW 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.95,1	94.1%