NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	129		Excitement	7.5 [174]		MVP	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +29.9%
Oklahoma City Thunder	140		Comeback	2.8 [441]		LVP	Dyson Daniels (ATL): -10.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.06	0.00	24	59%	0.23	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Luke Kennard	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.05	-0.03	8	71%	0.13	2	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Onyeka Okongwu	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.02	-0.03	16	65%	0.19	4	-0.06	8	87%	0.01
V�t Krej?�	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	-0.00	0.00	14	64%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaccharie Risacher	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	9	67%	0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Keaton Wallace	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	112%	0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mouhamed Gueye	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Asa Newell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Dyson Daniels	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	13	48%	0.01	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.21	0.08	-0.01	24	71%	0.35	3	-0.05	7	100%	0.04
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.14	0.08	0.00	8	100%	0.25	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chet Holmgren	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.07	0.03	14	75%	0.22	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Cason Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.17	0.02	0.03	8	106%	0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ajay Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Branden Carlson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	17	51%	0.04	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	9	32%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Aaron Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.8	1.6	26.0	13.7	34.7	1.6	29.3	137.7
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.9	14.5	29.5	2.3	32.7	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +0.7%

OKC +12.6%

OKC +28.2%

OKC +9.0%

ATL -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	OKC	NBA	ATL	OKC	NBA
this game	13.1	13.1	14.1	118.3	127.3	113.9
season	13.2	13.6		114.3	119.1
opponent	14.6	14.4		103.3	114.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.6	13.0	14.3	12.7	13.1
OKC	11.7	13.7	12.4	15.0	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mouhamed Gueye	37	36	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.02	3	-14	17	14.3	12.5	1.77	12.7	13.4	-0.67
Keaton Wallace	73	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	-6	-5	-1	13.8	11.9	1.89	12.5	14.5	-1.98
Asa Newell	88	88	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.17	-10	-1	-9	13.4	12.0	1.46	13.2	13.0	0.13
V�t Krej?�	96	96	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.11	-12	1	-13	13.1	13.2	-0.12	13.4	11.4	1.97
Onyeka Okongwu	107	109	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	0	-11	13.2	9.5	3.70	13.0	25.0	-11.96
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	109	110	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	0	-11	13.1	0.0	13.13	13.1	0.0	13.15
Zaccharie Risacher	79	80	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.16	-12	1	-13	13.3	12.6	0.73	13.3	12.7	0.66
Dyson Daniels	95	95	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.09	-15	4	-19	13.3	11.9	1.46	13.5	11.2	2.25
Luke Kennard	100	101	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.16	-15	4	-19	13.1	13.3	-0.22	13.0	14.6	-1.54

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Williams	85	85	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.04	19	-8	27	13.2	12.9	0.34	13.1	13.1	0.06
Cason Wallace	95	94	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.10	15	-4	19	13.5	11.1	2.41	13.3	12.0	1.31
Chet Holmgren	82	82	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.06	16	-5	21	13.4	12.4	1.06	12.8	14.2	-1.40
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	110	109	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	0	11	13.1	0.0	13.15	13.1	0.0	13.13
Alex Caruso	107	107	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.17	11	0	11	13.2	9.7	3.58	13.1	16.0	-2.93
Luguentz Dort	79	79	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	-1	13	13.0	13.6	-0.65	13.4	12.4	1.01
Branden Carlson	75	74	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	-1	13	12.8	13.9	-1.09	13.2	12.9	0.36
Isaiah Joe	55	54	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	2	7	12.3	13.9	-1.60	13.4	12.9	0.55
Ajay Mitchell	98	97	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	7	-3	13.0	14.5	-1.52	13.3	11.9	1.36
Kenrich Williams	62	62	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.04	7	4	3	13.0	13.3	-0.33	13.8	12.3	1.54
Aaron Wiggins	27	26	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	15	-19	13.6	13.0	0.54	13.5	13.0	0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.64,0.87,0.87,0.79,0.89,0.9,0.74,0.81,0.91,0.81,0.94,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 96, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	92.6%
LAL 96, MEM 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.89,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.99,1	92.0%
DAL 100, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.76,0.9,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	91.8%