NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	106		Excitement	8.4 [175]		MVP	Scottie Barnes (TOR): +17.0%
Toronto Raptors	107		Comeback	14.9 [59]		LVP	Collin Murray-Boyles (TOR): -34.9%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.06	0.01	10	45%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jase Richardson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	7	44%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Goga Bitadze	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	40%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Tristan da Silva	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jonathan Isaac	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.05	-0.00	8	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Cain	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Noah Penda	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Desmond Bane	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	18	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Anthony Black	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.15	0.06	-0.22	-0.01	19	60%	-0.03	4	-0.12	7	100%	0.03
Paolo Banchero	-0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.25	0.06	-0.32	-0.00	19	55%	-0.24	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17	0.17	-0.01	0.16	-0.02	12	50%	0.24	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.07
Gradey Dick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.00	0.02	7	75%	0.10	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Jamal Shead	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	15	59%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Sandro Mamukelashvili	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.02	0.03	10	57%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Ochai Agbaji	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamison Battle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Bamba	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ja'Kobe Walter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.06	0.00	6	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Brandon Ingram	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.10	-0.03	22	35%	-0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	12	17%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Collin Murray-Boyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.35	-0.35	-0.10	-0.25	-0.00	6	25%	-0.16	2	-0.19	4	25%	-0.20

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	0.3	35.9	0.0	27.1	0.0	30.9	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +28.2%

TOR +1.9%

TOR +14.3%

ORL -8.7%

TOR +14.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	TOR	NBA	ORL	TOR	NBA
this game	15.5	14.5	14.2	110.4	111.5	113.5
season	14.1	14.0		112.5	112.8
opponent	14.7	14.1		111.1	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.0	16.7	14.5	18.0	15.5
TOR	15.6	13.5	13.7	15.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jase Richardson	72	70	0.46	-0.96	1.41	0.05	14	-15	29	14.4	18.7	-4.39	14.6	14.2	0.41
Jamal Cain	81	79	0.34	-0.84	1.19	0.14	7	-8	15	14.7	19.8	-5.15	14.8	12.9	1.95
Noah Penda	25	25	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.10	11	-12	23	13.0	16.3	-3.27	15.6	14.1	1.45
Jonathan Isaac	10	10	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.13	10	-11	21	13.9	15.6	-1.74	18.4	14.0	4.37
Goga Bitadze	87	86	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	1	-3	15.3	16.7	-1.33	14.5	14.8	-0.35
Desmond Bane	96	96	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.12	-1	0	-1	15.5	0.0	15.46	14.5	0.0	14.49
Wendell Carter Jr.	65	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-7	6	-13	16.3	13.7	2.53	14.3	15.0	-0.67
Tyus Jones	76	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.13	-9	8	-17	16.0	13.4	2.60	14.6	14.2	0.30
Anthony Black	77	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.51	0	-1	1	15.4	15.8	-0.41	15.2	11.8	3.33
Paolo Banchero	83	82	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.41	-6	5	-11	15.9	12.8	3.02	14.7	13.2	1.49
Tristan da Silva	81	81	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.52	-7	6	-13	15.3	16.1	-0.72	14.5	14.5	-0.05

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Shead	84	85	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.53	5	-4	9	14.7	13.0	1.70	15.4	16.0	-0.61
Collin Murray-Boyles	86	88	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.39	8	-7	15	14.7	13.1	1.55	15.4	16.6	-1.27
Ja'Kobe Walter	72	74	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.50	4	-3	7	14.6	14.2	0.32	15.4	15.7	-0.29
Brandon Ingram	84	83	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.46	5	-4	9	14.7	13.0	1.70	15.4	15.6	-0.18
Scottie Barnes	96	96	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	14.5	0.0	14.49	15.5	0.0	15.46
Jamison Battle	8	8	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	-1	3	16.6	14.3	2.33	15.1	15.5	-0.36
Ochai Agbaji	63	62	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.19	3	-2	5	14.3	14.8	-0.55	15.3	15.8	-0.52
Sandro Mamukelashvili	54	55	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	3	-5	14.5	14.5	-0.02	14.8	16.3	-1.54
Mo Bamba	10	9	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.09	-9	10	-19	13.2	14.6	-1.44	16.1	15.4	0.72
Immanuel Quickley	80	80	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	-0.10	-10	11	-21	14.3	15.6	-1.36	14.7	19.2	-4.47
Gradey Dick	59	58	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	0.05	-16	17	-33	15.1	13.5	1.68	13.8	18.0	-4.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.2,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.31,0.27,0.17,0.21,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.19,0.33,0.61,0.72,0.68,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 115, MIA 120	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.24,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.33,0.61,0.72,0.78,0.73,1	92.9%
UTA 107, GSW 111	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.21,0.25,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.1,0.26,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.11,0.23,0.38,0.63,0.69,0.58,1	91.6%
ORL 112, IND 114	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.17,0.38,0.64,0.85,0.9,1	91.4%