NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	120		Excitement	6.8 [230]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +29.2%
Brooklyn Nets	107		Comeback	2.6 [328]		LVP	Gui Santos (GSW): -10.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.16	0.12	-0.01	15	73%	0.38	2	-0.09	7	86%	0.05
Jimmy Butler III	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.03	0.02	9	70%	0.18	1	-0.04	12	92%	0.04
De'Anthony Melton	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.03	0.02	6	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brandin Podziemski	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.05	0.00	6	58%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	5	83%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Buddy Hield	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	3	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Trayce Jackson-Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	6	79%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Quinten Post	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Will Richard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.02	0.06	7	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Pat Spencer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moses Moody	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	8	22%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Gui Santos	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Porter Jr.	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	-0.01	-0.01	18	67%	0.21	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.00
Egor D�min	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	17	64%	0.15	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Nolan Traore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	6	75%	0.15	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.01	9	71%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Drake Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Day'Ron Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	3	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Wolf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	12	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Noah Clowney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	55%	0.05	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	40%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.9	0.1	28.2	13.6	31.7	0.1	38.6	142.1
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.9	14.5	29.5	2.3	32.7	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +17.4%

GSW +14.1%

GSW +14.5%

GSW +2.6%

GSW +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	BKN	NBA	GSW	BKN	NBA
this game	14.9	14.9	14.1	125.0	110.3	113.8
season	14.7	14.9		112.4	110.9
opponent	14.2	13.6		115.3	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	16.0	14.0	14.0	15.9	14.9
BKN	14.6	14.8	15.4	14.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
De'Anthony Melton	96	97	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	0	13	14.9	0.0	14.93	14.9	0.0	14.89
Jimmy Butler III	96	97	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	0	13	14.9	0.0	14.93	14.9	0.0	14.89
Trayce Jackson-Davis	87	87	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.30	6	7	-1	15.1	13.4	1.64	15.1	12.9	2.21
Draymond Green	69	69	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	4	5	15.1	14.4	0.72	15.3	13.8	1.50
Will Richard	58	58	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.05	8	5	3	14.8	15.2	-0.38	15.5	14.0	1.48
Pat Spencer	50	49	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.03	6	7	-1	14.0	15.9	-1.89	15.1	14.7	0.39
Brandin Podziemski	75	75	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	13	-13	15.5	12.8	2.77	15.2	13.8	1.44
Buddy Hield	23	23	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.06	3	10	-7	14.6	15.0	-0.42	15.4	14.7	0.66
Stephen Curry	66	66	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	15	-17	15.4	13.9	1.45	14.5	15.6	-1.07
Gui Santos	58	55	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.13	-2	15	-17	14.8	15.2	-0.43	15.5	14.1	1.40
Quinten Post	28	29	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	17	-21	15.3	14.8	0.51	14.8	14.9	-0.13
Gary Payton II	53	52	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.02	-2	15	-17	14.5	15.4	-0.89	15.4	14.3	1.11
Moses Moody	24	23	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.15	-15	28	-43	17.8	14.0	3.87	13.3	15.4	-2.02

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terance Mann	72	72	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-15	17	14.3	16.5	-2.20	15.9	12.0	3.85
Egor D�min	84	83	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-13	13	14.4	17.8	-3.42	15.2	12.9	2.32
Nic Claxton	84	83	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-13	13	14.4	17.8	-3.42	15.2	12.9	2.32
Day'Ron Sharpe	58	59	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.13	-1	-12	11	15.1	14.6	0.50	14.9	15.0	-0.16
Nolan Traore	57	58	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.22	-1	-12	11	14.3	15.7	-1.38	15.2	14.6	0.58
Noah Clowney	60	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-10	7	14.6	15.4	-0.84	15.9	13.4	2.48
Drake Powell	93	93	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-5	-3	15.0	11.7	3.27	14.9	15.0	-0.08
Michael Porter Jr.	89	90	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-5	-3	15.3	10.5	4.78	15.0	13.8	1.17
Cam Thomas	61	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-7	1	15.0	14.6	0.44	15.0	14.8	0.21
Danny Wolf	74	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.16	-8	-5	-3	15.3	13.5	1.85	14.9	15.1	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.57,0.64,0.72,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.34,0.48,0.21,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.1,0.04,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 95, MEM 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.06,0.12,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0	93.9%
NOH 96, ATL 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.33,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.1,0,0	93.7%
CLE 114, ORL 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.51,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.28,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.21,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.1%