NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	114		Excitement	6.9 [455]		MVP	Dwight Howard (ORL): +8.5%
Orlando Magic	106		Comeback	2.6 [208]		LVP	Ira Newble (CLE): -14.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Traylor	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	13	65%	0.08	1	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01
LeBron James	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	23	59%	0.12	2	-0.05	10	80%	0.02
Drew Gooden	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	-0.02	0.06	-0.03	23	52%	0.11	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Sasha Pavlovic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	56%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Eric Snow	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	2	75%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	15	47%	0.01	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Ira Newble	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	9	22%	-0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	14	72%	0.16	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Mario Kasun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	70%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Mark Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	15	58%	0.07	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.05
Andre Barrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	70%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.00	1	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	0.02	13	64%	0.08	5	-0.13	10	60%	-0.02
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	14	55%	0.07	7	-0.15	3	67%	-0.01
Brandon Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	480.3	2.4	33.4	16.4	29.8	1.0	37.3	600.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL -15.5%

CLE +26.9%

CLE +5.0%

CLE +34.1%

ORL -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ORL	NBA	CLE	ORL	NBA
this game	16.9	13.2	15.5	120.0	110.4	104.0
season	16.2	14.3		104.6	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.3		105.1	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.9	17.1	19.6	14.6	16.9
ORL	14.4	15.0	11.7	12.1	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	38	40	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.13	15	-7	22	14.9	18.3	-3.40	12.6	13.7	-1.05
Drew Gooden	82	85	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.29	9	-1	10	16.5	19.4	-2.84	13.4	11.6	1.81
LeBron James	95	96	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.27	8	0	8	16.9	0.0	16.94	13.2	0.0	13.24
Jeff McInnis	78	78	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.31	0	8	-8	17.0	16.7	0.28	13.0	14.4	-1.48
Anderson Varejao	42	42	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.03	10	-2	12	18.6	15.6	2.93	13.9	12.7	1.22
Sasha Pavlovic	18	19	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.03	8	0	8	16.9	16.9	0.01	15.4	12.7	2.65
Robert Traylor	66	65	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.28	-3	11	-14	16.4	18.2	-1.83	12.5	14.7	-2.22
Ira Newble	56	55	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.12	-7	15	-22	18.2	15.1	3.20	13.3	13.1	0.25

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelvin Cato	40	40	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.10	6	-14	20	13.1	13.3	-0.24	16.7	17.1	-0.32
Jameer Nelson	85	84	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.16	6	-14	20	13.0	15.4	-2.40	16.6	19.3	-2.64
Mario Kasun	5	5	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	-2	-4	17.6	13.0	4.60	16.6	17.0	-0.36
Dwight Howard	82	80	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-10	12	13.0	14.6	-1.56	15.8	22.9	-7.12
Tony Battie	31	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.16	1	-9	10	12.3	13.7	-1.40	15.5	17.6	-2.10
Stacey Augmon	5	5	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	-2	-4	20.0	12.9	7.13	18.4	16.9	1.54
Andre Barrett	10	11	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-2	-4	15.6	13.0	2.63	18.1	16.8	1.31
Mark Jones	18	18	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-2	-4	13.5	13.2	0.32	20.9	16.0	4.88
Brandon Hunter	26	26	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	2	-12	14.0	13.0	1.04	19.8	15.9	3.90
Pat Garrity	8	9	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	1	-10	14.7	13.1	1.65	24.6	16.1	8.42
DeShawn Stevenson	81	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	-3	-2	12.9	15.1	-2.17	16.0	21.4	-5.45
Steve Francis	89	89	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.27	-7	-1	-6	13.1	14.9	-1.74	17.1	15.2	1.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.51,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.28,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.21,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 100, NYK 90	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.53,0.44,0.51,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.15,0.11,0.19,0.11,0.19,0.1,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	93.9%
MIL 94, TOR 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.19,0.07,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.09,0.1,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.4%
LAL 104, SAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.21,0.28,0.19,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.2%