NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	115		Excitement	6.2 [486]		MVP	Tre Johnson (WAS): +22.9%
Washington Wizards	101		Comeback	1.9 [782]		LVP	Jamaree Bouyea (PHX): -10.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Collin Gillespie	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.19	0.04	0.02	14	89%	0.26	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.08	0.01	20	55%	0.19	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.03
Royce O'Neale	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.03	8	94%	0.15	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Goodwin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	14	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Livers	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nigel Hayes-Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khaman Maluach	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oso Ighodaro	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.02	3	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rasheer Fleming	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	0.02	0.04	23	42%	-0.04	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.00
Nick Richards	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	8	12%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaree Bouyea	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	6	14%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tre Johnson	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.17	0.02	-0.04	12	96%	0.26	3	-0.03	1	100%	-0.00
Bub Carrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	62%	0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Champagnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	9	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Anthony Gill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
AJ Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malaki Branham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamir Watkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bilal Coulibaly	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	8	59%	0.03	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Will Riley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0.04	10	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alex Sarr	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	13	53%	0.01	3	-0.09	6	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	0.1	29.3	13.6	30.9	0.1	29.6	126.6
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -1.8%

PHX +7.6%

PHX +22.0%

PHX +15.5%

PHX +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	WAS	NBA	PHX	WAS	NBA
this game	15.3	14.4	14.2	118.6	104.1	113.4
season	14.4	13.9		112.6	108.4
opponent	14.0	14.6		119.7	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.6	15.5	14.9	16.2	15.3
WAS	13.6	14.5	15.1	14.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oso Ighodaro	77	77	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.05	21	-7	28	14.6	17.6	-3.00	14.6	13.6	1.01
Dillon Brooks	83	82	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.04	20	-6	26	14.9	17.5	-2.61	14.5	13.8	0.71
Royce O'Neale	88	87	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.03	16	-2	18	15.4	14.4	0.91	14.4	14.4	0.00
Devin Booker	91	92	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.01	16	-2	18	15.3	14.2	1.17	14.4	15.2	-0.84
Jordan Goodwin	87	87	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.19	9	5	4	15.2	15.8	-0.59	14.6	12.8	1.79
Rasheer Fleming	80	77	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	8	-2	15.1	16.1	-0.96	14.4	14.4	-0.06
Jamaree Bouyea	80	77	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	8	-2	15.1	16.1	-0.96	14.4	14.4	-0.06
Nigel Hayes-Davis	23	22	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.08	9	5	4	16.1	15.0	1.07	14.3	14.4	-0.17
Khaman Maluach	23	22	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.08	9	5	4	16.1	15.0	1.07	14.3	14.4	-0.17
Collin Gillespie	83	82	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	9	-4	15.3	14.9	0.40	14.2	15.7	-1.57
Isaiah Livers	33	33	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.07	5	9	-4	16.2	14.8	1.48	13.9	14.7	-0.75
Nick Richards	66	65	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.13	-6	20	-26	15.1	15.6	-0.55	14.0	15.3	-1.31

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Bagley III	71	71	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.14	1	-15	16	14.4	14.5	-0.08	15.2	15.6	-0.42
Anthony Gill	22	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.08	-9	-5	-4	14.3	14.4	-0.17	16.1	15.0	1.07
AJ Johnson	22	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.08	-9	-5	-4	14.3	14.4	-0.17	16.1	15.0	1.07
Bilal Coulibaly	76	78	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-6	-2	14.5	14.1	0.33	15.5	14.2	1.38
Jamir Watkins	64	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	-3	-8	14.9	13.4	1.53	15.6	14.5	1.06
Malaki Branham	88	90	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	-3	-8	14.6	12.7	1.91	15.1	17.3	-2.17
Bub Carrington	87	90	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.02	-14	0	-14	14.4	14.3	0.11	15.2	16.1	-0.94
Justin Champagnie	86	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.15	-9	-5	-4	14.7	12.2	2.50	15.2	16.0	-0.84
Will Riley	97	97	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.09	-14	0	-14	14.4	0.0	14.40	15.3	0.0	15.27
CJ McCollum	78	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.01	-17	3	-20	14.5	13.9	0.57	14.9	17.0	-2.13
Tre Johnson	75	74	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	0.11	-26	12	-38	15.0	12.5	2.52	14.7	17.0	-2.27
Alex Sarr	74	73	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	0.13	-27	13	-40	14.9	13.0	1.89	14.8	16.7	-1.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.19,0.09,0.14,0.29,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 120, SAS 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.3,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0	94.9%
ATL 87, VAN 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0,0	94.4%
GSW 93, NOH 72	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.2%