NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	123		Excitement	7.0 [212]		MVP	Bobby Portis (MIL): +39.3%
Charlotte Hornets	113		Comeback	3.5 [222]		LVP	Tidjane Sala�n (CHA): -6.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Portis	0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.35,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.22	0.18	0.00	12	89%	0.43	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Myles Turner	0.29	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.18	0.08	-0.03	12	77%	0.29	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Gary Trent Jr.	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.01	6	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.12	-0.01	0.05	16	67%	0.12	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.04
Gary Harris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
AJ Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	13	54%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Ryan Rollins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	10	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	6	83%	-0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	-0.05	0.02	22	55%	0.10	1	-0.03	12	83%	0.01
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	0.00	12	62%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Liam McNeeley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moussa Diabat�	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.02	0.03	9	70%	0.10	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
LaMelo Ball	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	23	54%	0.19	6	-0.17	2	100%	0.01
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tre Mann	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Hall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Sion James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tidjane Sala�n	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	1.7	27.9	0.1	41.7	0.0	29.7	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.9	14.5	29.5	2.3	32.7	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +49.5%

MIL +4.1%

CHA -18.9%

MIL +15.3%

MIL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHA	NBA	MIL	CHA	NBA
this game	14.0	16.4	14.1	129.5	120.2	113.8
season	14.6	14.6		112.4	113.9
opponent	14.0	14.2		115.9	115.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.6	13.1	12.2	15.5	14.0
CHA	13.6	15.2	18.6	18.8	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Harris	76	74	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.24	9	1	8	14.3	13.0	1.28	16.4	16.3	0.15
AJ Green	70	70	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.11	13	-3	16	14.6	12.5	2.09	16.4	16.4	-0.00
Myles Turner	83	83	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.11	12	-2	14	14.2	12.7	1.55	16.5	15.5	0.98
Ryan Rollins	83	83	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.11	12	-2	14	14.2	12.7	1.55	16.5	15.5	0.98
Bobby Portis	75	74	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.20	9	1	8	14.3	13.1	1.17	16.1	17.4	-1.25
Kyle Kuzma	85	85	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	1	8	14.0	14.6	-0.65	16.4	16.2	0.21
Kevin Porter Jr.	87	86	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.22	3	7	-4	14.4	10.0	4.39	16.2	18.5	-2.28
Gary Trent Jr.	77	77	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.07	6	4	2	13.7	15.4	-1.69	15.9	18.7	-2.80
Giannis Antetokounmpo	61	59	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.08	4	6	-2	14.7	12.9	1.77	16.1	16.9	-0.84
Jericho Sims	24	24	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	13	-16	15.6	13.5	2.09	14.2	17.2	-2.96

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Collin Sexton	66	68	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.05	2	-12	14	15.6	18.4	-2.77	13.9	14.3	-0.44
Tre Mann	19	18	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-8	6	15.2	16.7	-1.51	15.7	13.6	2.03
Miles Bridges	14	13	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.08	-7	-3	-4	15.5	16.6	-1.08	16.0	13.7	2.29
PJ Hall	72	73	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.09	-4	-6	2	15.9	18.0	-2.01	13.8	14.8	-1.04
Liam McNeeley	42	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.09	-6	-4	-2	16.8	16.1	0.71	13.0	14.8	-1.78
Sion James	79	80	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-7	4	15.5	21.3	-5.85	14.6	10.7	3.90
Josh Green	87	89	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-6	2	16.2	19.0	-2.79	14.2	11.0	3.22
Moussa Diabat�	93	94	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.23	-8	-2	-6	16.6	0.0	16.59	14.2	1.0	13.16
Brandon Miller	93	94	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.20	-11	1	-12	16.3	28.0	-11.71	14.2	1.0	13.16
Tidjane Sala�n	93	94	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.20	-11	1	-12	16.3	28.0	-11.71	14.2	1.0	13.16
LaMelo Ball	83	84	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.11	-18	8	-26	17.1	11.3	5.82	13.9	15.1	-1.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.48,0.22,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 102, MIN 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.24,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.0%
MIL 91, MIA 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0	92.5%
MIL 90, PHI 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	92.5%