NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	115		Excitement	9.3 [101]		MVP	Devin Booker (PHX): +32.7%
New Orleans Pelicans	108		Comeback	2.5 [387]		LVP	Derik Queen (NOP): -16.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.12	0.21	0.01	16	70%	0.42	4	-0.09	11	82%	0.06
Mark Williams	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.01,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.18	0.09	0.10	0.01	13	71%	0.32	3	-0.14	8	75%	0.03
Dillon Brooks	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13	-0.02	0.10	-0.05	12	50%	0.17	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.04
Oso Ighodaro	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheer Fleming	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Dunn	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.01	0.02	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Collin Gillespie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	14	57%	0.07	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Jamaree Bouyea	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	21%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Goodwin	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	9	22%	-0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Alvarado	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	7	69%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Yves Missi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	4	70%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Trey Murphy III	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.10	0.03	16	54%	0.14	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Zion Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	10	59%	0.10	2	-0.06	14	71%	-0.02
Karlo Matkovi?	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Micah Peavy	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremiah Fears	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	7	53%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
Bryce McGowens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.03
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.11,-0.05,-0.06,0,0,0,0.06,-0.01,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.08	0.01	18	45%	0.02	2	-0.14	6	50%	-0.08
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	14	30%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Derik Queen	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	9	32%	-0.02	3	-0.14	4	25%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.9	0.0	27.9	0.0	40.2	0.0	41.1	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +33.2%

PHX +24.2%

NOP -1.0%

NOP -7.2%

PHX +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NOP	NBA	PHX	NOP	NBA
this game	14.1	13.5	14.2	110.6	103.8	113.5
season	14.1	14.2		113.1	111.3
opponent	14.1	14.6		117.2	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.2	14.4	14.4	13.5	14.1
NOP	14.3	12.2	13.8	13.7	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Williams	77	76	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.32	10	-3	13	13.8	15.1	-1.32	13.9	12.2	1.68
Devin Booker	103	104	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.31	7	0	7	14.2	3.0	11.24	13.5	0.0	13.48
Dillon Brooks	96	95	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.30	7	0	7	14.2	13.5	0.69	13.6	12.0	1.62
Jordan Goodwin	103	103	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.34	5	2	3	14.2	8.0	6.19	13.6	6.0	7.55
Collin Gillespie	103	104	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.28	7	0	7	14.2	3.0	11.24	13.5	0.0	13.48
Ryan Dunn	79	80	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.38	-1	8	-9	14.4	13.2	1.18	13.9	12.1	1.82
Jamaree Bouyea	59	62	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	11	-15	14.6	13.5	1.14	13.9	12.9	1.01
Oso Ighodaro	67	69	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.02	-5	12	-17	14.5	13.5	1.05	13.7	13.1	0.64
Royce O'Neale	72	74	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.05	-8	15	-23	14.7	12.8	1.95	13.8	12.8	1.00
Rasheer Fleming	52	53	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	-0.04	-11	18	-29	15.2	13.1	2.08	13.1	13.9	-0.83

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryce McGowens	69	70	0.30	-0.80	1.11	0.07	8	-15	23	13.6	13.3	0.21	15.0	12.4	2.52
Karlo Matkovi?	30	30	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-8	9	14.1	13.2	0.82	14.5	14.0	0.47
Micah Peavy	40	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-2	-3	14.2	13.0	1.13	14.2	14.1	0.07
Jeremiah Fears	47	46	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.05	-11	4	-15	14.7	12.4	2.31	13.7	14.5	-0.75
Yves Missi	49	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.34	-1	-6	5	14.2	12.9	1.29	14.3	14.0	0.32
Jose Alvarado	100	99	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	-1	-5	13.7	7.7	5.96	14.1	14.8	-0.70
Jordan Poole	93	93	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.30	-7	0	-7	13.8	10.7	3.08	13.8	16.9	-3.10
Zion Williamson	101	102	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.27	-9	2	-11	13.5	12.7	0.84	14.2	8.5	5.75
Saddiq Bey	78	79	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.26	-12	5	-17	14.0	12.0	2.03	13.6	15.8	-2.25
Trey Murphy III	90	90	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.29	-13	6	-19	13.8	11.3	2.54	13.9	15.5	-1.58
Derik Queen	66	66	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.23	-16	9	-25	14.5	11.6	2.91	13.5	15.2	-1.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.22,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.4,0.67,0.47,0.46,0.23,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 71, HOU 67	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.47,0.38,0.64,0.23,0.02,0	91.9%
UTA 102, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.63,0.69,0.49,0.67,0.62,0.39,0.23,0.08,0	91.7%
GSW 83, NYK 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.53,0.65,0.71,0.62,0.37,0.09,0.09,0	91.7%