inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 126 Excitement6.0 [271] MVPPelle Larsson (MIA): +16.8%
Atlanta Hawks 111 Comeback1.2 [238] LVPOnyeka Okongwu (ATL): -15.5%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pelle Larsson0.170,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.180.010.021381%0.1700.0000%0.00
Kasparas Jaku?ionis0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.070.03-0.01480%0.1200.002100%0.01
Andrew Wiggins0.100,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.050.05-0.001753%0.1000.0000%0.00
Norman Powell0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.130.030.061668%0.152-0.065100%0.01
Kel'el Ware0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.070.010.051080%0.103-0.0700%0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.011447%0.021-0.02683%0.01
Dru Smith0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.01-0.02833%0.0000.002100%0.02
Davion Mitchell-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.02837%-0.002-0.0600%0.00
Nikola Jovi?-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.090.01-0.011432%-0.052-0.023100%0.02

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jalen Johnson0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.060.04-0.021763%0.184-0.05475%0.00
Trae Young0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.150.010.031673%0.244-0.129100%0.04
Mouhamed Gueye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.050.00080%0.0900.00580%0.01
Vít Krej?í0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.02-0.03961%0.082-0.0200%0.00
Dyson Daniels0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.00667%0.043-0.0600%0.00
Asa Newell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.00250%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.01-0.020.041452%-0.002-0.051100%0.00
Zaccharie Risacher0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.030.02462%-0.012-0.0600%0.00
Keaton Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0010%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Onyeka Okongwu0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.07-0.040.041635%-0.141-0.022100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.51.327.113.326.70.030.00.0
league avg26.32.128.914.529.52.332.7136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +19.6%
ATL -7.5%
MIA +17.9%
MIA +18.7%
MIA +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAATLNBAMIAATLNBA
this game13.612.414.1114.5100.0113.9
season12.613.2114.0114.3
opponent14.414.6114.5110.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.611.512.816.113.6
ATL13.012.912.111.612.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Davion Mitchell85870.61-0.110.73-0.1225-103514.012.41.6512.611.51.14
Pelle Larsson81830.54-0.040.58-0.0520-52514.112.31.8012.512.00.58
Kel'el Ware1021040.51-0.010.530.071501513.910.23.6512.511.11.34
Andrew Wiggins1101110.500.000.500.061501513.60.013.6412.40.012.40
Jaime Jaquez Jr.95950.430.070.370.14105512.819.1-6.2912.810.22.51
Dru Smith91920.410.090.320.11105512.917.1-4.1312.710.81.94
Norman Powell92940.340.160.19-0.01123914.310.14.2812.611.41.23
Nikola Jovi?89890.290.210.070.0878-113.812.90.9012.312.8-0.53
Kasparas Jaku?ionis65650.110.39-0.280.17-217-1913.613.8-0.2012.712.00.71

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mouhamed Gueye55550.08-0.580.66-0.106-212712.512.30.1913.613.7-0.04
Keaton Wallace77-0.05-0.450.390.00-2-131114.012.31.7110.613.8-3.27
Vít Krej?í9796-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.08-7-8112.114.5-2.4114.29.64.66
Jalen Johnson9696-0.34-0.16-0.190.01-12-3-912.611.11.5414.110.43.76
Asa Newell3030-0.36-0.14-0.230.02-13-2-1112.212.5-0.2213.113.8-0.74
Zaccharie Risacher4948-0.41-0.09-0.320.12-183-2113.611.52.1412.914.2-1.39
Dyson Daniels9999-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.03-14-1-1312.610.91.6613.911.12.83
Trae Young110110-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.08-13-2-1112.51.011.5013.60.013.64
Nickeil Alexander-Walker111110-0.500.00-0.50-0.06-150-1512.40.012.4013.60.013.64
Onyeka Okongwu111110-0.500.00-0.50-0.06-150-1512.40.012.4013.60.013.64


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.25,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.44,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.08,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 107, SAC 920.5,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.3%
TOR 102, ATL 860.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.17,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,093.8%
TOR 93, BOS 720.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,093.5%