inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 110 Excitement5.6 [377] MVPShai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +21.4%
San Antonio Spurs 130 Comeback1.7 [173] LVPJalen Williams (OKC): -11.9%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0.210,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.170.070.032267%0.272-0.06580%-0.01
Luguentz Dort0.160,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.130.060.03894%0.201-0.0300%0.00
Isaiah Joe0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.000.003100%0.0800.002100%0.01
Kenrich Williams0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.080.000.065100%0.0210.0000%0.00
Aaron Wiggins0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.001150%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Branden Carlson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Youngblood0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brooks Barnhizer0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cason Wallace-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.00633%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Chet Holmgren-0.050,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.03-0.011035%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.020.01757%0.003-0.0700%0.00
Alex Caruso-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.05-0.05-0.00333%-0.022-0.0800%0.00
Jalen Williams-0.120,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.04-0.060.011847%-0.033-0.0900%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephon Castle0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.160.080.031280%0.272-0.066100%0.04
Keldon Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.180.070.051678%0.221-0.0200%0.00
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.170.000.02983%0.1600.006100%0.04
Devin Vassell0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.020.031457%0.0700.002100%0.01
Luke Kornet0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.080.020.053100%0.0500.002100%0.00
Dylan Harper0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.010.01367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Lindy Waters III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Carter Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Jordan McLaughlin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Victor Wembanyama0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.000.00960%0.083-0.09250%-0.01
Julian Champagnie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.03540%0.013-0.0500%0.00
De'Aaron Fox0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.03-0.01927%-0.0900.0040%-0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.51.531.413.726.91.731.0128.6
league avg26.32.028.914.429.62.332.8136.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +16.9%
SAS +15.2%
OKC -1.3%
SAS +19.7%
OKC -0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCSASNBAOKCSASNBA
this game14.815.414.2114.6138.3113.6
season13.613.9118.2115.7
opponent14.414.6111.1104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC12.913.517.915.714.8
SAS14.016.614.217.015.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kenrich Williams3536-0.29-0.21-0.080.15-15-5-1014.515.0-0.4716.714.62.06
Branden Carlson2222-0.30-0.20-0.090.14-15-5-1015.714.61.1517.014.92.10
Chris Youngblood2222-0.30-0.20-0.090.14-15-5-1015.714.61.1517.014.92.10
Brooks Barnhizer2222-0.30-0.20-0.090.14-15-5-1015.714.61.1517.014.92.10
Aaron Wiggins4948-0.34-0.16-0.190.01-12-8-415.114.60.5714.416.5-2.08
Isaiah Hartenstein6362-0.37-0.13-0.240.10-16-4-1215.513.61.9315.714.80.93
Luguentz Dort7977-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.01-15-5-1015.412.42.9615.515.10.41
Chet Holmgren8380-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.14-11-9-215.212.42.8415.017.5-2.47
Jalen Williams8380-0.48-0.02-0.450.05-18-2-1615.311.73.6515.316.0-0.71
Alex Caruso5757-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.11-13-7-615.613.71.9415.215.7-0.47
Isaiah Joe6867-0.50-0.00-0.500.12-211-2215.613.02.6016.113.52.63
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander8886-0.520.02-0.540.01-18-2-1615.49.26.1015.217.5-2.30
Cason Wallace8481-0.520.02-0.540.01-18-2-1615.212.03.2515.216.6-1.42

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luke Kornet87890.61-0.110.730.032002015.613.02.5915.29.75.53
Victor Wembanyama77800.60-0.100.700.041911815.017.0-1.9615.511.73.79
Stephon Castle67700.60-0.100.70-0.0221-12215.415.30.1915.812.33.53
Keldon Johnson76770.57-0.070.64-0.022002015.514.80.6915.113.81.25
Dylan Harper77760.51-0.010.52-0.051911815.415.40.0515.412.52.90
De'Aaron Fox89910.500.000.500.001731415.513.81.6815.011.43.63
Julian Champagnie79820.490.010.480.021641214.917.8-2.8615.212.62.66
Devin Vassell79810.330.170.17-0.05137615.813.02.8514.914.30.60
Lindy Waters III22220.300.200.09-0.141551017.014.92.1015.714.61.15
Carter Bryant22220.300.200.09-0.141551017.014.92.1015.714.61.15
Kelly Olynyk22220.300.200.09-0.141551017.014.92.1015.714.61.15
Jordan McLaughlin22220.300.200.09-0.141551017.014.92.1015.714.61.15
Bismack Biyombo22220.300.200.09-0.141551017.014.92.1015.714.61.15
Harrison Barnes61640.220.28-0.05-0.01812-415.415.5-0.0915.014.40.61


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.56,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.79,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 108, MEM 1180.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,194.6%
CLE 103, LAC 1090.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.82,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,194.6%
ATL 92, MIA 1010.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.73,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.82,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,193.9%