NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	103		Excitement	5.4 [730]		MVP	Quentin Richardson (LAC): +19.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	109		Comeback	1.4 [1002]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAC): -11.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.03	10	58%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Brian Skinner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Chris Mihm	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.01	11	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Ricky Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	7	56%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Bryant Stith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.03	5	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	19	56%	0.06	3	-0.10	5	80%	-0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.06	0.03	17	62%	0.09	5	-0.19	5	80%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.07	-0.04	13	71%	0.23	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.05	0.03	13	73%	0.16	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.01	-0.06	15	47%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	4	70%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	69%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	13	59%	0.01	5	-0.11	6	83%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	6	36%	-0.04	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	24.2	16.4	27.2	2.5	37.7	133.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +20.6%

LAC +13.6%

LAC +6.1%

LAC +7.8%

LAC +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	LAC	NBA	CLE	LAC	NBA
this game	15.6	15.3	15.6	110.8	117.2	102.3
season	15.8	15.9		102.6	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.5		104.1	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.3	19.2	14.6	14.2	15.6
LAC	16.0	16.8	16.1	13.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryant Stith	14	13	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-9	12	19.4	15.0	4.47	18.8	14.8	3.99
Bimbo Coles	27	29	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.25	10	-16	26	13.9	16.3	-2.41	15.0	15.5	-0.53
Chris Mihm	40	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	1	-8	14.4	16.6	-2.17	15.6	15.1	0.54
Brian Skinner	44	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	1	-8	14.5	16.6	-2.11	15.9	14.9	1.01
Lamond Murray	59	60	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	2	-10	15.4	16.1	-0.72	15.2	15.6	-0.42
Ricky Davis	33	32	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.07	-9	3	-12	19.5	13.5	6.02	16.4	14.8	1.64
Jumaine Jones	49	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-5	4	16.6	14.5	2.11	15.1	15.6	-0.43
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	53	52	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.37	1	-7	8	16.6	14.4	2.17	15.1	15.6	-0.54
Wesley Person	67	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	-3	0	14.1	19.7	-5.63	14.6	17.3	-2.70
Andre Miller	79	77	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.29	-9	3	-12	15.5	16.6	-1.19	15.0	16.9	-1.86

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff McInnis	83	84	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.31	9	-3	12	14.9	19.3	-4.44	15.5	17.0	-1.51
Michael Olowokandi	67	69	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.27	6	0	6	15.1	15.8	-0.66	14.8	18.2	-3.41
Quentin Richardson	47	47	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.35	3	3	0	15.0	15.7	-0.63	16.4	14.8	1.56
Elton Brand	63	63	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.05	13	-7	20	15.7	14.5	1.23	15.2	16.5	-1.28
Corey Maggette	43	42	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.27	3	3	0	14.7	15.9	-1.18	16.7	14.8	1.88
Eric Piatkowski	48	46	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	2	2	15.7	14.9	0.78	14.5	16.7	-2.16
Darius Miles	47	46	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.35	-8	14	-22	14.8	15.9	-1.10	16.4	14.9	1.54
Lamar Odom	46	47	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	3	0	15.7	15.0	0.63	15.1	16.2	-1.07
Sean Rooks	11	12	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	6	-6	17.4	15.1	2.30	19.5	15.1	4.44
Earl Boykins	10	9	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	9	-12	19.3	14.9	4.44	17.0	15.5	1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.82,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 86, NYK 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
DET 79, OKC 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
HOU 85, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%