NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	97		Excitement	5.5 [690]		MVP	Jimmy Butler III (GSW): +19.3%
Golden State Warriors	120		Comeback	1.8 [734]		LVP	Paolo Banchero (ORL): -12.0%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Black	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	12	70%	0.18	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Noah Penda	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Cain	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Desmond Bane	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.03	16	57%	0.05	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	8	45%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Goga Bitadze	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jonathan Isaac	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	12%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Jett Howard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	4	25%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jase Richardson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	11	50%	0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Paolo Banchero	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	19	46%	-0.01	4	-0.11	8	87%	0.03

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler III	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.17	0.04	0.01	9	84%	0.23	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Moses Moody	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.19	0.03	0.04	11	87%	0.17	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.10	-0.02	23	54%	0.24	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Draymond Green	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	69%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Brandin Podziemski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.03	10	70%	0.09	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	70%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.06
Trayce Jackson-Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gui Santos	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinten Post	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.02	10	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Richard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pat Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	5	17%	-0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.2	31.3	15.3	30.1	0.0	30.9	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.8	2.1	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +45.7%

ORL -3.8%

ORL -10.4%

GSW +19.8%

ORL -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	GSW	NBA	ORL	GSW	NBA
this game	14.5	14.4	14.2	98.0	120.0	113.5
season	14.1	14.7		112.3	112.8
opponent	13.8	14.2		113.6	111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.1	13.5	13.4	16.3	14.5
GSW	13.5	14.2	13.7	16.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Cain	22	22	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.24	-17	-6	-11	16.3	14.0	2.27	16.5	13.8	2.63
Jonathan Isaac	73	75	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.18	-17	-6	-11	15.0	13.2	1.83	14.6	13.7	0.91
Tyus Jones	65	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.03	-12	-11	-1	14.5	14.5	0.01	14.7	13.8	0.96
Jett Howard	84	86	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.19	-18	-5	-13	14.5	14.6	-0.11	14.6	13.4	1.21
Wendell Carter Jr.	75	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.04	-15	-8	-7	14.5	14.6	-0.16	14.5	13.9	0.63
Paolo Banchero	80	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	-8	-7	14.6	14.2	0.36	14.3	14.7	-0.35
Jase Richardson	78	81	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.12	-18	-5	-13	14.9	13.1	1.79	14.6	13.7	0.88
Noah Penda	94	96	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.15	-20	-3	-17	14.4	15.8	-1.36	14.5	11.5	3.02
Goga Bitadze	67	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.05	-15	-8	-7	14.7	14.1	0.61	13.7	15.8	-2.03
Desmond Bane	90	91	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.00	-17	-6	-11	14.5	14.4	0.07	14.3	15.3	-1.03
Anthony Black	74	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.01	-18	-5	-13	14.6	14.2	0.41	14.4	14.5	-0.16

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandin Podziemski	86	87	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.14	24	-1	25	14.2	15.4	-1.20	14.7	12.7	2.00
Stephen Curry	78	77	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.05	19	4	15	13.7	16.9	-3.16	14.8	13.6	1.12
Jimmy Butler III	93	93	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.12	21	2	19	14.3	15.7	-1.41	14.7	12.0	2.67
Quinten Post	85	85	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.07	19	4	15	14.4	14.3	0.08	14.7	13.4	1.34
Will Richard	92	90	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.13	19	4	15	14.5	13.1	1.39	14.7	12.9	1.78
Moses Moody	78	77	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.09	17	6	11	14.4	14.5	-0.13	14.7	13.9	0.82
De'Anthony Melton	82	81	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.09	16	7	9	14.4	14.6	-0.19	14.8	13.2	1.57
Gui Santos	43	42	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.21	19	4	15	15.1	13.9	1.26	15.2	14.0	1.23
Pat Spencer	64	63	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.27	20	3	17	14.8	13.7	1.10	15.0	13.6	1.49
Trayce Jackson-Davis	64	63	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.17	16	7	9	14.5	14.2	0.36	15.0	13.6	1.36
Buddy Hield	22	22	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.24	17	6	11	16.5	13.8	2.63	16.3	14.0	2.27
Gary Payton II	44	43	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	22	-21	13.7	14.9	-1.20	14.3	14.7	-0.44
Draymond Green	48	46	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.05	-6	29	-35	14.1	14.7	-0.65	13.8	15.1	-1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 107, MIA 115	0.5,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.68,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.78,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1	94.8%
CHI 67, MIN 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.6,0.79,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
CLE 105, MIL 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%