NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	107		Excitement	6.4 [185]		MVP	Jalen Brunson (NYK): +19.1%
Miami Heat	115		Comeback	1.6 [148]		LVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (NYK): -14.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0.19	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19	0.17	0.04	0.01	26	66%	0.22	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Mikal Bridges	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.16	0.04	0.01	11	77%	0.21	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
OG Anunoby	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	13	50%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Kolek	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	42%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ariel Hukporti	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Guerschon Yabusele	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	11	30%	-0.04	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Landry Shamet	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	5	43%	-0.04	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.03	-0.06	0.06	14	50%	-0.09	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.20	0.03	0.04	15	69%	0.19	1	-0.00	12	100%	0.08
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.03	0.00	8	78%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	12	65%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Dru Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.04	6	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Davion Mitchell	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	56%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Nikola Jovi?	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.04	-0.03	7	40%	0.05	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Kel'el Ware	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pelle Larsson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	9	50%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	15	50%	0.01	6	-0.12	8	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.4	2.6	29.5	0.0	44.9	0.0	28.4	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +35.7%

MIA +16.4%

NYK -4.1%

MIA +0.7%

MIA +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIA	NBA	NYK	MIA	NBA
this game	14.9	12.4	14.1	101.9	108.5	113.8
season	14.9	12.4		120.9	113.4
opponent	14.7	13.9		110.6	112.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.3	15.2	17.0	12.1	14.9
MIA	13.4	10.9	11.3	14.0	12.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ariel Hukporti	38	39	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.10	6	-14	20	14.8	14.9	-0.18	13.0	12.0	0.96
Karl-Anthony Towns	93	94	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-5	2	14.2	20.5	-6.35	12.7	10.2	2.51
Jalen Brunson	97	99	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-4	0	14.2	23.0	-8.79	12.6	9.6	3.02
Mikal Bridges	100	101	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-4	0	14.7	17.6	-2.86	12.6	7.6	5.03
Jordan Clarkson	33	34	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	4	-16	15.4	14.6	0.80	12.4	12.4	-0.06
Landry Shamet	61	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-1	-6	16.0	13.3	2.68	12.5	12.3	0.17
Tyler Kolek	37	38	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.06	-12	4	-16	16.9	13.8	3.07	11.4	12.9	-1.52
OG Anunoby	105	106	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	14.9	0.0	14.88	12.4	0.0	12.40
Josh Hart	105	106	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	14.9	0.0	14.88	12.4	0.0	12.40
Guerschon Yabusele	72	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.04	-17	9	-26	16.4	11.5	4.86	12.2	12.7	-0.50

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Jovi?	91	89	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.27	10	-2	12	12.7	10.3	2.48	15.0	14.2	0.74
Simone Fontecchio	87	87	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.15	13	-5	18	12.1	13.6	-1.51	15.9	10.2	5.68
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	87	87	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.15	13	-5	18	12.1	13.6	-1.51	15.9	10.2	5.68
Bam Adebayo	106	105	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.27	8	0	8	12.4	0.0	12.40	14.9	0.0	14.88
Norman Powell	95	95	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.19	7	1	6	12.5	11.8	0.64	14.7	16.6	-1.91
Andrew Wiggins	93	92	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.18	7	1	6	12.4	12.2	0.19	14.1	20.2	-6.02
Dru Smith	69	69	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.04	11	-3	14	12.7	11.9	0.77	15.8	13.1	2.64
Kel'el Ware	76	76	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	-1	10	12.7	11.7	0.92	15.4	13.4	2.07
Davion Mitchell	77	77	0.34	0.17	0.17	0.28	2	6	-4	12.8	11.2	1.59	14.6	15.6	-1.00
Pelle Larsson	27	28	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.07	6	2	4	10.9	12.9	-2.07	15.2	14.7	0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.68,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.78,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 80, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.64,0.78,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
MEM 92, BOS 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.9,0.9,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
DET 88, GSW 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%