NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	67		Excitement	5.2 [745]		MVP	Ryan Gomes (MIN): +17.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	83		Comeback	1.8 [745]		LVP	Andres Nocioni (CHI): -18.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Viktor Khryapa	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	3	25%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	-0.00	0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Ben Wallace	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	1	83%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Aaron Gray	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	44%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	10	58%	0.11	6	-0.14	4	75%	0.01
Tyrus Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	4	0%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.04	0.01	17	37%	-0.08	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.04	-0.04	12	27%	-0.07	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.07	-0.03	20	57%	0.18	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.01	0.04	24	52%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Mark Madsen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.02	-0.02	8	35%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	10	33%	0.03	3	-0.10	1	0%	-0.02
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.14	-0.01	-0.06	10	10%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	3	29%	-0.00	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.7	27.0	15.4	26.5	2.5	27.4	125.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +16.5%

CHI -2.9%

MIN +15.8%

MIN +19.2%

MIN +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIN	NBA	CHI	MIN	NBA
this game	13.0	16.8	15.4	69.1	86.5	105.7
season	15.0	15.9		102.2	102.2
opponent	15.0	15.5		109.6	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.6	15.1	13.4	11.2	13.0
MIN	16.8	16.9	15.4	18.4	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	67	67	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-12	8	13.2	12.7	0.46	16.7	17.1	-0.32
Andres Nocioni	56	58	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	-8	0	12.7	13.5	-0.85	16.7	17.0	-0.26
Aaron Gray	35	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.19	0	-16	16	12.7	13.2	-0.48	17.8	16.3	1.50
Viktor Khryapa	27	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-10	4	12.8	13.1	-0.29	17.2	16.7	0.54
Joakim Noah	60	61	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.15	-12	-4	-8	12.7	13.5	-0.71	17.0	16.6	0.34
Kirk Hinrich	82	81	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-10	4	13.8	8.6	5.23	16.6	18.1	-1.45
Tyrus Thomas	35	33	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.08	-9	-7	-2	14.4	12.2	2.16	16.4	17.1	-0.64
Thabo Sefolosha	77	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.02	-17	1	-18	12.7	14.3	-1.67	16.9	16.4	0.49
Chris Duhon	46	45	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.04	-18	2	-20	12.0	13.9	-1.86	16.6	17.1	-0.50

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Walker	45	45	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.04	23	-7	30	17.0	16.7	0.29	12.5	13.4	-0.91
Ryan Gomes	87	87	0.61	-0.11	0.73	-0.00	21	-5	26	16.8	17.6	-0.79	13.3	10.6	2.70
Sebastian Telfair	55	56	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	6	4	16.0	18.0	-1.93	13.7	12.1	1.60
Randy Foye	42	43	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.10	6	10	-4	17.3	16.5	0.74	12.1	13.8	-1.71
Michael Doleac	17	16	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.05	8	8	0	16.4	16.9	-0.52	12.7	13.1	-0.32
Craig Smith	26	28	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.26	-4	20	-24	17.1	16.8	0.32	13.4	12.9	0.52
Marko Jaric	61	62	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.05	6	10	-4	17.1	16.4	0.65	13.0	13.0	0.08
Al Jefferson	71	72	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	11	-6	16.9	16.7	0.17	13.2	12.6	0.62
Corey Brewer	46	46	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.08	4	12	-8	16.8	16.9	-0.03	13.0	13.1	-0.12
Gerald Green	27	27	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	15	-14	17.0	16.8	0.17	13.0	13.0	-0.03
Mark Madsen	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	19.7	16.8	2.91	8.0	13.2	-5.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.6,0.79,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 92, NYK 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.67,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,0.99,1,1	94.8%
IND 84, ATL 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
CLE 105, MIL 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%