inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 124 Excitement4.0 [342] MVPDe'Aaron Fox (SAS): +18.7%
Washington Wizards 113 Comeback1.5 [395] LVPDylan Harper (SAS): -9.4%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
De'Aaron Fox0.190,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.180.010.011966%0.1900.00367%-0.00
Harrison Barnes0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.001158%0.0700.002100%0.01
Luke Kornet0.070,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.150.010.091177%0.0700.004100%0.00
Keldon Johnson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.040.09-0.000.05686%0.051-0.022100%0.01
Kelly Olynyk0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Victor Wembanyama0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.031348%0.032-0.02367%-0.01
Stephon Castle0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.070.01-0.061640%0.042-0.041369%-0.01
Julian Champagnie-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.03625%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Devin Vassell-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.011144%-0.031-0.003100%0.00
Dylan Harper-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.17-0.00-0.0786%-0.082-0.02250%-0.01

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tre Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.160.000.041079%0.1200.004100%0.01
Malaki Branham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.010.02856%0.0300.0000%0.00
Tristan Vukcevic0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.020.001945%0.0200.0020%-0.03
Bub Carrington0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.16-0.000.141178%0.041-0.02560%-0.02
Will Riley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00844%0.0100.002100%0.01
Jamir Watkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,00.000.01-0.000.00250%0.0000.004100%0.01
Justin Champagnie0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.01636%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Kyshawn George0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.000.011348%0.012-0.04367%-0.00
CJ McCollum0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.000.021547%-0.012-0.032100%0.00
Anthony Gill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.050.00-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.61.230.114.328.21.335.9142.6
league avg26.32.128.814.629.42.332.7136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +13.9%
SAS +4.8%
SAS +29.2%
WAS -0.9%
SAS +3.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASWASNBASASWASNBA
this game14.213.614.1119.2109.7113.6
season13.913.7117.1108.4
opponent14.214.3121.7112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.511.113.515.914.2
WAS13.316.012.712.313.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stephon Castle100990.52-0.020.530.1114-31714.116.0-1.8613.612.01.65
Dylan Harper74740.51-0.010.52-0.0820-92914.413.80.5314.112.31.72
Luke Kornet1041030.500.000.500.181101114.20.014.2113.60.013.58
De'Aaron Fox1041030.500.000.500.181101114.20.014.2113.60.013.58
Julian Champagnie90900.490.010.490.0515-41914.214.00.2414.110.33.75
Kelly Olynyk28280.480.020.47-0.1020-92913.614.4-0.7816.112.73.42
Keldon Johnson99980.450.050.400.2183514.411.03.3713.515.0-1.49
Devin Vassell83830.420.080.340.1983513.716.4-2.7813.015.8-2.81
Harrison Barnes65660.340.160.180.1665114.613.60.9513.214.2-1.03
Victor Wembanyama73730.320.180.150.0692713.815.2-1.4413.713.30.35

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamir Watkins8283-0.16-0.340.18-0.284-151913.115.5-2.3814.911.53.43
Anthony Gill3435-0.24-0.260.020.08-110-1114.213.30.9314.514.10.41
Will Riley9091-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.13-10-1-913.514.1-0.5714.114.8-0.64
Malaki Branham6968-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.16-10-1-913.513.7-0.2313.515.5-2.01
Tre Johnson9999-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.17-110-1113.710.23.4714.313.21.06
CJ McCollum101102-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.12-132-1513.610.53.1414.022.5-8.45
Bub Carrington99100-0.520.02-0.53-0.11-143-1713.612.01.6514.116.0-1.86
Kyshawn George8890-0.540.04-0.580.02-198-2713.812.51.3114.115.1-1.08
Tristan Vukcevic7173-0.550.05-0.600.09-2211-3314.811.03.7914.513.60.81
Justin Champagnie8383-0.610.11-0.720.06-2312-3513.514.0-0.5214.114.7-0.63


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 111, LAC 920.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.0%
IND 111, POR 870.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%
MIA 107, GSW 880.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%