inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 130 Excitement9.2 [108] MVPCJ McCollum (WAS): +52.9%
Memphis Grizzlies 122 Comeback12.8 [9] LVPJaylen Wells (MEM): -16.5%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
CJ McCollum0.530,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.530.230.300.001676%0.5300.00580%0.01
Kyshawn George0.320,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.15,0.18,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.320.160.15-0.011676%0.454-0.135100%0.04
Alex Sarr0.270,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.18,0.27,0.270.070.20-0.001656%0.2700.0000%0.00
Marvin Bagley III0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.040.060.001362%0.142-0.0400%0.00
Will Riley0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.00-0.00267%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Malaki Branham0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tre Johnson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.040.011155%0.023-0.0800%0.00
Justin Champagnie-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.010.00529%-0.031-0.04425%-0.05
Bub Carrington-0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09-0.01-0.030.041150%-0.042-0.05683%-0.01
Khris Middleton-0.110,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.01927%-0.071-0.04475%0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Santi Aldama0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.420.420.270.160.012376%0.472-0.05367%-0.02
Olivier-Maxence Prosper0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.100.110.003114%0.2100.001100%0.01
Cedric Coward0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.060.060.040.02-0.01964%0.132-0.06450%-0.04
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.02-0.00761%0.102-0.074100%0.03
Cam Spencer0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.010.010.01-0.03-0.021851%0.102-0.091100%0.00
Brandon Clarke0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jock Landale0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07-0.07-0.110.03-0.011023%-0.051-0.02250%-0.01
Jaren Jackson Jr.0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.01-0.09-0.001851%0.073-0.15771%-0.02
Jaylen Wells0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.11-0.06-0.011020%-0.112-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.11.428.114.534.80.436.1138.4
league avg26.32.028.914.329.62.232.8136.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +34.2%
WAS +3.9%
MEM -1.4%
WAS +11.4%
WAS +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASMEMNBAWASMEMNBA
this game14.014.114.2126.2119.6113.5
season13.813.8108.4112.3
opponent14.314.1114.1120.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS13.214.312.815.614.0
MEM14.014.015.313.214.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marvin Bagley III85850.72-0.220.940.3413-51814.411.92.5114.412.81.65
Justin Champagnie92900.61-0.110.710.3110-21214.410.63.7214.313.21.10
CJ McCollum96960.52-0.020.540.3753214.57.07.4714.410.73.69
Tre Johnson101980.51-0.010.520.3071614.21.013.2214.54.210.29
Bub Carrington1021010.470.030.450.2480814.14.010.0614.30.014.28
Kyshawn George90900.460.040.430.3544014.212.61.5414.213.70.44
Khris Middleton77760.390.110.290.2844014.911.33.5514.313.60.75
Malaki Branham51500.270.230.03-0.0611-31413.314.6-1.3215.213.22.01
Alex Sarr80790.210.29-0.080.27-210-1214.910.84.0414.313.70.51
Will Riley4039-0.350.85-1.21-0.06-1018-2814.413.70.7614.014.2-0.26

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jaren Jackson Jr.80830.06-0.560.61-0.219-172614.213.80.4114.412.22.19
Brandon Clarke990.04-0.540.58-0.053-111412.114.3-2.2213.714.0-0.32
Cedric Coward9597-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.32-5-3-214.59.15.3614.47.56.86
Cam Spencer9798-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.26-7-1-614.310.24.1414.28.65.63
Santi Aldama102103-0.500.00-0.50-0.27-80-814.10.014.1414.00.013.96
Jock Landale9594-0.510.01-0.52-0.31-7-1-614.213.30.9114.310.24.10
Jaylen Wells9293-0.510.01-0.52-0.25-91-1014.313.01.2614.113.01.06
Olivier-Maxence Prosper8486-0.660.16-0.82-0.28-135-1814.612.12.5314.312.41.93
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope9192-0.670.17-0.84-0.32-124-1614.114.4-0.2514.410.63.72


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.76,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.66,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.86,0.78,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.22,0.05,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 112, NYK 1050.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.67,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.75,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.72,0.69,0.45,0.43,0.17,091.5%
TOR 91, BOS 890.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.74,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.63,0.71,0.8,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.78,0.53,0.64,0.31,0.08,091.5%
SAS 107, SAC 1000.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.78,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.77,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.83,0.8,0.74,0.81,0.54,0.14,0.04,091.1%