NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	114		Excitement	7.3 [248]		MVP	Tyrese Maxey (PHI): +31.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	121		Comeback	3.2 [247]		LVP	Brandon Williams (DAL): -7.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Washington	0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.07	0.02	8	83%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Naji Marshall	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.01	12	79%	0.24	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Cooper Flagg	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	16	60%	0.13	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.04
Anthony Davis	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.04	20	57%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
D'Angelo Russell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Nembhard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Max Christie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	11	42%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Brandon Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	6	71%	0.06	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.19,0.15,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.19	0.12	-0.01	31	58%	0.32	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Dominick Barlow	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.04	-0.01	13	70%	0.21	1	-0.04	4	50%	0.00
VJ Edgecombe	0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.04	-0.02	21	58%	0.19	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Adem Bona	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.01	6	56%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	43%	0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Jabari Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	9	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jared McCain	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.02	0.02	11	43%	0.01	2	-0.06	6	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	34.3	0.6	25.1	10.6	27.0	0.5	29.4	127.5
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.3	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +8.8%

DAL -4.6%

PHI +17.9%

PHI +25.3%

PHI +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHI	NBA	DAL	PHI	NBA
this game	12.6	15.2	14.2	110.7	116.3	113.4
season	13.8	14.6		109.5	113.8
opponent	13.9	14.1		112.9	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	10.8	14.1	11.2	15.1	12.6
PHI	13.6	14.7	17.2	15.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D'Angelo Russell	65	63	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.06	1	-8	9	12.6	12.7	-0.11	15.2	15.1	0.04
Ryan Nembhard	56	54	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.12	0	-7	7	13.3	11.9	1.41	15.8	14.5	1.22
Anthony Davis	92	92	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.30	-3	-4	1	13.1	9.1	3.97	15.5	13.0	2.46
Max Christie	77	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.14	-9	2	-11	13.4	10.5	2.86	15.3	14.7	0.63
Daniel Gafford	93	92	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	3	-13	12.6	13.0	-0.40	15.2	15.3	-0.18
Cooper Flagg	85	86	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.36	-4	-3	-1	13.3	9.7	3.60	15.6	13.2	2.43
Brandon Williams	103	103	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	0	-7	12.6	0.0	12.64	15.1	20.0	-4.87
Klay Thompson	100	100	-0.56	0.05	-0.61	-0.26	-10	3	-13	12.6	15.0	-2.43	15.2	13.2	2.00
P.J. Washington	101	101	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.25	-11	4	-15	12.8	4.0	8.81	15.2	12.7	2.58
Naji Marshall	96	97	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.32	-10	3	-13	12.8	10.6	2.22	15.2	15.0	0.19

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared McCain	99	99	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.23	12	-5	17	15.2	14.8	0.39	13.0	4.5	8.47
Tyrese Maxey	101	100	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.31	9	-2	11	15.2	15.3	-0.17	12.8	7.0	5.81
Adem Bona	79	78	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.29	6	1	5	15.3	14.7	0.60	12.2	14.1	-1.90
Jabari Walker	79	78	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.29	6	1	5	15.3	14.7	0.60	12.2	14.1	-1.90
VJ Edgecombe	86	87	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.26	7	0	7	15.2	15.3	-0.13	12.9	11.1	1.87
Justin Edwards	55	54	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.01	6	1	5	14.1	16.4	-2.30	12.3	13.0	-0.69
Quentin Grimes	59	60	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.08	-6	13	-19	15.1	15.3	-0.28	12.0	13.5	-1.42
Andre Drummond	49	50	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.02	-10	17	-27	15.8	14.6	1.18	12.5	12.8	-0.27
Dominick Barlow	65	66	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.05	-8	15	-23	15.4	14.7	0.69	12.6	12.6	-0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.43,0.57,0.57,0.73,0.83,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 90, LAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.99,1,1,1	92.4%
MIL 87, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.79,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.99,1,1	91.7%
MIA 76, CLE 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.66,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.46,0.58,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1	91.7%