NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	143		Excitement	7.4 [314]		MVP	Luka Don?i? (LAL): +36.5%
Utah Jazz	135		Comeback	3.8 [514]		LVP	Jusuf Nurki? (UTA): -12.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luka Don?i?	0.37	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.28,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.26	0.14	0.04	28	62%	0.39	1	-0.02	16	81%	0.05
Marcus Smart	0.20	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.12	0.09	0.01	11	77%	0.24	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.15	0.10	0.06	0.01	17	60%	0.18	2	-0.03	13	92%	0.05
Jaxson Hayes	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14	0.12	0.02	-0.00	7	89%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Jake LaRavia	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	6	86%	0.16	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	-0.00	10	65%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	2	62%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Nick Smith Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalton Knecht	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adou Thiero	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyonte George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.31	0.31	0.17	0.15	0.01	20	65%	0.33	2	-0.02	12	92%	0.06
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.02	-0.00	9	75%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.02	3	137%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ace Bailey	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	13	59%	0.15	1	-0.04	6	33%	-0.04
Walter Clayton Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.00	5	73%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Isaiah Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.00	-0.04	12	58%	0.14	3	-0.07	7	71%	0.01
Taylor Hendricks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	80%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	5	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurki?	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.05	0.03	8	56%	0.03	5	-0.15	11	36%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.3	1.3	32.0	14.3	34.1	1.3	41.2	155.5
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +8.2%

LAL +12.0%

LAL +18.5%

LAL +13.9%

UTA -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	13.7	13.9	14.2	134.9	131.1	113.4
season	14.5	14.0		115.9	112.1
opponent	13.7	14.1		119.2	114.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.2	15.7	11.7	12.6	13.7
UTA	14.6	14.3	13.7	13.1	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rui Hachimura	91	89	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.26	13	-5	18	13.7	13.3	0.38	13.9	13.5	0.43
Maxi Kleber	95	94	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.27	10	-2	12	14.0	11.1	2.87	14.0	12.7	1.32
Jaxson Hayes	70	69	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.33	7	1	6	14.2	12.6	1.67	14.1	13.4	0.69
Jake LaRavia	89	86	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.30	7	1	6	13.1	16.4	-3.28	13.9	13.8	0.06
Luka Don?i?	106	103	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.27	8	0	8	13.7	0.0	13.66	13.9	0.0	13.87
LeBron James	106	103	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.27	8	0	8	13.7	0.0	13.66	13.9	0.0	13.87
Marcus Smart	76	74	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.23	8	0	8	14.4	11.9	2.46	14.6	11.9	2.70
Jarred Vanderbilt	90	87	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	5	-2	13.9	12.6	1.29	14.3	11.6	2.74
Adou Thiero	6	6	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.06	4	4	0	15.7	13.5	2.13	16.2	13.7	2.43
Dalton Knecht	16	16	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.04	2	6	-4	15.4	13.3	2.09	14.4	13.8	0.59
Nick Smith Jr.	24	24	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.08	-9	17	-26	15.2	13.2	2.05	14.6	13.6	0.98

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Svi Mykhailiuk	50	53	0.22	-0.72	0.95	0.02	7	-15	22	14.1	13.7	0.40	14.5	12.8	1.70
Brice Sensabaugh	66	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-3	-2	14.5	12.7	1.87	13.1	14.8	-1.73
Kevin Love	75	80	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.14	-5	-3	-2	14.6	12.0	2.52	13.8	13.2	0.62
Taylor Hendricks	89	91	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.13	-13	5	-18	14.5	9.9	4.57	13.8	12.8	1.00
Kyle Filipowski	100	103	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.26	-9	1	-10	13.9	14.3	-0.47	13.6	15.0	-1.38
Isaiah Collier	102	106	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.29	-8	0	-8	14.0	0.0	14.01	13.7	0.0	13.66
Keyonte George	100	102	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.25	-10	2	-12	13.8	15.3	-1.50	13.6	16.2	-2.69
Jusuf Nurki?	75	79	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.30	-10	2	-12	13.7	14.4	-0.66	13.9	13.0	0.89
Ace Bailey	78	81	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.25	-13	5	-18	14.2	13.0	1.15	13.1	15.4	-2.28
Walter Clayton Jr.	34	33	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.14	-19	11	-30	15.2	13.2	1.99	14.3	13.4	0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.48,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.15,0.13,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 109, LAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.79,0.73,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
DET 96, CHH 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.33,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.07,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%
HOU 96, WAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.43,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.5%