NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	128		Excitement	9.3 [95]		MVP	Saddiq Bey (NOP): +36.4%
New Orleans Pelicans	133		Comeback	39.2 [5]		LVP	Alperen Sengun (HOU): -40.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.33	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.33	0.21	0.12	-0.01	15	94%	0.53	6	-0.20	4	100%	0.07
Amen Thompson	0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.09	0.17	0.05	14	79%	0.29	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Aaron Holiday	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Reed Sheppard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02	0.02	-0.06	-0.02	12	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.06	-0.05	0.05	7	59%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jabari Smith Jr.	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16	-0.17	-0.05	-0.05	18	32%	-0.10	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Steven Adams	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.11	-0.20	-0.03	10	24%	-0.24	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.08
Alperen Sengun	-0.40	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.24,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.4,-0.4	-0.04	-0.36	0.01	26	45%	-0.26	2	-0.15	10	60%	-0.13

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.26,0.17,0.17,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.36	0.36	0.19	0.25	0.07	18	72%	0.47	1	-0.11	4	100%	0.00
Trey Murphy III	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.24	0.06	0.06	13	82%	0.23	0	0.00	7	100%	0.08
Herbert Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.05	0.04	14	60%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.06	0.04	13	52%	0.06	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.05
Jose Alvarado	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	54%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Derik Queen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.06	-0.01	16	46%	0.06	3	-0.04	3	67%	0.10
Karlo Matkovi?	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	150%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bryce McGowens	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yves Missi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremiah Fears	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.02	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Zion Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	9	41%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.4	0.0	31.4	0.0	27.3	0.0	36.3	0.0	18.2	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.3	32.8	2.2	16.6	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +35.3%

NOP +39.5%

HOU -53.3%

NOP +30.3%

HOU -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NOP	NBA	HOU	NOP	NBA
this game	15.5	13.6	14.2	117.4	120.9	113.6
season	15.4	14.1		117.3	111.3
opponent	14.0	13.9		118.3	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	13.2	15.6	16.0	17.9	14.2	15.5
NOP	15.6	12.2	11.7	13.7	17.0	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clint Capela	14	14	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.04	2	-7	9	15.0	15.6	-0.57	16.5	13.1	3.37
Jabari Smith Jr.	102	101	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.15	-3	-2	-1	15.7	13.0	2.67	14.1	6.9	7.26
Reed Sheppard	98	98	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.19	-2	-3	1	15.3	17.1	-1.77	13.6	13.5	0.06
Steven Adams	106	108	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-1	-3	15.7	8.7	7.02	13.6	8.5	5.15
Aaron Holiday	106	107	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-1	-3	15.7	8.7	7.02	13.8	5.7	8.11
Josh Okogie	99	100	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.25	-3	-2	-1	15.7	13.4	2.31	14.0	9.3	4.68
Amen Thompson	104	106	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	0	-5	15.7	11.8	3.87	13.9	4.0	9.92
Alperen Sengun	109	109	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.36	-5	0	-5	15.5	0.0	15.50	13.7	0.0	13.68
Kevin Durant	95	95	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.40	-4	-1	-3	15.7	14.1	1.55	14.0	10.5	3.58

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derik Queen	83	83	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.41	9	-4	13	13.6	13.4	0.15	15.9	14.2	1.76
Jose Alvarado	92	93	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.30	12	-7	19	14.4	9.2	5.18	15.2	17.2	-1.98
Saddiq Bey	95	95	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.43	4	1	3	13.9	11.4	2.49	15.4	15.9	-0.50
Trey Murphy III	101	102	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.40	4	1	3	14.0	8.4	5.57	15.5	15.4	0.07
Herbert Jones	107	107	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	3	-1	13.8	5.7	8.11	15.7	6.0	9.67
Karlo Matkovi?	66	65	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.03	12	-7	19	14.6	12.0	2.52	16.1	14.5	1.59
Bryce McGowens	17	18	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.37	-3	8	-11	18.6	12.6	6.02	14.2	15.8	-1.59
Jordan Poole	94	92	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.20	-3	8	-11	13.4	14.2	-0.74	15.4	15.9	-0.53
Jeremiah Fears	47	49	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.11	-2	7	-9	13.5	13.6	-0.15	15.8	15.2	0.58
Yves Missi	24	25	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.09	-9	14	-23	16.2	12.8	3.39	13.2	16.2	-2.93
Zion Williamson	78	76	-0.47	0.97	-1.44	-0.00	-16	21	-37	13.1	14.6	-1.47	14.9	16.8	-1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.12,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.5,0.39,0.45,0.68,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 114, CLE 118	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.22,0.09,0.16,0.46,0.24,0.46,0.78,0.91,1	89.6%
LAL 123, CHI 129	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.22,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.73,1	89.4%
ORL 110, LAL 113	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.23,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.33,0.16,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.83,1	89.4%