inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 110 Excitement8.3 [195] MVPDeShawn Stevenson (ORL): +9.6%
Los Angeles Lakers 113 Comeback47.1 [40] LVPTracy McGrady (ORL): -26.2%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.10.010.07-0.021650%0.1000.00450%0.01
Juwan Howard0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.01-0.011864%0.144-0.09956%-0.06
Keith Bogans0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.00-0.00375%0.0300.002100%0.01
Sean Rooks0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01375%0.0300.002100%0.01
Britton Johnsen0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zaza Pachulia-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Drew Gooden-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.090.01-0.03520%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Andrew DeClercq-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.00-0.040.02367%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Tyronn Lue-0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.24-0.05-0.19-0.00940%-0.161-0.082100%0.01
Tracy McGrady-0.260,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26-0.04-0.220.003249%-0.212-0.051258%-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Payton0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.1,0.080.08-0.040.10-0.021343%0.111-0.03250%-0.01
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.04-0.00865%0.111-0.031100%0.00
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.02,0.12,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.080.080.080.020.032658%0.101-0.021377%0.01
Rick Fox0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.000.01367%0.0100.0000%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.04-0.011752%0.021-0.021850%-0.08
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01337%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Slava Medvedenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.00250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Bryon Russell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.01644%-0.0300.00475%-0.00
Kareem Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.0140%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Luke Walton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.0120%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Karl Malone0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.08-0.09-0.01837%-0.1600.00837%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.22.633.416.329.32.538.31.710.7162.0
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.82.017.4150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +28.5%
ORL -16.9%
LAL +16.8%
LAL +15.4%
LAL +6.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLLALNBAORLLALNBA
this game16.915.215.7112.2113.0100.5
season15.715.4100.9102.8
opponent15.615.499.0108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
ORL16.515.218.616.618.616.9
LAL16.214.813.316.116.815.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keith Bogans65650.47-0.971.44-0.0016-193516.018.5-2.5014.616.5-1.95
Sean Rooks42420.21-0.710.93-0.0810-132316.717.0-0.2613.516.6-3.10
Drew Gooden23230.04-0.540.580.16-41-515.317.4-2.0114.815.4-0.55
Britton Johnsen66-0.02-0.480.450.09-41-512.717.2-4.5014.815.3-0.44
Zaza Pachulia88-0.04-0.460.420.11-52-715.417.0-1.6516.215.21.09
Tracy McGrady8889-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.511-4517.214.22.9915.314.50.79
DeShawn Stevenson8790-0.530.03-0.56-0.50-1-2117.214.32.9515.116.4-1.28
Juwan Howard7779-0.550.05-0.61-0.52-1-2117.415.02.4015.315.20.08
Andrew DeClercq4648-0.610.11-0.73-0.44-63-917.216.60.5816.813.83.04
Tyronn Lue4850-0.980.48-1.47-0.37-2118-3917.416.41.0016.314.22.02

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derek Fisher47480.85-0.351.210.4414-112514.715.7-0.9516.217.5-1.33
Gary Payton73700.59-0.090.680.5321115.813.72.1717.315.71.59
Kobe Bryant82810.57-0.070.650.4830315.314.90.3717.514.13.35
Shaquille O'Neal87840.55-0.050.600.4921115.513.51.9717.214.92.29
Karl Malone82800.51-0.010.520.394-1515.414.41.0517.414.62.79
Luke Walton18190.010.49-0.49-0.114-1512.415.9-3.4914.217.5-3.39
Bryon Russell12110.000.50-0.49-0.0830314.215.4-1.2315.917.0-1.10
Devean George2525-0.090.59-0.67-0.1212-113.915.7-1.7716.217.1-0.92
Slava Medvedenko1313-0.110.61-0.720.01-47-1116.315.11.2215.617.1-1.47
Kareem Rush2727-0.150.65-0.80-0.09-25-715.115.3-0.1415.717.3-1.63
Rick Fox3432-0.240.74-0.970.12-1215-2716.014.91.0917.316.70.63


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.23,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.33,0.16,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.83,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 91, CHH 920.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.23,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.67,0.58,192.1%
LAL 123, CHI 1290.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.22,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.73,190.4%
CHI 120, TOR 1220.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.19,0.27,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.22,0.33,0.09,0.46,0.39,0.29,0.57,0.82,190.3%