NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	91		Excitement	9.4 [83]		MVP	Baron Davis (CHH): +58.0%
Charlotte Hornets	92		Comeback	356.1 [7]		LVP	Elden Campbell (CHH): -63.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	11	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Eldridge Recasner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.1,-0.09,0,0,0	-0.08	0.09	0.02	17	50%	0.06	3	-0.06	10	60%	-0.07
Jeff McInnis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.01	10	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	13	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Michael Olowokandi	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.28,-0.12	-0.18	0.04	-0.01	8	25%	-0.04	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Darius Miles	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.16	-0.04	-0.13	-0.01	10	50%	-0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.27	0.02	-0.30	-0.02	13	65%	-0.07	3	-0.19	8	50%	-0.26

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,0.02,0.02,0.58	0.58	-0.12	0.66	-0.04	20	44%	0.70	5	-0.12	3	100%	0.01
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.00	0.25	-0.01	7	43%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	8	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	11	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	6	47%	-0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Lee Nailon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.00	0.01	14	47%	-0.02	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.05	0.04	14	39%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.3,-0.64	-0.64	-0.20	-0.44	-0.00	17	32%	-0.41	5	-0.23	3	67%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.3	1.7	27.1	15.5	23.5	2.4	34.3	1.7	16.4	144.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	1.7	16.7	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +12.9%

CHH +19.7%

CHH +15.8%

CHH +0.8%

CHH +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CHH	NBA	LAC	CHH	NBA
this game	16.4	15.7	15.6	91.9	92.9	102.3
season	15.9	15.9		103.6	102.2
opponent	15.6	15.4		101.1	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAC	15.0	14.5	18.4	18.8	15.6	16.4
CHH	13.8	13.7	16.6	17.3	21.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Olowokandi	83	82	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.08	11	-12	23	16.2	17.2	-1.02	15.2	18.2	-2.96
Eldridge Recasner	15	13	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.07	8	-9	17	11.5	17.3	-5.81	15.6	15.7	-0.13
Eric Piatkowski	47	48	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.19	11	-12	23	16.5	16.3	0.22	14.4	17.0	-2.58
Darius Miles	68	69	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	5	-11	17.2	14.6	2.55	15.1	17.1	-1.92
Quentin Richardson	44	43	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	9	-19	16.4	16.4	0.03	16.1	15.5	0.61
Elton Brand	77	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	2	-5	16.5	15.9	0.68	16.4	13.3	3.10
Earl Boykins	10	11	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.25	-9	8	-17	20.5	15.9	4.57	20.2	15.2	5.01
Jeff McInnis	75	77	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.49	-2	1	-3	16.7	15.5	1.24	14.9	18.5	-3.62
Lamar Odom	68	67	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.47	-4	3	-7	15.8	17.7	-1.96	16.4	14.4	2.00

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryce Drew	25	25	1.07	-0.57	1.64	0.86	7	-6	13	18.8	14.7	4.16	15.8	16.6	-0.85
P.J. Brown	75	75	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.44	8	-7	15	16.0	14.8	1.18	17.0	14.4	2.67
Baron Davis	88	88	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.55	1	0	1	14.8	22.9	-8.08	16.1	18.8	-2.73
David Wesley	77	78	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.64	-6	7	-13	16.1	14.4	1.75	16.2	17.1	-0.95
Stacey Augmon	57	56	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.06	9	-8	17	16.5	14.6	1.92	16.6	16.1	0.45
Elden Campbell	58	60	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	7	-13	15.4	16.2	-0.76	16.5	16.2	0.27
Jamaal Magloire	38	37	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.20	2	-1	3	16.8	15.1	1.72	16.8	16.1	0.67
Robert Traylor	24	24	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.03	-7	8	-15	14.8	16.0	-1.18	14.4	17.0	-2.67
Lee Nailon	53	52	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.10	-3	4	-7	13.9	17.8	-3.96	16.9	15.9	1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.23,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.67,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 110, LAL 113	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.23,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.33,0.16,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.83,1	92.1%
LAL 123, CHI 129	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.22,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.73,1	90.1%
ATL 99, DET 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.23,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.45,0.23,0.1,0.07,0.46,0.48,0.63,0.43,0.84,1	89.4%