NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	105		Excitement	6.5 [527]		MVP	Bennedict Mathurin (IND): +26.2%
Indiana Pacers	116		Comeback	2.4 [529]		LVP	T.J. McConnell (IND): -13.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Precious Achiuwa	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	9	52%	0.09	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Russell Westbrook	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.03	0.02	16	67%	0.21	3	-0.13	4	50%	-0.02
Keon Ellis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maxime Raynaud	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	8	65%	0.07	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Nique Clifford	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	6	58%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.04	0.01	16	54%	0.02	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Zach LaVine	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	13	57%	0.04	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Keegan Murray	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	11	35%	-0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Malik Monk	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.17	0.10	0.01	14	71%	0.28	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.03
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.01,0.1,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.12	0.00	18	64%	0.29	3	-0.08	8	75%	-0.00
Jarace Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.01	5	86%	0.16	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.02	-0.03	7	47%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ethan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Furphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jay Huff	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	21	52%	0.06	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	9	22%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.6	1.3	33.1	0.0	26.8	0.0	31.7	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.8	2.1	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +23.7%

IND +10.5%

IND +1.9%

IND +12.5%

IND +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	IND	NBA	SAC	IND	NBA
this game	13.4	14.9	14.2	102.9	114.9	113.5
season	14.4	13.8		109.5	108.9
opponent	14.2	14.1		117.0	119.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.1	14.0	11.3	13.2	13.4
IND	11.9	13.7	16.4	18.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keon Ellis	71	70	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-9	7	13.6	13.0	0.64	15.0	14.8	0.15
Drew Eubanks	39	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.06	-11	0	-11	14.4	12.8	1.53	12.8	16.3	-3.41
Malik Monk	47	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.04	-12	1	-13	14.3	12.6	1.72	12.9	16.7	-3.87
Maxime Raynaud	67	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.30	-1	-10	9	13.0	14.2	-1.20	15.7	13.4	2.30
Keegan Murray	96	97	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-7	3	13.5	12.7	0.79	15.2	8.7	6.45
Precious Achiuwa	95	94	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.22	-7	-4	-3	13.7	9.9	3.82	14.9	15.7	-0.83
Nique Clifford	101	101	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	0	-11	13.2	33.0	-19.78	14.9	0.0	14.94
DeMar DeRozan	102	101	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.19	-11	0	-11	13.4	0.0	13.41	14.9	0.0	14.94
Zach LaVine	98	97	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.21	-16	5	-21	13.3	15.0	-1.65	15.0	14.2	0.72
Russell Westbrook	99	97	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.22	-16	5	-21	13.5	9.0	4.55	15.0	14.2	0.72

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pascal Siakam	93	95	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.19	15	-4	19	14.7	17.7	-3.05	13.6	10.6	3.05
Jay Huff	93	95	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.19	15	-4	19	14.7	17.7	-3.05	13.6	10.6	3.05
Andrew Nembhard	93	94	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.19	15	-4	19	14.7	17.7	-3.05	13.4	13.4	0.04
Bennedict Mathurin	92	94	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	0	11	15.2	11.9	3.35	13.3	14.7	-1.45
Ethan Thompson	81	81	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.35	1	10	-9	15.9	10.9	5.04	13.0	15.1	-2.18
Isaiah Jackson	81	81	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	12	-13	14.6	16.3	-1.76	13.3	13.8	-0.50
Jarace Walker	81	81	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	12	-13	14.6	16.3	-1.76	13.3	13.8	-0.50
Garrison Mathews	73	74	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	13	-15	14.5	16.0	-1.42	13.4	13.5	-0.17
Johnny Furphy	24	23	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	14	-17	15.2	14.9	0.35	14.2	13.2	0.98
T.J. McConnell	69	69	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	14	-17	14.7	15.4	-0.64	13.3	13.6	-0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.87,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.66,0.7,0.82,0.76,0.63,0.47,0.35,0.6,0.89,0.93,0.91,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 80, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.8,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.86,0.89,0.97,0.99,1	92.5%
TOR 100, CLE 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.77,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.87,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.59,0.47,0.67,0.69,0.9,0.9,0.96,1	92.4%
LAL 82, LAC 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.77,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.98,1	92.4%