NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	98		Excitement	7.7 [124]		MVP	Cedric Coward (MEM): +18.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	107		Comeback	2.1 [152]		LVP	Santi Aldama (MEM): -15.9%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Brown	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.09	-0.01	7	65%	0.19	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Ivica Zubac	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	6	71%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Nicolas Batum	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.04	-0.02	7	43%	0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Cam Christie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0	0.03	-0.04	-0.01	23	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
John Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	14	53%	0.07	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Kris Dunn	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Sanders	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.09	-0.00	6	62%	0.05	2	-0.12	1	0%	-0.03
James Harden	-0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.01	-0.08	0.02	13	60%	0.06	4	-0.15	4	75%	0.05

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedric Coward	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.11	0.02	18	61%	0.21	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Cam Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	0.00	11	77%	0.22	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.09	0.00	9	57%	0.16	1	-0.03	5	60%	0.00
Jaylen Wells	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.02	11	77%	0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	83%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	1	125%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zach Edey	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.09	-0.01	8	53%	-0.00	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Vince Williams Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Santi Aldama	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	9	35%	-0.08	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.4	24.4	15.3	28.3	1.6	25.3	119.4
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +36.5%

LAC -12.1%

MEM +7.8%

MEM +16.7%

MEM +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MEM	NBA	LAC	MEM	NBA
this game	15.9	13.2	14.1	100.0	107.0	113.8
season	15.4	13.7		112.5	111.2
opponent	14.4	13.8		112.6	117.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.4	15.2	14.5	18.1	15.9
MEM	13.5	13.6	12.2	13.4	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cam Christie	42	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-3	-3	14.8	16.8	-1.99	12.4	13.6	-1.21
Kris Dunn	58	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-4	-1	15.5	16.6	-1.14	13.2	13.0	0.18
John Collins	66	65	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	-1	-7	15.8	16.3	-0.49	13.0	13.3	-0.30
Kobe Brown	93	96	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.24	-7	-2	-5	16.3	10.2	6.06	13.1	13.7	-0.62
Kobe Sanders	88	89	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.21	-9	0	-9	16.1	14.9	1.17	13.0	14.5	-1.47
Kawhi Leonard	77	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.23	-9	0	-9	16.2	15.0	1.21	13.2	13.0	0.25
James Harden	98	100	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	0	-9	15.9	0.0	15.95	13.1	0.0	13.15
Nicolas Batum	98	100	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	0	-9	15.9	0.0	15.95	13.1	0.0	13.15
Ivica Zubac	73	76	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.22	-14	5	-19	16.9	13.3	3.58	13.0	13.7	-0.73

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedric Coward	89	88	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.21	14	-5	19	13.1	13.3	-0.14	16.4	12.2	4.18
Jock Landale	91	90	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-3	15	12.8	16.8	-3.99	16.2	13.0	3.21
Jaren Jackson Jr.	95	94	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.25	8	1	7	13.2	12.8	0.37	15.7	21.2	-5.53
Jaylen Wells	92	90	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.31	6	3	3	13.3	11.7	1.52	15.8	18.0	-2.23
Cam Spencer	97	95	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.24	8	1	7	13.1	16.0	-2.94	15.8	20.7	-4.87
Zach Edey	70	68	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.13	7	2	5	13.3	12.7	0.64	15.9	16.0	-0.03
Santi Aldama	87	87	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.14	6	3	3	13.2	12.8	0.35	16.0	15.9	0.04
John Konchar	66	66	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	9	-9	13.1	13.3	-0.26	15.3	17.2	-1.89
Vince Williams Jr.	49	50	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.05	2	7	-5	13.2	13.1	0.15	15.8	16.1	-0.39
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	83	83	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	6	-3	13.0	13.6	-0.60	15.9	16.2	-0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.71,0.78,0.66,0.59,0.52,0.72,0.62,0.52,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.64,0.47,0.47,0.64,0.63,0.93,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 100, BOS 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.57,0.77,0.64,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.85,0.92,1	92.5%
TOR 91, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.57,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.46,0.62,0.71,0.96,0.98,1	92.3%
CHI 98, MIA 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.52,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.66,0.76,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.66,0.94,0.99,1	91.8%