inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 108 Excitement5.7 [216] MVPNaji Marshall (DAL): +18.6%
Dallas Mavericks 118 Comeback1.8 [114] LVPAndrew Wiggins (MIA): -19.8%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kel'el Ware0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.15-0.010.011192%0.183-0.062100%0.01
Bam Adebayo0.100,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.02-0.031955%0.121-0.0200%0.00
Dru Smith0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.010.00473%0.0600.003100%0.01
Tyler Herro0.020,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.010.011756%0.072-0.042100%0.00
Simone Fontecchio0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.01-0.01844%0.021-0.022100%0.02
Davion Mitchell-0.000,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.04-0.00-0.04729%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Nikola Jovi?-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Pelle Larsson-0.040,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.01531%-0.0400.00367%-0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.011042%-0.032-0.024100%0.02
Andrew Wiggins-0.200,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2-0.12-0.080.001829%-0.171-0.032100%0.01

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Naji Marshall0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.140.05-0.001275%0.1900.0000%0.00
Ryan Nembhard0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.100.02-0.021075%0.161-0.0200%0.00
Cooper Flagg0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.080.080.090.010.021371%0.143-0.06580%0.00
D'Angelo Russell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.07-0.000.01771%0.0600.0000%0.00
Klay Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.05-0.01-0.011750%0.0500.0000%0.00
Max Christie0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.01671%0.061-0.022100%0.01
Anthony Davis0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.060.06-0.021747%0.074-0.06250%-0.01
Dwight Powell00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Caleb Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Brandon Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00747%0.022-0.061100%0.00
Daniel Gafford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00150%-0.002-0.052100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.11.323.70.136.00.429.8121.4
league avg26.32.128.814.629.42.332.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +60.9%
MIA -5.7%
DAL +4.6%
MIA -10.8%
DAL +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIADALNBAMIADALNBA
this game12.715.914.1108.0116.8113.7
season12.414.0113.4108.0
opponent14.014.7111.2110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA11.813.313.812.312.7
DAL12.717.216.817.715.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jaime Jaquez Jr.7575-0.00-0.500.50-0.217-172412.812.50.2814.918.7-3.80
Dru Smith7575-0.09-0.410.32-0.214-141812.912.20.6514.919.0-4.11
Simone Fontecchio8181-0.18-0.320.15-0.180-101012.912.00.9015.119.2-4.10
Kel'el Ware8989-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.20-2-8612.812.20.6215.717.7-1.99
Pelle Larsson5656-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.03-122-1413.611.62.0715.915.9-0.00
Nikola Jovi?2324-0.40-0.10-0.310.04-155-2013.312.50.8017.215.51.70
Davion Mitchell8384-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.23-7-3-413.210.62.5116.512.93.57
Bam Adebayo8384-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.23-7-3-413.210.62.5116.512.93.57
Tyler Herro100101-0.500.00-0.50-0.21-100-1012.70.012.7315.90.015.91
Andrew Wiggins8991-0.510.01-0.51-0.21-100-1012.812.20.6216.015.01.01

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Naji Marshall92910.53-0.030.560.241001016.213.22.9512.911.31.53
Ryan Nembhard77760.490.010.480.201001016.314.81.4712.712.70.03
Max Christie90900.460.040.420.171001015.817.1-1.3212.712.60.14
Anthony Davis74730.450.050.400.1991816.215.11.0912.613.0-0.37
Daniel Gafford66650.440.060.390.0912-21415.616.5-0.9213.311.71.52
Cooper Flagg72730.430.070.350.2273416.713.92.8713.211.41.81
D'Angelo Russell80790.410.090.310.111001015.119.1-4.0212.812.50.26
Klay Thompson94940.380.120.250.2064215.619.9-4.2412.910.52.37
Caleb Martin70700.260.240.020.2319-815.317.4-2.1312.712.8-0.15
Brandon Williams59590.030.47-0.450.14-414-1814.218.3-4.0712.513.1-0.66
Dwight Powell6365-0.110.61-0.730.21-1121-3214.718.0-3.3112.513.2-0.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.88,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.96,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 92, SAC 1050.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,195.6%
WAS 102, MIA 1100.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,194.5%
ORL 63, CLE 780.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,194.2%