inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 124 Excitement7.0 [152] MVPShai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +47.8%
Golden State Warriors 112 Comeback2.9 [225] LVPJonathan Kuminga (GSW): -10.3%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0.480,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.480.290.200.022173%0.4800.001070%0.00
Chet Holmgren0.280,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.280.110.14-0.031278%0.363-0.073100%0.03
Isaiah Joe0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.060.10-0.004112%0.212-0.0500%0.00
Ajay Mitchell0.160,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.090.080.01683%0.1600.0000%0.00
Branden Carlson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.001150%0.0400.0000%0.00
Kenrich Williams0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.01-0.00383%0.051-0.0400%0.00
Jalen Williams0.000,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,00.04-0.010.041661%0.103-0.104100%0.01
Aaron Wiggins-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.01-0.050.00861%0.053-0.102100%0.02
Cason Wallace-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.080.00-0.01725%-0.051-0.0220%-0.03
Jaylin Williams-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.04-0.01125%-0.052-0.04250%-0.01

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Seth Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.140.090.007100%0.2300.0000%0.00
Pat Spencer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.080.10-0.031461%0.2100.0000%0.00
Gary Payton II0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.030.060.01968%0.163-0.071100%0.00
Jimmy Butler III0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.01-0.03740%0.0400.001100%0.00
Draymond Green0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.030.030.000.040.011159%0.103-0.0600%0.00
Will Richard0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.02550%0.0300.0000%0.00
Quinten Post0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.000.001150%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Brandin Podziemski0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.04-0.040.031168%0.084-0.11367%-0.01
Moses Moody0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.02530%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Buddy Hield0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.06-0.011539%-0.0700.003100%0.01
Jonathan Kuminga0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.03-0.001036%-0.062-0.04250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.62.227.415.527.61.632.9134.8
league avg26.32.128.814.629.42.332.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +47.8%
OKC +11.9%
GSW -5.7%
GSW -5.6%
OKC +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCGSWNBAOKCGSWNBA
this game12.915.314.1121.6109.8113.7
season13.714.7119.3112.4
opponent13.614.5110.7102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC12.312.112.115.212.9
GSW16.316.113.615.415.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cason Wallace85850.63-0.130.760.1317-52213.59.73.8115.414.70.73
Jalen Williams95950.59-0.090.690.1216-42013.011.11.8715.217.1-1.96
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander1021020.500.000.500.151201212.90.012.8815.30.015.31
Jaylin Williams991000.490.010.490.2684412.911.71.2515.314.50.83
Chet Holmgren69690.490.010.470.1113-11413.910.83.1015.415.20.19
Isaiah Joe95940.440.060.380.3248-413.28.64.6315.513.22.24
Ajay Mitchell93930.350.150.190.32111-1013.210.03.1615.414.21.20
Branden Carlson24240.100.40-0.30-0.0248-412.213.1-0.9416.015.10.95
Kenrich Williams7977-0.350.85-1.19-0.05-1022-3213.012.60.3515.414.90.52
Aaron Wiggins7574-0.380.88-1.25-0.08-1022-3213.012.40.6015.215.7-0.55

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Quinten Post70680.10-0.600.71-0.107-192615.415.20.1412.813.1-0.26
Jonathan Kuminga7172-0.01-0.490.47-0.041-131415.515.00.5012.414.0-1.58
Will Richard7878-0.09-0.410.32-0.00-3-9615.315.4-0.1313.211.71.48
Moses Moody7373-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.332-141615.215.5-0.2813.411.61.81
Jimmy Butler III4040-0.34-0.16-0.190.13-164-2016.414.61.8312.812.9-0.09
Seth Curry8485-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.29-3-9615.514.60.8513.211.12.12
Gary Payton II8485-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.24-5-7215.514.60.8513.211.12.12
Pat Spencer9595-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.23-8-4-415.611.34.3213.36.96.47
Brandin Podziemski9696-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.11-131-1415.119.5-4.4512.913.0-0.12
Buddy Hield102102-0.500.00-0.50-0.15-120-1215.30.015.3112.90.012.88
Draymond Green7778-0.690.19-0.87-0.07-219-3015.215.5-0.2713.610.43.22


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.74,0.47,0.47,0.25,0.1,0.03,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 96, WAS 870.5,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.21,0.11,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.16,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.3,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.06,0.01,091.6%
PHX 84, LAC 800.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.28,0.25,0.34,0.4,0.33,0.38,0.26,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.26,0.11,0.04,091.4%
DAL 100, MIN 980.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.26,0.16,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.5,0.43,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.31,0.07,0.15,0.28,091.4%