NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	84		Excitement	7.9 [285]		MVP	Dario Saric (PHX): +4.5%
LA Clippers	80		Comeback	1.0 [713]		LVP	Paul George (LAC): -18.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dario Saric	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	14	61%	0.14	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.01
Cameron Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02	-0.10	0.10	-0.02	22	45%	0.11	5	-0.09	11	82%	0.02
Torrey Craig	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Abdel Nader	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	8	19%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	8	31%	-0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.15	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15	-0.17	0.01	-0.00	22	35%	-0.09	4	-0.07	7	86%	0.05

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.01	9	52%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.04
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	22%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.02	8	65%	0.06	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris Sr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	8	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	6	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.06	-0.04	24	40%	-0.04	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.03
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	20	40%	-0.15	2	-0.04	18	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	3.3	26.5	15.4	31.9	3.0	50.2	157.0
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +31.4%

PHX +11.3%

PHX +2.7%

PHX +3.9%

PHX +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAC	NBA	PHX	LAC	NBA
this game	16.5	14.7	14.4	91.3	86.0	111.3
season	14.7	14.9		115.3	116.6
opponent	14.7	14.7		110.9	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.8	16.3	17.3	17.5	16.5
LAC	15.9	15.7	13.4	13.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae Crowder	66	66	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.45	4	0	4	17.2	14.5	2.73	14.4	15.3	-0.91
Mikal Bridges	77	76	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.39	3	1	2	16.6	15.8	0.78	14.2	17.1	-2.90
Devin Booker	72	72	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.33	5	-1	6	16.7	15.4	1.29	14.9	14.0	0.95
Chris Paul	72	73	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	1	2	17.2	13.6	3.65	14.5	15.4	-0.91
Deandre Ayton	79	80	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.27	7	-3	10	16.7	14.8	1.88	14.6	15.0	-0.36
Cameron Payne	37	38	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	0	4	14.5	17.7	-3.20	15.7	14.0	1.68
Dario Saric	15	12	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	4	-4	13.0	17.1	-4.13	16.2	14.5	1.70
Abdel Nader	10	13	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.08	-3	7	-10	14.4	16.7	-2.31	13.2	14.9	-1.69
Torrey Craig	1	2	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	8	-12	41.0	16.2	24.81	1.5	15.0	-13.48
Cameron Johnson	31	33	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.08	1	3	-2	15.2	17.1	-1.95	16.2	13.8	2.36

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Kennard	26	24	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.04	5	-9	14	15.9	14.2	1.66	16.2	16.5	-0.34
Nicolas Batum	31	30	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-6	8	15.6	14.2	1.39	15.0	17.2	-2.21
DeMarcus Cousins	2	2	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-4	4	1.5	15.0	-13.48	1.0	16.8	-15.80
Ivica Zubac	77	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.25	-3	-1	-2	14.8	14.3	0.45	16.4	16.9	-0.51
Marcus Morris Sr.	46	44	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	6	-16	14.2	15.1	-0.93	15.9	17.0	-1.09
Terance Mann	60	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.42	1	-5	6	15.5	13.3	2.19	17.0	15.4	1.61
Reggie Jackson	80	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.43	-1	-3	2	14.2	17.5	-3.31	16.8	14.6	2.14
Paul George	79	80	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.32	-5	1	-6	14.8	13.9	0.98	16.6	15.2	1.48
Patrick Beverley	64	64	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.36	-9	5	-14	14.1	16.0	-1.96	17.1	15.0	2.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.28,0.25,0.34,0.4,0.33,0.38,0.26,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.26,0.11,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 90, IND 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.23,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.28,0.09,0.04,0	93.4%
LAC 106, MIL 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.2,0.24,0.34,0.3,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.23,0.25,0.11,0.02,0.01,0	92.9%
POR 97, ATL 90	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.23,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.28,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.22,0.04,0	92.8%