inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 102 Excitement9.2 [58] MVPTyler Herro (MIA): +35.5%
Miami Heat 106 Comeback1.5 [240] LVPP.J. Washington (DAL): -13.8%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Klay Thompson0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.050.070.001254%0.1200.0000%0.00
Max Christie0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.08,0.080.080.01-0.00975%0.222-0.132100%0.01
Daniel Gafford0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.000.00858%0.051-0.023100%0.01
Jaden Hardy0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00350%0.0100.0000%0.00
Dwight Powell0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Caleb Martin0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Moussa Cisse-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Naji Marshall-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.00747%0.032-0.0510%-0.02
Cooper Flagg-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.17,-0.04,-0.04-0.090.04-0.001440%0.033-0.072100%0.07
D'Angelo Russell-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.01-0.0030%-0.052-0.0500%0.00
Brandon Williams-0.130,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.08-0.030.021340%-0.073-0.06475%-0.00
Ryan Nembhard-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.07-0.06-0.00714%-0.1300.0000%0.00
P.J. Washington-0.140,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.3,-0.140.10-0.26-0.022159%0.082-0.224100%0.02

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyler Herro0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.360.360.140.21-0.011867%0.3600.0000%0.00
Kel'el Ware0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.070.06-0.011465%0.203-0.063100%0.01
Keshad Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.02-0.00478%0.0800.0010%-0.01
Pelle Larsson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.040.001043%0.061-0.0310%-0.02
Simone Fontecchio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.070.03-0.011033%0.032-0.064100%0.02
Davion Mitchell0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.05-0.00850%0.051-0.1000%0.00
Dru Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.11-0.00-0.0360%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.06-0.011150%0.063-0.16475%-0.03
Bam Adebayo0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12-0.12-0.04-0.09-0.001346%-0.072-0.051164%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.10.729.014.331.40.034.20.0
league avg26.32.128.814.629.42.332.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +52.4%
DAL -12.2%
DAL -0.5%
MIA +12.2%
DAL -1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALMIANBADALMIANBA
this game14.913.214.199.0103.9113.7
season14.012.4108.0113.4
opponent14.714.0110.6111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL14.314.815.614.814.9
MIA12.213.413.813.413.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jaden Hardy11110.00-0.500.51-0.031-5613.015.1-2.1014.313.01.23
Moussa Cisse2626-0.10-0.400.300.07-62-814.615.0-0.3512.213.5-1.32
Daniel Gafford7980-0.13-0.370.24-0.368-122014.715.3-0.6013.512.11.33
D'Angelo Russell4547-0.14-0.360.220.04-62-814.515.2-0.6812.913.5-0.60
Ryan Nembhard4948-0.18-0.320.13-0.366-101615.414.41.0613.912.61.32
Dwight Powell5452-0.20-0.300.10-0.02-62-815.813.91.9413.512.80.70
Klay Thompson8687-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.394-81214.815.4-0.5713.113.4-0.26
Brandon Williams5554-0.34-0.16-0.180.01-128-2015.913.72.2212.513.9-1.44
Caleb Martin4241-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.26-3-1-214.914.90.0513.413.00.32
Max Christie7272-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.23-40-415.812.83.0013.013.6-0.60
Naji Marshall101101-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.35-2-2015.09.05.9913.30.013.31
P.J. Washington103102-0.500.00-0.50-0.38-40-414.90.014.8713.20.013.18
Cooper Flagg8583-0.580.08-0.67-0.32-95-1415.810.45.4312.914.5-1.66

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Davion Mitchell84860.67-0.170.840.2614-102413.014.0-1.0015.99.95.98
Tyler Herro83850.58-0.080.670.329-51412.914.5-1.6615.810.45.43
Kel'el Ware88900.58-0.080.660.2910-61613.213.10.0415.79.06.72
Pelle Larsson80820.53-0.030.560.366-2812.914.2-1.2815.611.93.73
Jaime Jaquez Jr.1021030.500.000.500.3840413.20.013.1814.90.014.87
Bam Adebayo1011020.500.000.490.3840413.125.0-11.9415.04.010.98
Keshad Johnson70680.190.31-0.120.045-1612.913.8-0.9714.914.90.03
Simone Fontecchio89890.140.36-0.210.0922013.212.70.5514.815.3-0.48
Dru Smith7170-0.040.54-0.580.08-48-1213.013.6-0.6314.615.5-0.94


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.87,0.81,0.92,0.9,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.79,0.9,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 110, LAC 1110.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.91,0.95,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.8,0.72,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.75,0.96,0.89,0.42,192.0%
DEN 94, UTA 980.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.92,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.54,0.67,0.8,0.89,0.78,0.73,191.9%
POR 103, ORL 1040.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.75,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.75,0.77,0.69,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.97,0.97,0.92,191.5%