NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	103		Excitement	7.8 [304]		MVP	Jalen Suggs (ORL): +36.9%
Orlando Magic	104		Comeback	1.6 [1068]		LVP	Deandre Ayton (POR): -31.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dalano Banton	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.26,0.26	0.12	0.12	-0.02	17	62%	0.26	1	-0.00	8	75%	0.01
Jabari Walker	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.11	0.02	15	55%	0.16	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Ashton Hagans	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	0	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kris Murray	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.01	7	44%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Moses Brown	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rayan Rupert	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	11	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Duop Reath	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scoot Henderson	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.07	0.01	16	41%	-0.02	5	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	-0.32	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.32	0.03	-0.34	0.01	18	56%	-0.25	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Suggs	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.09	0.28	-0.00	8	79%	0.40	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.04
Franz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.06	0.01	10	69%	0.20	1	-0.03	9	78%	0.02
Gary Harris	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.08	-0.01	10	64%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.01	10	63%	0.15	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.03
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	0.00	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cole Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.01	6	64%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paolo Banchero	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.09	-0.04	17	42%	-0.02	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Markelle Fultz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.00	-0.02	6	0%	-0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.4	25.7	13.8	26.3	2.3	34.4	131.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +58.2%

ORL +13.2%

POR -21.2%

POR -5.8%

ORL +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	ORL	NBA	POR	ORL	NBA
this game	15.1	14.9	14.5	106.2	109.5	113.9
season	14.8	15.1		106.9	111.8
opponent	14.4	14.5		109.4	116.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.0	14.6	15.1	14.7	15.1
ORL	13.3	13.1	17.0	16.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ashton Hagans	28	25	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.01	9	-10	19	12.9	16.0	-3.12	17.2	14.0	3.20
Duop Reath	34	32	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.06	8	-9	17	13.4	16.0	-2.57	16.5	14.0	2.48
Moses Brown	6	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	1	-3	15.0	15.1	-0.12	18.7	14.6	4.04
Kris Murray	58	58	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.33	8	-9	17	15.0	15.2	-0.20	14.7	15.2	-0.46
Dalano Banton	73	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.47	1	-2	3	14.7	16.5	-1.84	14.8	15.0	-0.16
Rayan Rupert	63	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	10	-21	15.7	14.0	1.71	15.1	14.5	0.61
Jabari Walker	82	80	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.47	0	-1	1	15.3	14.2	1.08	14.6	16.1	-1.48
Deandre Ayton	72	72	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.42	-8	7	-15	15.7	13.4	2.36	14.1	17.3	-3.25
Scoot Henderson	69	70	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.46	-10	9	-19	16.0	12.9	3.12	14.0	17.2	-3.20

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wendell Carter Jr.	62	62	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.46	13	-12	25	14.1	16.4	-2.27	16.5	12.6	3.93
Jalen Suggs	65	64	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.42	10	-9	19	14.1	16.6	-2.51	16.3	12.8	3.57
Paolo Banchero	72	71	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.43	9	-8	17	14.0	17.7	-3.77	16.0	12.7	3.36
Franz Wagner	66	65	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.40	7	-6	13	14.0	16.9	-2.95	15.8	13.8	1.99
Gary Harris	69	68	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	-8	17	14.1	17.0	-2.97	16.3	12.3	3.95
Jonathan Isaac	34	36	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.40	-12	13	-25	16.4	14.1	2.29	12.9	16.4	-3.49
Joe Ingles	29	32	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	7	-13	16.9	14.0	2.95	13.8	15.8	-1.99
Cole Anthony	30	33	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.05	-9	10	-19	16.6	14.1	2.51	12.8	16.3	-3.57
Markelle Fultz	26	29	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.02	-8	9	-17	17.0	14.1	2.97	12.3	16.3	-3.95
Moritz Wagner	22	25	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.02	-8	9	-17	17.8	14.0	3.82	12.2	16.1	-3.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.75,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.75,0.77,0.69,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.97,0.97,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 86, DET 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.72,0.78,0.71,0.54,0.75,0.9,0.97,1,1	94.0%
NOH 92, HOU 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.7,0.62,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.99,1,1	92.7%
CLE 88, CHH 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.68,0.75,0.66,0.73,0.68,0.89,0.98,0.99,1	92.5%