NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	128		Excitement	7.5 [130]		MVP	Nikola Joki? (DEN): +35.2%
Denver Nuggets	123		Comeback	6.5 [14]		LVP	Bruce Brown (DEN): -12.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schr�der	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.21	0.13	0.01	8	95%	0.33	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Russell Westbrook	0.23	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.23	0.09	0.14	0.01	16	62%	0.25	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Keegan Murray	0.17	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.06	0.00	14	63%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	9	68%	0.14	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.02
Precious Achiuwa	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	4	78%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Drew Eubanks	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.00	5	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Malik Monk	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	14	41%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Maxime Raynaud	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nique Clifford	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	14	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Joki?	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.35	0.35	0.25	0.14	0.04	28	67%	0.41	2	-0.06	10	90%	0.01
Jamal Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.07	-0.03	18	59%	0.22	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.02
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	11	80%	0.21	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00
Peyton Watson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	10	75%	0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Hunter Tyson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Spencer Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.03
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.01	7	47%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jonas Valan?i?nas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	7	14%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.3	28.6	0.0	26.3	0.0	36.1	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +30.4%

SAC +7.5%

DEN -9.0%

SAC +19.2%

SAC +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DEN	NBA	SAC	DEN	NBA
this game	14.6	15.0	14.1	132.0	126.8	113.7
season	14.1	14.4		107.7	123.3
opponent	14.0	13.9		114.1	118.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.9	12.1	17.0	16.2	14.6
DEN	13.6	15.6	15.7	15.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keegan Murray	86	85	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.36	8	-3	11	14.4	16.8	-2.45	15.4	11.9	3.51
Zach LaVine	93	91	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.38	4	1	3	14.5	18.0	-3.49	15.2	11.7	3.54
DeMar DeRozan	97	97	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	0	5	14.6	0.0	14.65	15.0	0.0	14.99
Dennis Schr�der	96	96	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.40	3	2	1	14.8	4.0	10.76	15.1	6.0	9.08
Precious Achiuwa	87	86	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.37	0	5	-5	15.3	9.0	6.30	15.1	13.8	1.32
Drew Eubanks	66	66	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.40	-4	9	-13	15.0	14.0	0.95	15.3	14.4	0.84
Malik Monk	80	80	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	4	-3	15.0	13.2	1.79	15.2	13.8	1.49
Russell Westbrook	66	66	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.42	-10	15	-25	15.3	13.3	2.04	15.1	14.7	0.41
Nique Clifford	53	54	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.09	-1	6	-7	13.2	16.3	-3.10	15.3	14.6	0.65
Maxime Raynaud	33	34	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.07	-5	10	-15	13.1	15.5	-2.36	15.1	14.9	0.15

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hunter Tyson	45	45	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.01	5	-10	15	14.8	15.2	-0.40	13.6	15.6	-2.00
Jonas Valan?i?nas	24	23	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	0	-5	16.6	14.5	2.12	12.9	15.2	-2.28
Tim Hardaway Jr.	86	85	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-5	5	15.1	13.8	1.32	15.4	9.4	5.97
Bruce Brown	96	96	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.40	-3	-2	-1	15.1	6.0	9.08	14.8	4.0	10.76
Peyton Watson	96	97	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.35	-5	0	-5	15.1	4.0	11.10	14.6	0.0	14.65
Nikola Joki?	96	97	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.35	-5	0	-5	15.1	4.0	11.10	14.6	0.0	14.65
Jamal Murray	96	96	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	1	-7	15.1	6.0	9.08	14.8	4.0	10.76
Cameron Johnson	86	88	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.37	-6	1	-7	15.3	12.2	3.17	14.4	17.4	-3.08
Spencer Jones	52	54	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.22	-12	7	-19	15.3	14.6	0.77	15.7	13.3	2.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.81,0.86,0.79,0.75,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.67,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 111, IND 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.77,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.04,0,0,0	93.4%
SAC 105, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.62,0.52,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.57,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.02,0,0	92.6%
MIA 108, BKN 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.65,0.73,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.19,0.07,0.19,0.1,0.05,0.02,0	92.5%