NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	113		Excitement	11.3 [12]		MVP	Landry Shamet (NYK): +49.3%
Dallas Mavericks	111		Comeback	4.8 [128]		LVP	P.J. Washington (DAL): -24.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Landry Shamet	0.49	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.25,0.49	0.03	0.47	0.01	6	60%	0.52	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.06
Miles McBride	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.07	-0.00	12	46%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	10	67%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.09	-0.06	-0.00	23	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.03
Jordan Clarkson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	53%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Mohamed Diawara	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	1	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	17%	-0.10
Mikal Bridges	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.07	0.01	13	57%	0.05	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	16	44%	0.05	3	-0.12	9	56%	-0.05
Guerschon Yabusele	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Max Christie	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.14	0.01	10	68%	0.24	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.06	0.01	15	72%	0.23	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.10
Klay Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	11	59%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naji Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	-0.08	-0.03	11	79%	0.26	4	-0.20	7	86%	0.01
Jaden Hardy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	9	48%	0.06	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Dereck Lively II	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Moussa Cisse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.08	0.00	3	70%	0.06	1	-0.10	4	75%	-0.04
Brandon Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.24	-0.24	-0.10	-0.12	0.01	11	35%	-0.08	3	-0.16	4	100%	0.05
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.25,-0.31,-0.24	-0.24	-0.13	-0.11	0.00	12	21%	-0.21	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	0.0	34.3	0.0	31.7	0.0	49.1	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +51.6%

DAL -37.8%

DAL -9.0%

NYK +45.1%

NYK +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DAL	NBA	NYK	DAL	NBA
this game	13.9	14.3	14.1	109.7	109.9	113.7
season	14.9	14.0		120.9	108.0
opponent	14.0	13.9		111.2	112.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.4	13.3	13.0	14.0	13.9
DAL	13.8	14.3	14.7	14.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Brunson	96	94	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.44	8	-6	14	14.0	12.6	1.45	14.3	14.3	-0.01
Mikal Bridges	103	101	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	13.9	0.0	13.92	14.3	0.0	14.28
Mitchell Robinson	87	86	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.42	0	2	-2	14.7	9.5	5.24	14.2	15.0	-0.85
Karl-Anthony Towns	93	92	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	1	0	14.1	12.6	1.46	14.4	12.6	1.89
Miles McBride	86	85	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.39	-1	3	-4	14.7	10.1	4.63	14.3	14.4	-0.12
Josh Hart	95	93	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.50	-5	7	-12	14.3	9.1	5.20	14.0	17.7	-3.77
Landry Shamet	65	65	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.42	-7	9	-16	15.0	12.2	2.80	14.5	13.9	0.60
Mohamed Diawara	9	9	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	1	0	15.7	13.8	1.91	13.7	14.3	-0.67
Guerschon Yabusele	60	58	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.06	0	2	-2	14.2	13.6	0.59	14.4	14.1	0.36
Jordan Clarkson	62	61	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.04	-1	3	-4	13.6	14.4	-0.82	14.6	13.8	0.71

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moussa Cisse	38	40	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.09	6	-8	14	14.3	14.3	0.06	15.8	12.7	3.11
Jaden Hardy	75	77	0.26	-0.76	1.03	0.00	9	-11	20	13.9	15.3	-1.34	14.3	12.7	1.59
D'Angelo Russell	92	93	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.46	5	-7	12	14.3	14.4	-0.18	14.7	6.5	8.22
Dereck Lively II	68	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.45	4	-6	10	14.4	14.0	0.46	14.1	13.6	0.42
Daniel Gafford	90	91	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.35	0	-2	2	14.4	13.5	0.92	14.4	10.2	4.16
Naji Marshall	100	102	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.35	-2	0	-2	14.4	3.0	11.39	14.1	0.0	14.06
Max Christie	96	98	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.45	1	-3	4	14.2	15.0	-0.76	14.0	12.8	1.18
P.J. Washington	88	90	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.45	-3	1	-4	14.2	14.8	-0.56	14.2	12.0	2.20
Klay Thompson	78	80	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.45	-4	2	-6	14.4	13.7	0.75	13.9	13.8	0.12
Brandon Williams	53	55	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.41	-7	5	-12	15.0	13.5	1.56	14.5	13.3	1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.33,0.31,0.24,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.55,0.75,0.64,0.68,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 111, PHX 107	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.59,0.45,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.22,0.24,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.47,0.86,0.72,0.57,0.27,0	92.1%
ORL 76, HOU 74	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.85,0.16,0	92.0%
DET 90, PHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.52,0.56,0.68,0.69,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.43,0.42,0	91.6%