NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	111		Excitement	9.1 [165]		MVP	Chris Paul (OKC): +21.8%
Phoenix Suns	107		Comeback	7.9 [166]		LVP	Devin Booker (PHX): -29.6%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.15,0.22	0.04	0.19	0.00	16	56%	0.26	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Dennis Schroder	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.33,0.17,0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.01	19	56%	0.33	2	-0.18	5	100%	0.03
Danilo Gallinari	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.04	17	63%	0.19	1	-0.04	9	89%	0.03
Nerlens Noel	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	7	71%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Bazley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Abdel Nader	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.05	0.01	8	44%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Adams	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	6	67%	0.03	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Hamidou Diallo	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	16	35%	-0.05	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.04

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.04,0.12	0.12	0.13	-0.01	-0.00	15	69%	0.37	3	-0.24	9	78%	-0.02
Ty Jerome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	-0.00	7	64%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	2	83%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	5	75%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.02	-0.03	15	53%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dario Saric	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	5	17%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23	-0.23	-0.08	-0.14	0.01	8	40%	-0.11	3	-0.12	4	75%	-0.02
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.25,-0.3	-0.30	-0.01	-0.21	0.08	18	61%	-0.03	7	-0.27	8	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	32.7	15.3	27.2	1.5	39.4	142.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +6.5%

OKC +5.6%

OKC +14.5%

OKC +22.6%

OKC +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	PHX	NBA	OKC	PHX	NBA
this game	15.4	13.7	14.2	112.1	108.1	109.6
season	14.3	14.1		108.8	110.9
opponent	14.1	14.5		110.2	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	16.5	15.9	16.0	13.4	15.4
PHX	14.0	13.5	15.3	12.3	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Schroder	63	62	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.54	5	-1	6	14.8	16.4	-1.54	13.1	14.6	-1.50
Danilo Gallinari	67	68	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.48	7	-3	10	15.0	16.1	-1.10	13.5	14.2	-0.71
Chris Paul	69	71	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.23	10	-6	16	14.7	17.0	-2.32	14.8	10.9	3.87
Nerlens Noel	51	51	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.06	15	-11	26	15.8	14.9	0.91	13.2	14.3	-1.09
Steven Adams	48	48	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	15	-26	14.9	15.8	-0.91	14.3	13.2	1.09
Hamidou Diallo	22	22	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.05	-2	6	-8	16.7	15.0	1.67	13.7	13.7	-0.03
Luguentz Dort	55	55	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.05	-4	8	-12	16.1	14.5	1.59	13.6	13.8	-0.24
Abdel Nader	22	21	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.01	-8	12	-20	17.2	14.9	2.37	13.0	13.9	-0.84
Darius Bazley	26	25	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	-0.03	-11	15	-26	17.2	14.7	2.50	13.5	13.8	-0.30

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jevon Carter	23	24	0.58	-1.08	1.66	0.05	18	-22	40	14.5	13.5	1.00	17.2	14.8	2.35
Ty Jerome	36	36	0.57	-1.07	1.64	0.01	19	-23	42	13.4	13.9	-0.54	17.2	14.4	2.80
Tyler Johnson	30	31	0.36	-0.86	1.23	0.10	9	-13	22	13.4	13.8	-0.39	16.5	14.9	1.65
Cheick Diallo	14	14	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.16	7	-11	18	11.4	14.1	-2.74	17.9	15.0	2.96
Dario Saric	8	8	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-5	6	14.0	13.7	0.32	16.1	15.3	0.81
Deandre Ayton	83	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	2	-8	14.1	11.9	2.19	15.2	16.6	-1.41
Kelly Oubre Jr.	81	81	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.38	-8	4	-12	13.9	12.7	1.20	15.0	16.9	-1.84
Devin Booker	83	82	-0.90	0.40	-1.29	-0.46	-15	11	-26	13.5	14.6	-1.02	15.2	16.4	-1.17
Mikal Bridges	73	73	-1.01	0.51	-1.52	-0.39	-21	17	-38	13.6	14.1	-0.55	14.6	17.6	-2.97
Ricky Rubio	64	63	-1.12	0.62	-1.74	-0.41	-24	20	-44	13.9	13.4	0.48	14.4	17.2	-2.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.59,0.45,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.22,0.24,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.47,0.86,0.72,0.57,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 85, NYK 82	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.81,0.66,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.08,0	90.7%
IND 102, NYK 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.4,0.34,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.27,0	90.3%
ORL 76, HOU 74	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.85,0.16,0	90.1%