NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	85		Excitement	8.5 [203]		MVP	Sam Cassell (LAC): +20.2%
New York Knicks	82		Comeback	4.3 [201]		LVP	Quentin Richardson (NYK): -25.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.2,0.2	-0.01	0.21	0.00	11	52%	0.27	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Elton Brand	0.09	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.1,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.01	19	61%	0.24	4	-0.15	3	100%	0.04
Chris Kaman	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	16	63%	0.15	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.03
Boniface N'Dong	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.09	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
James Singleton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16	-0.05	-0.07	0.04	11	42%	-0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddy Curry	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	7	78%	0.18	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.04
Jalen Rose	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.03	17	56%	0.09	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.05
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.00	7	35%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.04
Jackie Butler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	11	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	12	36%	-0.05	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	5	60%	0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.10	-0.00	10	36%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.12	-0.13	0.00	10	14%	-0.25	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	32.6	15.7	24.2	2.8	38.3	138.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +93.7%

NYK -15.6%

NYK -17.3%

NYK -12.4%

LAC +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NYK	NBA	LAC	NYK	NBA
this game	15.6	16.4	15.6	94.4	91.1	104.4
season	15.2	15.7		103.9	102.1
opponent	15.4	15.5		108.7	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.5	16.8	16.2	15.1	15.6
NYK	15.5	18.3	15.1	16.9	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	72	72	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.37	18	-15	33	15.3	16.7	-1.39	16.8	14.7	2.08
Chris Kaman	80	80	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.48	5	-2	7	15.8	14.2	1.59	16.1	18.4	-2.26
Cuttino Mobley	82	82	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.53	3	0	3	15.6	16.1	-0.56	16.5	15.1	1.39
Sam Cassell	54	55	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.39	7	-4	11	16.2	14.7	1.44	16.1	16.9	-0.86
Quinton Ross	60	62	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.45	4	-1	5	15.4	15.9	-0.48	15.4	18.5	-3.12
Boniface N'Dong	0	1	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	5	-7	0.0	15.6	-15.61	43.0	16.1	26.91
Daniel Ewing	26	25	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.07	0	3	-3	16.0	15.5	0.55	18.5	15.6	2.90
Chris Wilcox	17	17	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.02	-5	8	-13	15.1	15.7	-0.68	16.8	16.3	0.54
Shaun Livingston	41	40	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.06	-6	9	-15	14.7	16.3	-1.62	16.5	16.3	0.24
James Singleton	18	16	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.02	-9	12	-21	16.9	15.3	1.67	14.3	16.8	-2.53

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	35	36	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.11	13	-16	29	15.4	17.0	-1.57	15.2	15.9	-0.69
Qyntel Woods	30	31	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.04	5	-8	13	18.3	15.4	2.87	15.9	15.4	0.49
Nate Robinson	14	17	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.04	1	-4	5	15.6	16.5	-0.88	15.0	15.8	-0.75
Jerome James	13	12	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.02	2	-5	7	16.8	16.3	0.53	13.7	15.9	-2.15
Jackie Butler	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-3	3	19.2	16.3	2.99	17.4	15.5	1.89
David Lee	0	1	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-1	-1	0.0	16.4	-16.39	1.0	15.8	-14.78
Maurice Taylor	32	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.08	-8	5	-13	17.0	16.0	1.00	15.2	15.8	-0.69
Malik Rose	52	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.40	6	-9	15	15.6	17.5	-1.92	16.3	14.6	1.68
Jamal Crawford	77	76	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-3	3	15.7	20.3	-4.58	15.7	15.1	0.64
Jalen Rose	83	81	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.50	-7	4	-11	16.6	13.9	2.75	15.8	14.2	1.54
Quentin Richardson	72	71	-0.72	0.23	-0.95	-0.55	-6	3	-9	16.2	17.3	-1.11	15.5	15.9	-0.36
Eddy Curry	44	42	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.29	-17	14	-31	17.2	15.6	1.68	16.1	15.2	0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.81,0.66,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 121, SEA 113	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.36,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.53,0.61,0.32,0.37,0.57,0.16,0	92.6%
UTA 89, CHH 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.21,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.45,0.45,0.68,0.15,0	91.5%
GSW 94, SEA 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.57,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.59,0.53,0.39,0.47,0.54,0.43,0.29,0	90.7%