NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	90		Excitement	9.1 [108]		MVP	Rodney Stuckey (DET): +23.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	86		Comeback	2.7 [293]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -30.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23	0.09	0.14	0.00	19	60%	0.30	2	-0.07	7	100%	0.03
Chucky Atkins	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.17	0.02	0.14	-0.01	7	50%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.06
Jonas Jerebko	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.08	-0.00	12	65%	0.34	4	-0.24	2	100%	0.01
DaJuan Summers	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	12	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jason Maxiell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,-0.03	0.04	-0.05	0.02	8	60%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Austin Daye	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	5	61%	0.05	3	-0.11	8	87%	0.01
Will Bynum	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	2	0%	-0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.36,0.21	0.21	0.15	0.06	-0.00	9	81%	0.21	0	0.00	3	100%	0.06
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	3	75%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.04	-0.00	14	55%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.04	-0.01	14	39%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.14	0.04	-0.02	10	42%	0.09	6	-0.18	6	83%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.1,0.1,-0.06,-0.31	-0.31	-0.05	-0.29	-0.03	18	44%	-0.12	2	-0.19	5	40%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.5	33.8	15.8	24.3	2.4	35.0	139.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +17.6%

DET +12.5%

DET +44.7%

PHI -23.0%

PHI -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	17.9	16.2	15.3	107.1	101.2	106.0
season	16.8	15.1		104.0	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.2		108.4	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	18.0	16.7	17.4	19.8	17.9
PHI	14.1	16.0	18.6	16.2	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Atkins	53	53	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.53	14	-10	24	17.2	19.2	-1.99	16.4	15.7	0.65
Ben Wallace	52	53	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.51	13	-9	22	18.1	17.7	0.31	15.8	16.7	-0.96
Jonas Jerebko	68	67	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.47	12	-8	20	18.1	17.4	0.62	16.1	16.4	-0.30
Rodney Stuckey	71	73	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.32	9	-5	14	17.8	18.7	-0.89	16.6	13.6	2.99
Jason Maxiell	45	45	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.36	7	-3	10	17.9	18.0	-0.06	16.2	16.1	0.01
DaJuan Summers	6	6	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	7	-10	15.2	18.2	-2.99	8.0	16.8	-8.77
Charlie Villanueva	47	47	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	9	-14	18.1	17.7	0.47	16.3	15.9	0.37
Austin Daye	16	18	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	-0.09	-8	12	-20	17.4	18.1	-0.62	16.4	16.1	0.30
Will Bynum	31	32	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	-0.17	-8	12	-20	19.2	17.2	1.99	15.7	16.4	-0.65
Kwame Brown	31	31	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	-0.11	-11	15	-26	18.3	17.7	0.61	17.1	15.6	1.49

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kapono	30	31	0.40	-0.90	1.31	0.05	12	-16	28	17.7	15.3	2.34	20.2	16.6	3.57
Willie Green	31	32	0.22	-0.72	0.93	0.10	4	-8	12	17.7	15.3	2.40	18.4	17.7	0.70
Jason Smith	12	11	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.04	4	-8	12	16.2	16.2	0.02	18.8	17.8	1.01
Royal Ivey	2	2	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-3	2	32.0	15.8	16.23	18.5	17.9	0.57
Andre Iguodala	83	82	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.39	-3	-1	-2	15.8	32.0	-16.23	17.9	18.5	-0.57
Samuel Dalembert	68	67	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.31	-9	5	-14	16.2	15.9	0.34	18.1	17.5	0.59
Allen Iverson	63	61	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.50	-6	2	-8	14.9	19.8	-4.88	17.5	19.2	-1.76
Thaddeus Young	67	66	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.39	-10	6	-16	15.8	17.3	-1.50	16.8	22.1	-5.24
Elton Brand	69	68	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.43	-11	7	-18	16.2	15.9	0.27	18.0	17.8	0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.52,0.56,0.68,0.69,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.43,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 94, TOR 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.18,0.34,0.26,0.38,0.53,0.63,0.47,0.71,0.61,0.75,0.71,0.57,0.27,0	91.9%
IND 80, CHI 76	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.54,0.72,0.81,0.66,0.33,0.26,0	91.1%
SAS 92, DAL 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.58,0	90.9%