NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	121		Excitement	6.6 [310]		MVP	Immanuel Quickley (TOR): +18.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	112		Comeback	1.3 [402]		LVP	Scottie Barnes (TOR): -18.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Immanuel Quickley	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19	0.07	0.11	-0.01	15	60%	0.19	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.05	0.02	10	79%	0.18	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
RJ Barrett	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.03	0.04	12	67%	0.14	0	0.00	9	89%	0.03
Brandon Ingram	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.04	0.02	10	81%	0.22	4	-0.10	7	86%	0.01
Ja'Kobe Walter	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	5	110%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gradey Dick	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sandro Mamukelashvili	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jamison Battle	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Shead	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	17	47%	-0.01	6	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.11,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.05	0.03	15	64%	0.17	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.12	-0.05	0.04	14	75%	0.15	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
Jabari Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	75%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.00	9	56%	0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Justin Edwards	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Dominick Barlow	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Trendon Watford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	5	75%	0.05	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Jared McCain	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	7	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
VJ Edgecombe	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	20	47%	0.04	4	-0.12	5	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.3	25.8	10.6	34.0	1.2	28.1	126.6
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.3	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +20.1%

TOR +6.4%

TOR +2.0%

TOR +23.6%

PHI -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	14.0	15.2	14.2	122.2	114.3	113.4
season	14.0	14.6		112.6	113.8
opponent	13.9	14.7		112.9	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	12.0	13.8	12.1	18.8	14.0
PHI	16.5	14.4	14.5	15.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ja'Kobe Walter	70	69	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.04	22	-13	35	12.6	17.3	-4.74	15.4	14.8	0.61
Sandro Mamukelashvili	78	78	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.05	18	-9	27	12.8	18.4	-5.61	15.7	13.2	2.54
Immanuel Quickley	99	98	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.24	9	0	9	14.0	0.0	13.96	15.2	0.0	15.22
Scottie Barnes	96	94	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.26	7	2	5	13.9	16.3	-2.45	15.5	9.5	5.97
Gradey Dick	63	62	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.08	13	-4	17	12.9	15.9	-3.03	16.0	13.9	2.11
RJ Barrett	91	90	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	7	-5	14.4	8.7	5.67	15.1	16.2	-1.12
Jamal Shead	76	74	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	3	3	13.4	15.9	-2.54	16.2	12.2	4.05
Jakob Poeltl	81	79	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.31	-6	15	-21	14.8	10.4	4.36	15.7	13.1	2.69
Brandon Ingram	76	76	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.24	-5	14	-19	15.0	10.7	4.31	15.7	13.7	1.93
Jamison Battle	12	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	12	-15	14.3	13.9	0.43	17.4	14.9	2.50

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Drummond	78	80	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.28	4	-13	17	15.8	13.1	2.67	14.7	10.9	3.73
Tyrese Maxey	86	87	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-7	5	15.6	12.3	3.29	14.4	10.4	4.03
Justin Edwards	69	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-1	-7	15.0	15.7	-0.71	13.1	16.0	-2.89
Dominick Barlow	40	41	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	1	-11	17.7	13.5	4.27	13.4	14.4	-0.97
Quentin Grimes	74	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.19	-7	-2	-5	15.8	13.5	2.34	14.4	12.6	1.76
Trendon Watford	77	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	6	-21	15.1	15.5	-0.38	12.7	18.8	-6.10
VJ Edgecombe	98	99	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	0	-9	15.2	0.0	15.22	14.0	0.0	13.96
Jabari Walker	79	80	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.17	-13	4	-17	15.6	13.8	1.78	13.9	14.2	-0.25
Jared McCain	62	62	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.07	-23	14	-37	15.7	14.4	1.32	12.2	16.8	-4.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.37,0.42,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.17,0.1,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 102, ATL 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.36,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.03,0.02,0.02,0	93.3%
CHI 90, BKN 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.5,0.45,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.19,0.22,0.07,0.04,0.19,0.16,0.04,0,0	92.9%
LAL 107, HOU 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.1,0.26,0.4,0.39,0.26,0.21,0.01,0.01,0	92.7%