inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 126 Excitement2.5 [368] MVPChet Holmgren (OKC): +12.6%
New Orleans Pelicans 109 Comeback1.0 [384] LVPHerbert Jones (NOP): -9.2%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chet Holmgren0.130,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.150.010.031481%0.143-0.01475%0.01
Luguentz Dort0.120,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.160.000.04981%0.1200.003100%0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0.110,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.140.020.04982%0.123-0.0110100%0.02
Isaiah Joe0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.070.000.001164%0.071-0.0100%0.00
Branden Carlson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.01-0.02550%0.0400.00450%-0.01
Isaiah Hartenstein0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.070.010.041070%0.052-0.02367%0.00
Ajay Mitchell0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.070.02-0.061434%0.0200.00475%0.02
Ousmane Dieng0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Youngblood0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brooks Barnhizer0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cason Wallace-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.090.00-0.091035%0.013-0.0200%0.00
Jaylin Williams-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.120.00-0.0620%0.004-0.0600%0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Micah Peavy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.150.020.09989%0.0800.0000%0.00
Karlo Matkovi?0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.000.025100%0.071-0.0000%0.00
Trey Murphy III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.110.000.08990%0.063-0.022100%0.01
Bryce McGowens0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.02350%0.0300.002100%0.01
Jeremiah Fears0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.110.000.101665%0.043-0.03580%-0.01
Yves Missi0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01650%0.012-0.0300%0.00
Jose Alvarado0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.00-0.03933%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Derik Queen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.160.01-0.111037%0.016-0.06475%0.00
Jordan Hawkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.03-0.050.051150%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Herbert Jones0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.130.00-0.04828%-0.034-0.062100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.30.132.014.232.50.130.4139.6
league avg26.32.128.814.629.42.332.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +31.6%
OKC +8.5%
NOP -3.6%
OKC +12.0%
OKC +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCNOPNBAOKCNOPNBA
this game14.913.614.1124.8107.9113.7
season13.714.4119.3110.5
opponent13.714.5118.4102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC15.014.613.017.014.9
NOP13.713.614.112.913.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Isaiah Joe99990.55-0.050.59-0.0420-32315.08.56.5113.612.01.63
Chet Holmgren68670.54-0.040.58-0.1423-62915.114.50.5414.711.53.16
Branden Carlson95940.53-0.030.56-0.0520-32315.013.51.4713.811.02.79
Luguentz Dort78780.52-0.020.54-0.0720-32314.815.0-0.2114.410.93.53
Ajay Mitchell94950.500.000.50-0.0318-11915.013.11.8713.711.81.87
Jaylin Williams94950.500.000.50-0.0318-11915.013.11.8713.711.81.87
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander76780.500.000.49-0.2425-83314.217.0-2.7613.812.90.94
Isaiah Hartenstein58570.470.030.43-0.0919-22114.615.2-0.6114.512.52.02
Cason Wallace73710.400.100.290.10107315.313.91.3714.411.62.84
Brooks Barnhizer40380.040.46-0.420.48-1532-4716.413.92.5613.413.7-0.32
Ousmane Dieng25230.000.50-0.490.24-825-3317.014.22.7612.913.8-0.94
Chris Youngblood25230.000.50-0.490.24-825-3317.014.22.7612.913.8-0.94

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeremiah Fears8686-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.22-4-13913.812.11.7215.014.30.64
Yves Missi8586-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.19-6-11513.911.91.9715.014.30.64
Trey Murphy III7474-0.42-0.07-0.35-0.10-11-6-514.012.51.4715.413.51.86
Karlo Matkovi?7475-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.17-10-7-313.912.81.1115.114.20.88
Micah Peavy101100-0.510.01-0.51-0.01-170-1713.60.013.5915.04.010.99
Herbert Jones7878-0.510.01-0.520.11-214-2514.311.23.0815.114.30.75
Derik Queen7677-0.510.01-0.52-0.07-15-2-1313.912.71.2115.014.50.50
Bryce McGowens9392-0.550.05-0.590.07-214-2513.711.91.8715.212.13.04
Jordan Hawkins8485-0.570.07-0.650.16-258-3313.713.00.7115.014.40.53
Jose Alvarado7171-0.580.08-0.660.24-2811-3914.212.12.1714.815.0-0.17


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 108, LAL 900.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.0%
TOR 114, LAL 1030.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,096.9%
DAL 98, MIA 730.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.6%