NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	114		Excitement	2.2 [1279]		MVP	Scottie Barnes (TOR): +12.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	103		Comeback	1.0 [1075]		LVP	Wenyen Gabriel (LAL): -4.5%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Barnes	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.02	-0.05	17	57%	0.14	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Pascal Siakam	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	17	61%	0.10	4	-0.02	10	70%	-0.00
Chris Boucher	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	0.00	0.06	8	72%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Fred VanVleet	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.13	14	34%	0.05	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Gary Trent Jr.	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.14	0.00	0.12	19	55%	0.03	0	0.00	13	85%	0.01
Khem Birch	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Dalano Banton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	25%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Armoni Brooks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	13	38%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	5	20%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	52%	0.04	1	-0.00	7	86%	0.01
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.07	10	56%	0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.12	0.00	0.14	13	71%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Austin Reaves	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.07	7	19%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.11	0.00	0.14	19	67%	0.01	5	-0.04	7	57%	-0.01
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	8	44%	0.01	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Wenyen Gabriel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	8	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	31.2	14.5	26.4	1.7	35.2	135.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +35.6%

TOR +0.1%

TOR +10.4%

TOR +3.1%

TOR +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	LAL	NBA	TOR	LAL	NBA
this game	15.0	12.8	14.5	109.6	100.0	110.8
season	14.9	14.3		111.3	109.5
opponent	14.2	14.8		112.2	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	12.4	16.3	14.5	16.9	15.0
LAL	17.1	11.4	11.2	11.9	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred VanVleet	87	86	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.11	21	-10	31	14.6	17.2	-2.67	13.3	10.3	3.02
Scottie Barnes	86	85	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.14	21	-10	31	14.5	17.2	-2.69	13.5	9.6	3.88
Pascal Siakam	75	74	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.27	25	-14	39	14.2	17.0	-2.73	13.3	11.5	1.81
Precious Achiuwa	70	70	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.18	21	-10	31	14.7	15.6	-0.83	13.3	11.8	1.47
Gary Trent Jr.	79	80	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.14	9	2	7	15.0	15.0	-0.05	12.2	14.8	-2.53
Thaddeus Young	34	32	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.35	-9	20	-29	16.6	14.2	2.32	11.6	13.4	-1.73
Chris Boucher	44	44	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.44	-12	23	-35	15.8	14.4	1.38	12.3	13.2	-0.91
Khem Birch	25	25	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.29	-8	19	-27	15.2	14.9	0.26	12.0	13.1	-1.08
Armoni Brooks	9	8	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.07	-2	13	-15	16.6	14.9	1.70	11.2	12.9	-1.70
Dalano Banton	11	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.30	-11	22	-33	19.4	14.5	4.88	9.9	13.2	-3.25

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wayne Ellington	53	54	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.67	21	-32	53	11.4	14.3	-2.88	16.6	13.3	3.24
Talen Horton-Tucker	59	59	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.45	12	-23	35	11.6	14.4	-2.78	15.8	13.9	1.96
Avery Bradley	8	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.10	-7	-4	-3	19.6	12.2	7.38	12.8	15.2	-2.43
D.J. Augustin	9	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.09	-7	-4	-3	20.0	12.1	7.87	12.8	15.2	-2.43
Carmelo Anthony	60	60	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.34	7	-18	25	11.5	14.6	-3.07	15.7	14.1	1.62
Wenyen Gabriel	38	38	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.00	-5	-6	1	13.9	12.2	1.71	16.1	14.3	1.78
Stanley Johnson	35	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-4	-3	13.3	12.6	0.76	13.9	15.5	-1.59
Austin Reaves	37	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.40	-24	13	-37	13.9	12.2	1.72	13.9	15.6	-1.74
Russell Westbrook	79	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.47	4	-15	19	11.7	16.5	-4.86	15.0	14.9	0.11
Malik Monk	51	52	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.43	-28	17	-45	13.5	12.1	1.41	14.0	16.0	-1.92
LeBron James	86	88	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.10	-21	10	-31	13.5	9.5	3.94	14.4	18.2	-3.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 133, CHI 77	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
GSW 108, LAL 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
DAL 98, MIA 73	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%