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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 133 Excitement1.9 [1288] MVPMarcus Morris (BOS): +8.4%
Chicago Bulls 77 Comeback1.0 [1192] LVPJustin Holiday (CHI): -5.8%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcus Morris0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.00-0.04960%0.081-0.002100%0.01
Terry Rozier0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.010.011168%0.081-0.0000%0.00
Jayson Tatum0.070,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.150.000.089100%0.102-0.0300%0.00
Daniel Theis0.070,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.110.000.051559%0.0700.00757%-0.00
Marcus Smart0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.00-0.00560%0.0400.0000%0.00
Kyrie Irving0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.011059%0.041-0.01250%-0.01
Jaylen Brown0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.190.000.171188%0.0210.004100%0.01
Guerschon Yabusele0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.01250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Brad Wanamaker0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Semi Ojeleye0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.100.000.10972%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gordon Hayward-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.03928%-0.031-0.0100%0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jabari Parker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.00-0.03750%0.031-0.002100%0.01
Shaquille Harrison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.090.000.061562%0.031-0.00250%-0.00
Cameron Payne0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.00-0.051050%0.013-0.0000%0.00
Chandler Hutchison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.050.00-0.06325%0.0110.0020%0.00
Zach LaVine0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.050.000.04673%0.042-0.043100%0.01
Cristiano Felicio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01444%-0.001-0.0010%-0.00
Antonio Blakeney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.110.00-0.10920%-0.0010.002100%-0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01250%-0.001-0.01250%-0.01
Robin Lopez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.070.00-0.06425%-0.012-0.0100%0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.0210%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Lauri Markkanen0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.000.021040%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Justin Holiday0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.011025%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.81.825.515.325.51.824.0116.6
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +38.7%
BOS +2.6%
BOS +3.8%
BOS +4.7%
BOS +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSCHINBABOSCHINBA
this game13.716.914.3141.581.9109.3
season13.914.6109.9104.2
opponent14.314.7112.4106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS14.116.811.713.113.7
CHI16.519.216.615.716.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcus Morris50490.460.040.42-0.5434221214.013.40.6316.817.0-0.16
Daniel Theis65640.450.050.40-1.025064413.115.2-2.0617.016.80.19
Marcus Smart40400.450.050.39-0.493224814.113.50.6618.116.02.14
Kyrie Irving42430.410.090.31-0.392729-214.613.11.4917.816.11.70
Jayson Tatum38400.340.160.18-0.392531-613.713.8-0.1519.215.24.06
Gordon Hayward51510.170.33-0.16-0.271541-2614.612.71.8915.718.3-2.64
Terry Rozier52510.090.41-0.31-0.762927213.114.6-1.4916.117.8-1.70
Jaylen Brown57570.080.42-0.34-0.682630-413.414.2-0.7816.417.6-1.16
Guerschon Yabusele29300.050.45-0.40-0.13650-4415.213.12.0616.817.0-0.19
Semi Ojeleye31310.000.50-0.50-0.672333-1012.314.4-2.1215.617.5-1.96
Brad Wanamaker15140.000.50-0.50-0.381343-3013.113.9-0.7316.117.0-0.88

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cristiano Felicio3637-0.00-0.500.490.76-26-30415.417.8-2.3512.214.7-2.48
Antonio Blakeney3839-0.01-0.490.490.78-27-29215.717.7-1.9912.314.7-2.41
Cameron Payne5252-0.14-0.360.230.86-34-22-1215.219.0-3.7212.914.8-1.84
Chandler Hutchison4244-0.14-0.360.220.68-28-28015.518.1-2.6113.314.1-0.80
Shaquille Harrison6161-0.21-0.290.091.06-43-13-3015.120.1-4.9712.915.3-2.45
Jabari Parker5554-0.22-0.280.050.63-29-27-215.419.0-3.6013.613.9-0.27
Lauri Markkanen3232-0.24-0.260.020.05-10-463620.015.34.7115.313.02.33
Robin Lopez2625-0.26-0.24-0.010.33-20-361615.117.6-2.5114.013.70.35
Wendell Carter Jr.2525-0.28-0.22-0.050.13-14-422820.615.65.0514.413.50.84
Zach LaVine3333-0.29-0.21-0.090.09-13-433020.115.14.9715.312.92.45
Justin Holiday3534-0.36-0.14-0.220.17-18-382019.515.44.1315.312.82.47
Ryan Arcidiacono3534-0.36-0.14-0.220.17-18-382019.515.44.1315.312.82.47


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 113, POR 880.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.5%
DET 124, ATL 1090.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.1%
SEA 111, GSW 860.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.0%