NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	113		Excitement	2.2 [1274]		MVP	Jimmy Butler (CHI): +12.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	88		Comeback	1.0 [605]		LVP	Meyers Leonard (POR): -6.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0.13	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.01	-0.03	16	67%	0.15	4	-0.02	8	100%	0.01
Jerian Grant	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	13	60%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.00	-0.06	15	42%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	52%	0.03	2	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
RJ Hunter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Denzel Valentine	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Zipser	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Canaan	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	6	53%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	-0.00
Bobby Portis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	18	46%	-0.03	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	69%	0.03	2	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	0.00	0.08	12	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	45%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jake Layman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Quarterman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	17	50%	0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	9	28%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	0.03	9	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	22	40%	-0.05	3	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	6	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	30.1	14.4	23.6	1.8	29.2	124.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +36.1%

CHI +6.7%

CHI +5.4%

CHI +1.8%

POR -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	POR	NBA	CHI	POR	NBA
this game	14.7	14.2	14.8	113.0	88.9	107.7
season	15.1	14.9		105.9	108.6
opponent	14.5	14.8		109.8	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.8	15.3	14.3	16.6	14.7
POR	15.4	14.7	14.0	12.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerian Grant	63	63	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.15	22	3	19	14.1	15.8	-1.72	14.8	13.2	1.51
Robin Lopez	60	60	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.32	27	-2	29	13.9	16.0	-2.16	15.2	12.6	2.59
Jimmy Butler	72	70	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.30	25	0	25	14.3	15.9	-1.62	14.8	12.8	2.01
Taj Gibson	62	60	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.25	23	2	21	14.4	15.3	-0.94	15.1	12.9	2.17
Dwyane Wade	68	68	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.19	19	6	13	14.1	16.1	-1.96	13.5	15.7	-2.18
Isaiah Canaan	50	49	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.09	8	17	-9	14.7	14.8	-0.06	13.9	14.5	-0.54
Denzel Valentine	32	32	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	25	-25	16.3	14.0	2.28	14.6	14.0	0.56
Bobby Portis	29	29	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.08	-1	26	-27	16.3	14.1	2.27	12.7	14.8	-2.10
Nikola Mirotic	41	41	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.01	2	23	-21	14.5	14.9	-0.37	12.9	15.1	-2.24
RJ Hunter	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	23	-21	19.1	14.4	4.75	12.4	14.3	-1.92
Cristiano Felicio	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	26	-27	19.2	14.3	4.91	12.2	14.4	-2.13
Paul Zipser	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	26	-27	19.2	14.3	4.91	12.2	14.4	-2.13

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Layman	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-26	27	12.2	14.4	-2.13	19.2	14.3	4.91
Tim Quarterman	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-26	27	12.2	14.4	-2.13	19.2	14.3	4.91
Shabazz Napier	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-26	27	12.2	14.4	-2.13	19.2	14.3	4.91
Pat Connaughton	17	17	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-22	19	12.8	14.5	-1.68	16.1	14.4	1.67
Ed Davis	40	39	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.10	-6	-19	13	13.6	14.6	-0.94	14.8	14.7	0.15
Noah Vonleh	19	19	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.03	-2	-23	21	14.4	14.2	0.26	15.5	14.6	0.92
Evan Turner	40	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.06	-9	-16	7	15.0	13.7	1.32	14.6	14.8	-0.25
Allen Crabbe	66	68	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-19	13	14.1	14.5	-0.36	14.9	14.3	0.57
CJ McCollum	71	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.09	-15	-10	-5	14.0	14.7	-0.75	14.4	15.6	-1.27
Mason Plumlee	45	46	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.15	-17	-8	-9	14.9	13.7	1.20	13.9	15.4	-1.55
Meyers Leonard	34	34	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.25	-21	-4	-17	15.0	13.8	1.24	13.1	15.6	-2.44
Damian Lillard	80	81	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.27	-23	-2	-21	14.2	14.4	-0.26	14.6	15.5	-0.92
Maurice Harkless	59	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.34	-26	1	-27	14.7	13.5	1.15	14.3	15.3	-0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 133, CHI 77	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
ATL 116, MEM 99	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
SAS 120, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%