NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	133		Excitement	12.9 [6]		MVP	Jerami Grant (POR): +48.8%
Dallas Mavericks	138		Comeback	4.0 [81]		LVP	Toumani Camara (POR): -18.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerami Grant	0.49	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.46,0.49	0.08	0.41	-0.00	20	52%	0.51	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.07
Kris Murray	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	2	150%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Clingan	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.00	11	67%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shaedon Sharpe	0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.28,0.28,0.1,0.1	0.00	0.08	-0.01	32	48%	0.18	3	-0.09	11	82%	-0.03
Deni Avdija	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.14,0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.03	-0.02	20	62%	0.17	4	-0.10	7	100%	0.07
Robert Williams III	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rayan Rupert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Love	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sidy Cissoko	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Toumani Camara	-0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.05	-0.11	0.03	13	42%	-0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.44,0.48	0.48	0.17	0.33	0.01	8	77%	0.48	0	0.00	10	80%	0.05
Max Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.11	0.02	7	78%	0.20	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Cooper Flagg	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.08	0.01	16	60%	0.18	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.09
P.J. Washington	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.01	0.11	-0.01	16	58%	0.21	5	-0.10	4	50%	-0.07
Brandon Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	10	58%	0.13	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.01	16	59%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Moussa Cisse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	56%	0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Naji Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	6	50%	0.11	2	-0.08	6	50%	-0.03
Caleb Martin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	11	46%	0.03	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Dereck Lively II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.3	0.5	32.1	0.0	27.0	0.0	39.3	0.0	25.4	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	2.3	16.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +86.8%

POR -29.8%

POR -4.2%

POR -7.6%

DAL +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DAL	NBA	POR	DAL	NBA
this game	14.3	14.0	14.1	118.8	123.2	113.7
season	13.5	14.0		112.1	108.0
opponent	14.0	13.9		111.2	116.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	14.3	15.0	14.1	14.7	13.0	14.3
DAL	12.2	14.4	14.7	16.2	11.7	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rayan Rupert	33	34	0.19	-0.69	0.87	-0.08	9	-14	23	14.4	14.3	0.08	12.1	14.9	-2.78
Robert Williams III	82	83	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-6	7	14.1	15.0	-0.95	14.2	13.5	0.73
Sidy Cissoko	61	60	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.08	-2	-3	1	14.7	13.9	0.84	14.7	13.3	1.38
Deni Avdija	83	85	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	4	-13	15.2	11.9	3.30	15.3	10.0	5.31
Kris Murray	87	85	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-8	3	-11	14.5	13.8	0.64	14.8	11.7	3.01
Caleb Love	80	79	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-1	-3	14.5	14.0	0.52	13.4	15.5	-2.15
Shaedon Sharpe	111	110	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-2	-1	14.2	27.0	-12.77	14.2	3.5	10.72
Toumani Camara	112	112	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	14.3	0.0	14.34	14.0	0.0	14.03
Jerami Grant	98	97	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.35	-15	10	-25	14.6	12.4	2.27	14.4	11.5	2.96
Donovan Clingan	79	79	-1.01	0.51	-1.51	-0.54	-16	11	-27	14.8	13.2	1.64	15.3	11.1	4.16

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Williams	90	89	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.41	12	-7	19	14.9	10.6	4.22	14.6	13.2	1.41
Cooper Flagg	91	90	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.38	13	-8	21	14.7	10.9	3.84	14.7	13.0	1.61
Max Christie	81	80	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.42	5	0	5	14.9	11.7	3.20	14.0	15.2	-1.27
P.J. Washington	112	112	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	0	5	14.0	0.0	14.03	14.3	0.0	14.34
Naji Marshall	111	111	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.31	5	0	5	14.1	1.0	13.14	14.2	27.0	-12.77
Daniel Gafford	86	86	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.08	10	-5	15	15.3	9.7	5.59	14.4	14.1	0.34
Klay Thompson	101	100	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	0	5	14.2	12.8	1.34	14.1	16.3	-2.23
Moussa Cisse	75	72	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.32	1	4	-3	14.1	13.9	0.24	15.1	13.0	2.08
Dereck Lively II	65	66	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.16	5	0	5	14.9	12.8	2.06	14.7	13.8	0.87
Caleb Martin	11	11	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.03	4	1	3	13.3	14.1	-0.84	14.4	14.3	0.03
D'Angelo Russell	78	78	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	7	-9	14.1	13.8	0.38	14.3	14.4	-0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.37,0.26,0.53,0.53,0.69,0.8,0.77,0.4,0.5,0.68,0.63,0.57,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 98, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.36,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.27,0.54,0.45,0.71,0.55,0.9,1	89.8%
HOU 120, POR 123	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.22,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.35,0.39,0.61,0.79,0.77,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.95,0.85,1	88.6%
DET 85, GSW 87	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.34,0.4,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.69,0.74,1	88.5%