NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	120		Excitement	5.6 [220]		MVP	Julius Randle (MIN): +14.1%
Utah Jazz	113		Comeback	2.7 [226]		LVP	Jusuf Nurki? (UTA): -15.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.07	0.02	16	60%	0.16	2	-0.02	13	92%	0.03
Anthony Edwards	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.19	0.03	0.08	25	65%	0.14	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Donte DiVincenzo	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.00	11	52%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Rudy Gobert	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.02	8	82%	0.10	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Jaden McDaniels	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	13	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jaylen Clark	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Rob Dillingham	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	10	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	15	58%	0.11	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	6	77%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	6	71%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Isaiah Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	71%	0.06	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Ace Bailey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	13	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walter Clayton Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keyonte George	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.09	-0.05	0.12	18	64%	0.02	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.01
Jusuf Nurki?	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	11	23%	-0.14	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.4	28.9	12.5	38.7	1.3	28.1	133.4
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +29.8%

MIN +14.0%

UTA -9.4%

MIN +15.4%

MIN +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	UTA	NBA	MIN	UTA	NBA
this game	15.0	12.9	14.1	116.5	109.7	113.7
season	14.1	14.0		116.8	111.9
opponent	13.7	14.2		119.6	112.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.9	16.3	13.6	15.2	15.0
UTA	13.2	11.4	12.6	14.8	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donte DiVincenzo	88	89	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.27	11	-4	15	14.8	16.3	-1.49	13.2	11.2	1.99
Anthony Edwards	100	100	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.27	10	-3	13	15.0	15.0	-0.01	13.1	8.3	4.74
Julius Randle	101	102	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.27	10	-3	13	14.9	19.5	-4.60	13.0	7.0	5.99
Naz Reid	96	97	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.20	10	-3	13	15.1	13.7	1.37	13.1	9.7	3.47
Jaylen Clark	74	75	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	-7	21	14.8	15.4	-0.59	12.5	14.1	-1.61
Jaden McDaniels	88	88	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.23	3	4	-1	15.0	14.9	0.14	13.4	10.5	2.89
Rudy Gobert	82	81	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	4	-1	15.0	15.0	-0.01	13.8	9.8	3.96
Mike Conley	79	78	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.11	4	3	1	15.2	14.4	0.75	12.9	13.1	-0.20
Rob Dillingham	13	13	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	7	-7	17.4	14.6	2.74	12.0	13.1	-1.07

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter Clayton Jr.	56	56	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.26	8	-15	23	14.0	11.7	2.30	15.5	14.4	1.16
Brice Sensabaugh	53	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	4	-15	12.9	13.0	-0.13	14.2	15.8	-1.57
Jusuf Nurki?	70	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.02	-13	6	-19	13.4	12.0	1.42	15.2	14.6	0.57
Kyle Filipowski	88	89	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	-1	-5	13.3	10.9	2.34	14.9	15.6	-0.76
Isaiah Collier	67	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.11	-19	12	-31	13.3	12.3	1.01	14.7	15.6	-0.87
Kevin Love	70	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.02	-17	10	-27	12.8	13.1	-0.28	15.3	14.4	0.83
Lauri Markkanen	103	103	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	0	-7	12.9	0.0	12.93	15.0	0.0	14.99
Svi Mykhailiuk	68	68	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.05	-17	10	-27	14.6	9.8	4.79	14.6	15.8	-1.23
Keyonte George	100	100	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.27	-10	3	-13	13.1	8.3	4.74	15.0	15.0	-0.01
Ace Bailey	91	90	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.23	-15	8	-23	13.1	11.6	1.53	14.8	16.0	-1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.37,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 96, NYK 84	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.14,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	94.5%
BOS 92, ORL 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
SAC 105, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.5,0.43,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%