NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	105		Excitement	4.1 [1010]		MVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): +14.4%
Toronto Raptors	96		Comeback	2.2 [215]		LVP	Aaron Gray (TOR): -12.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0.14	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	-0.01	18	65%	0.18	4	-0.04	12	75%	0.01
Isaiah Thomas	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	69%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	11	64%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	87%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	3	50%	0.03	3	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Tyler Honeycutt	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	56%	0.02	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
John Salmons	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.06	14	57%	0.03	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Francisco Garcia	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	7	21%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	8	44%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.14	0.01	0.09	10	75%	0.10	2	-0.04	12	83%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	17	53%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	1	150%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	55%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	7	21%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	10	42%	-0.02	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
Jose Calderon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	0.06	11	59%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	11	44%	-0.00	2	-0.06	10	80%	-0.01
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	2	0%	-0.06	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.0	34.1	16.7	28.8	1.8	34.0	144.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +24.9%

SAC +10.1%

SAC +4.3%

SAC +11.2%

TOR -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	TOR	NBA	SAC	TOR	NBA
this game	15.2	15.4	15.4	111.7	102.1	104.1
season	15.0	16.1		104.7	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.2		105.8	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.7	16.2	13.7	17.4	15.2
TOR	16.3	13.8	16.9	14.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Thompson	59	61	0.73	-0.23	0.96	-0.06	27	-18	45	14.2	17.0	-2.86	15.7	14.8	0.95
John Salmons	69	72	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.03	23	-14	37	14.4	17.6	-3.17	15.4	15.4	0.05
Isaiah Thomas	61	61	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.10	24	-15	39	14.6	16.5	-1.93	15.9	14.5	1.37
DeMarcus Cousins	63	63	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	-9	27	15.2	15.3	-0.08	16.3	13.7	2.58
Francisco Garcia	44	45	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.04	18	-9	27	14.1	16.2	-2.11	16.4	14.4	2.00
Thomas Robinson	46	45	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.22	-6	15	-21	16.2	14.4	1.80	14.3	16.4	-2.14
Tyler Honeycutt	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	16	-23	19.0	15.1	3.93	14.7	15.4	-0.76
James Johnson	54	54	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.26	-10	19	-29	15.6	14.7	0.97	14.0	17.2	-3.21
Aaron Brooks	33	33	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.34	-15	24	-39	16.5	14.6	1.93	14.5	15.9	-1.37
Jimmer Fredette	30	27	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.30	-16	25	-41	17.3	14.2	3.08	15.4	15.4	-0.05
Charles Hayes	7	6	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.08	-11	20	-31	19.4	14.9	4.53	16.3	15.3	0.99

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	54	54	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.29	15	-24	39	14.8	16.2	-1.34	15.8	14.4	1.36
Quincy Acy	23	22	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.18	9	-18	27	14.7	15.6	-0.88	15.0	15.3	-0.36
John Lucas III	12	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.19	6	-15	21	16.2	15.3	0.87	16.6	15.0	1.60
Terrence Ross	36	36	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.12	3	-12	15	14.4	16.0	-1.56	15.4	15.2	0.21
Alan Anderson	48	49	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.18	5	-14	19	15.6	15.2	0.32	15.9	14.5	1.47
Landry Fields	41	41	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.31	8	-17	25	16.4	14.7	1.71	15.5	15.0	0.54
Amir Johnson	16	18	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.00	-5	-4	-1	14.6	15.6	-1.01	17.5	14.7	2.80
Aaron Gray	15	16	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-1	-7	16.5	15.2	1.26	13.2	15.7	-2.47
Mickael Pietrus	22	21	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	3	-15	16.3	15.1	1.19	14.4	15.5	-1.04
Ed Davis	83	81	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.07	-21	12	-33	15.5	14.8	0.66	15.0	16.8	-1.87
DeMar DeRozan	67	66	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	0.07	-24	15	-39	15.1	16.1	-0.94	14.6	16.7	-2.11
Jose Calderon	53	53	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.04	-21	12	-33	15.7	15.1	0.59	14.8	15.8	-1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.5,0.43,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 101, NJN 83	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.33,0.24,0.14,0.21,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
BOS 94, HOU 74	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
IND 120, MIA 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.43,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.38,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%