inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 92 Excitement4.0 [998] MVPJaylen Brown (BOS): +19.0%
Orlando Magic 79 Comeback2.2 [815] LVPJalen Suggs (ORL): -16.2%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jaylen Brown0.190,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.150.02-0.021768%0.232-0.04771%0.00
Robert Williams III0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.010.01875%0.0900.0000%0.00
Romeo Langford0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bruno Fernando0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Juancho Hernangomez0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aaron Nesmith0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Al Horford-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.02-0.03955%0.023-0.034100%0.01
Marcus Smart-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.01844%0.021-0.0320%0.00
Dennis Schroder-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.01-0.031136%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Grant Williams-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.00125%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Josh Richardson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01337%-0.021-0.00250%-0.00
Payton Pritchard-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jayson Tatum-0.140,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.11-0.06-0.021635%-0.112-0.03862%0.01

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Franz Wagner0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.00-0.001045%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mychal Mulder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ignas Brazdeikis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
R.J. Hampton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.05-0.00-0.05860%0.035-0.03475%-0.00
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.03-0.020.04657%-0.0200.002100%0.00
Chuma Okeke0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.000.03450%-0.0200.004100%0.00
Mo Bamba0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.02636%-0.031-0.002100%-0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.03-0.031250%0.054-0.10250%-0.01
Moritz Wagner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.010.02437%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Cole Anthony0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.05-0.031833%-0.1000.003100%0.01
Jalen Suggs0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.10-0.050.011432%-0.102-0.06333%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.42.425.214.627.42.531.3126.8
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +33.8%
BOS +6.1%
ORL -1.7%
BOS +12.4%
ORL -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSORLNBABOSORLNBA
this game14.116.014.593.984.0110.8
season14.914.4112.2103.4
opponent14.414.7111.5105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS15.214.111.215.814.1
ORL16.116.019.113.016.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Robert Williams III56560.460.040.410.0215-21715.212.62.6017.114.32.76
Marcus Smart66640.430.070.35-0.1018-52313.515.3-1.8316.913.93.02
Jaylen Brown60600.410.090.32-0.0616-31915.312.23.1016.814.42.38
Jayson Tatum68670.370.130.240.021211114.313.60.7416.115.60.46
Al Horford58540.360.140.22-0.0514-11512.716.1-3.4116.115.80.27
Dennis Schroder54510.270.230.05-0.111301314.813.21.5515.616.4-0.81
Josh Richardson38350.200.30-0.10-0.09103714.214.00.2515.616.2-0.57
Grant Williams14130.090.41-0.32-0.00310-713.114.2-1.1817.015.81.21
Romeo Langford38340.010.48-0.470.19-619-2513.014.8-1.8114.516.8-2.24
Bruno Fernando660.000.50-0.500.18-619-2513.314.1-0.8011.016.3-5.30
Juancho Hernangomez540.000.50-0.500.23-821-2914.214.10.127.016.4-9.36
Aaron Nesmith660.000.50-0.500.18-619-2513.314.1-0.8011.016.3-5.30
Payton Pritchard2120-0.100.60-0.690.20-1023-3313.714.2-0.5314.516.4-1.85

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
R.J. Hampton43460.00-0.500.500.09-3-10713.717.9-4.1712.015.9-3.92
Ignas Brazdeikis770.00-0.500.50-0.124-172110.716.4-5.6711.914.3-2.40
Mychal Mulder1010-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-151711.016.5-5.5511.614.4-2.76
Moritz Wagner1820-0.14-0.360.23-0.140-131314.416.3-1.8712.314.5-2.24
Terrence Ross5357-0.16-0.340.19-0.10-2-11916.015.90.0515.112.62.53
Jalen Suggs5152-0.20-0.300.100.09-10-3-716.215.60.6112.715.7-3.00
Wendell Carter Jr.6969-0.23-0.270.04-0.05-6-7116.115.60.4915.011.83.25
Chuma Okeke3134-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.16-4-9516.815.51.2716.013.12.94
Mo Bamba6063-0.36-0.14-0.210.17-185-2316.614.71.9113.016.1-3.16
Franz Wagner5859-0.540.04-0.59-0.10-152-1717.313.93.4015.512.03.46
Cole Anthony7073-0.600.10-0.71-0.22-130-1316.614.22.4014.712.42.31


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 106, NJN 820.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.48,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.8%
MIN 112, MEM 990.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.3,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.2%
LAC 117, HOU 1090.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.56,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.1%