NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	121		Excitement	8.0 [207]		MVP	Victor Wembanyama (SAS): +76.9%
Chicago Bulls	117		Comeback	15.9 [112]		LVP	Patrick Williams (CHI): -14.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Wembanyama	0.77	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.47,0.77	0.27	0.51	0.02	19	79%	0.87	3	-0.10	10	100%	0.04
Luke Kornet	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.26,0.29,0.29	0.14	0.16	0.00	6	89%	0.29	0	0.00	6	67%	0.04
Lindy Waters III	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Vassell	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carter Bryant	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	9	56%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Sochan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Harrison Barnes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.02	4	64%	0.00	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
De'Aaron Fox	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.06	0.01	14	66%	0.11	6	-0.16	4	100%	0.02
Stephon Castle	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05	0.02	-0.06	0.01	18	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Julian Champagnie	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.02	5	0%	-0.09	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.11	0.13	0.00	12	69%	0.24	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.03
Kevin Huerter	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.05	0.01	14	72%	0.20	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Matas Buzelis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	9	68%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.02	0.01	15	59%	0.09	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	13	42%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vu?evi?	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	14	37%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	5	17%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.07	0.01	6	42%	-0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.2	25.3	14.3	27.2	1.4	36.9	133.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +38.8%

SAS +16.8%

CHI -4.1%

CHI -2.7%

SAS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	CHI	NBA	SAS	CHI	NBA
this game	12.5	14.8	14.2	115.2	110.4	113.5
season	13.8	13.7		115.8	112.8
opponent	14.3	14.5		117.1	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	11.9	14.5	12.6	11.0	12.5
CHI	13.4	12.7	15.0	18.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Kornet	78	79	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.37	13	-9	22	12.5	12.5	-0.06	15.9	11.5	4.47
Stephon Castle	87	89	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.38	11	-7	18	12.5	12.4	0.04	15.3	12.5	2.79
Harrison Barnes	83	85	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.48	5	-1	6	12.4	12.6	-0.20	15.2	13.3	1.84
De'Aaron Fox	105	106	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	12.5	0.0	12.48	14.8	0.0	14.81
Victor Wembanyama	103	104	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.38	4	0	4	12.3	19.5	-7.16	14.9	11.5	3.38
Carter Bryant	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	4	-4	16.0	12.2	3.78	16.1	14.7	1.43
Kelly Olynyk	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	4	-4	16.0	12.2	3.78	16.1	14.7	1.43
Devin Vassell	64	65	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.03	-4	8	-12	12.5	12.4	0.10	13.9	16.2	-2.34
Lindy Waters III	20	20	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.07	-10	14	-24	15.6	11.7	3.86	12.3	15.4	-3.03
Julian Champagnie	82	82	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	-0.16	-5	9	-14	13.0	10.4	2.61	14.9	14.4	0.56
Keldon Johnson	82	82	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	-0.16	-5	9	-14	13.0	10.4	2.61	14.9	14.4	0.56
Jeremy Sochan	68	71	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.12	-7	11	-18	13.2	11.1	2.11	13.7	17.0	-3.31

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dalen Terry	20	20	0.23	-0.73	0.95	-0.07	10	-14	24	12.3	15.4	-3.03	15.6	11.7	3.86
Julian Phillips	61	60	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.19	0	-4	4	14.7	15.0	-0.29	13.2	11.5	1.69
Matas Buzelis	73	73	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.06	3	-7	10	14.2	16.1	-1.86	12.9	11.5	1.45
Isaac Okoro	59	58	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.17	-5	1	-6	16.3	12.9	3.45	13.0	11.8	1.25
Jevon Carter	40	41	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-4	4	13.8	15.4	-1.62	13.1	12.0	1.10
Kevin Huerter	94	93	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.40	-2	-2	0	15.1	12.5	2.61	12.5	11.9	0.63
Patrick Williams	106	104	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	2	-8	14.8	0.0	14.81	12.6	3.0	9.57
Tre Jones	106	105	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	14.8	0.0	14.81	12.5	0.0	12.48
Jalen Smith	93	92	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.31	-7	3	-10	15.3	11.0	4.34	12.6	11.3	1.33
Ayo Dosunmu	102	102	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.37	-7	3	-10	15.0	9.7	5.26	12.3	17.7	-5.34
Nikola Vu?evi?	89	87	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.42	-10	6	-16	15.0	13.8	1.18	12.4	12.6	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.88,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.75,0.85,0.78,0.59,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 97, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.83,0.85,0.73,0.81,0.72,0.76,0.42,0	90.7%
LAL 90, BOS 89	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.52,0.59,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.91,0.85,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.84,0	90.5%
DAL 81, MEM 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.49,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.64,0.76,0.42,0	90.4%